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Frances Tiafoe vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic prediction, odds, picks for ATP Mexico Open 2026
Get Tiafoe vs Kovacevic predictions for ATP Mexico Open.

Frances Tiafoe and Aleksandar Kovacevic will lock horns in the round of 16 of the ATP Mexico Open event on Wednesday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Frances Tiafoe as the most likely winner of the Tiafoe vs. Kovacevic match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Tiafoe vs. Kovacevic prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Tiafoe-Kovacevic men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Tiafoe a 75% chance of beating Kovacevic at the ATP Mexico Open tournament.
Additionally, Tiafoe has a 71% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Kovacevic (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 22.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Frances Tiafoe vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tiafoe | Kovacevic |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -278 | +200 |
| First Set | -189 | +150 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (+100) | +3.5 (-160) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-126) | u22.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tiafoe vs. Kovacevic picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tiafoe | -278 |
| First Set | Kovacevic | -126 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tiafoe vs. Kovacevic updates and essential details
The ATP Mexico Open match between Frances Tiafoe and Aleksandar Kovacevic is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Frances Tiafoe vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic
- Date: Wednesday, February 25, 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Acapulco, Mexico Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Frances Tiafoe, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat Aleksandar Kovacevic at the ATP Mexico Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Tiafoe vs. Kovacevic insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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