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Fabian Marozsan vs. Ethan Quinn prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Marozsan vs Quinn predictions for ATP Madrid Open.
Fabian Marozsan will square off with Ethan Quinn in the round of 128 at the ATP Madrid event on Wednesday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Fabian Marozsan as the most likely winner of the Marozsan vs. Quinn match.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Marozsan vs. Quinn prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Marozsan-Quinn men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Marozsan a 57% chance of beating Quinn at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Marozsan has a 55% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Quinn (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Fabian Marozsan vs. Ethan Quinn odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Marozsan | Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -151 | +137 |
| First Set | -164 | +130 |
| Game Spread | -2.5 (-110) | +2.5 (-145) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-120) | u22.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Marozsan vs. Quinn picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Quinn | +137 |
| First Set | Quinn | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Marozsan vs. Quinn updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Fabian Marozsan and Ethan Quinn is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 4:00 AM ET.
- Who: Fabian Marozsan vs. Ethan Quinn
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Approx. Time: 4:00 AM ET/1:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Fabian Marozsan, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Ethan Quinn at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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