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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Stan Wawrinka prediction, odds, picks for ATP Open Sud de France 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Auger-Aliassime vs Wawrinka predictions for ATP Open Sud de France.
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Stan Wawrinka are scheduled to meet in the round of 16 of the ATP Open Sud de France event on Thursday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Felix Auger-Aliassime as the most likely winner of the Auger-Aliassime vs. Wawrinka match.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Auger-Aliassime vs. Wawrinka prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Auger-Aliassime-Wawrinka men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Auger-Aliassime a 74% chance of winning against Wawrinka at the ATP Open Sud de France tournament.
Additionally, Auger-Aliassime has a 70% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Auger-Aliassime (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Stan Wawrinka odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Auger-Aliassime | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -303 | +249 |
| First Set | -227 | +175 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (-110) | +3.5 (-122) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-118) | u22.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Auger-Aliassime vs. Wawrinka picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Auger-Aliassime | -303 |
| First Set | Wawrinka | -112 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.
Auger-Aliassime vs. Wawrinka updates and essential details
The ATP Open Sud de France match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Stan Wawrinka is scheduled to start on Thursday at 12:30 PM ET.
- Who: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Stan Wawrinka
- Date: Thursday, February 5, 2026
- Approx. Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Montpellier, France Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Felix Auger-Aliassime, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat Stan Wawrinka at the ATP Open Sud de France tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Auger-Aliassime vs. Wawrinka insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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