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Coco Gauff vs. Solana Sierra prediction, odds, picks for WTA Italian Open 2026

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Gauff vs Sierra predictions for WTA Italian Open.

Coco Gauff vs Solana Sierra Tennis Prediction.
Our Coco Gauff and Solana Sierra tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Coco Gauff will square off with Solana Sierra in the round of 32 at the WTA Rome event on Saturday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Coco Gauff as the most likely winner of the Gauff vs. Sierra match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Gauff vs. Sierra prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Gauff-Sierra women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Gauff an 86% chance of winning against Sierra at the WTA Italian Open tournament.

Additionally, Gauff has an 80% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Sierra (+6.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 18.5 games has a 62% chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Coco Gauff vs. Solana Sierra odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Gauff Sierra
Moneyline -1000 +730
First Set -625 +400
Game Spread -6.5 (-110) +6.5 (-120)
Total Games o18.5 (-105) u18.5 (-133)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Gauff vs. Sierra picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Sierra +730
First Set Sierra -105

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Solana Sierra to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Gauff vs. Sierra updates and essential details

The WTA Italian Open match between Coco Gauff and Solana Sierra is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 5:00 AM ET.

  • Who: Coco Gauff vs. Solana Sierra
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
  • Tournament: WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2026
  • Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Coco Gauff, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat Solana Sierra at the WTA Italian Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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