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Frances Tiafoe vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic prediction, odds, picks for ATP Mexico Open 2026

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Tiafoe vs Kovacevic predictions for ATP Mexico Open.

Frances Tiafoe vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Tennis Prediction.
Our Frances Tiafoe and Aleksandar Kovacevic tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Frances Tiafoe and Aleksandar Kovacevic will lock horns in the round of 16 of the ATP Mexico Open event on Wednesday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Frances Tiafoe as the most likely winner of the Tiafoe vs. Kovacevic match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Tiafoe vs. Kovacevic prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Tiafoe-Kovacevic men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Tiafoe a 75% chance of beating Kovacevic at the ATP Mexico Open tournament.

Additionally, Tiafoe has a 71% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Kovacevic (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 22.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Frances Tiafoe vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Tiafoe Kovacevic
Moneyline -278 +200
First Set -189 +150
Game Spread -3.5 (+100) +3.5 (-160)
Total Games o22.5 (-126) u22.5 (-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tiafoe vs. Kovacevic picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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