...
...
Read Article
Blackhawks vs. Stars prediction: Dallas favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [3/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Chicago Blackhawks vs Dallas Stars predictions for NHL Sunday.
The Dallas Stars and Chicago Blackhawks will lock horns in the NHL at American Airlines Center on Sunday, with puck drop at 6:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Stars as the most likely winner of the Blackhawks vs. Stars game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Hawks vs. Stars prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NHL game between the Blackhawks and Stars 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Stars a 69% chance of defeating the Blackhawks.
According to our model, the Blackhawks (+1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Blackhawks vs. Stars odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Blackhawks | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (+105) | -1.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +260 | -315 |
| Total | o6 (-105) | u6 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Blackhawks vs. Stars picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Blackhawks +1.5 | +105 |
| Moneyline | Blackhawks | +260 |
| Total | Over 6 | -105 |
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Blackhawks +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Blackhawks vs. Stars player props
Who will score a goal in Blackhawks vs. Stars?
According to our model, Jason Robertson is most likely to score an anytime goal in Blackhawks vs. Stars.
Our projections give Robertson a 42.7% chance of scoring a goal at American Airlines Center, while the star is a 9.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor Bedard | 30.0% |
| Frank Nazar | 24.7% |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 24.3% |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 22.6% |
| Ryan Donato | 21.5% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 42.7% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 38.9% |
| Matt Duchene | 33.6% |
| Mavrik Bourque | 29.1% |
| Jamie Benn | 20.8% |
First goal scorer predictions
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor Bedard | 5.3% |
| Frank Nazar | 4.6% |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 4.1% |
| Ryan Donato | 4.0% |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 3.9% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 9.0% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 7.0% |
| Matt Duchene | 6.7% |
| Mavrik Bourque | 5.4% |
| Jamie Benn | 3.7% |
Hawks vs. Stars game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between the Stars and Blackhawks at American Airlines Center is scheduled to commence at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Blackhawks vs. Dallas Stars
- Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Blackhawks vs. Stars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure