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Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Gael Monfils prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Get Ugo Carabelli vs Monfils predictions for ATP Madrid Open.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli will take on Gael Monfils in the round of 128 at the ATP Madrid event on Wednesday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Camilo Ugo Carabelli as the most likely winner of the Ugo Carabelli vs. Monfils match.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Ugo Carabelli vs. Monfils prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Ugo Carabelli-Monfils men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Ugo Carabelli a 61% chance of beating Monfils at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Ugo Carabelli has a 59% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Ugo Carabelli (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the **over/under of 22.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Gael Monfils odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Ugo Carabelli | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -160 | +150 |
| First Set | -175 | +137 |
| Game Spread | -2.5 (-118) | +2.5 (-112) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-110) | u22.5 (-122) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Ugo Carabelli vs. Monfils picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ugo Carabelli | -160 |
| First Set | Monfils | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Camilo Ugo Carabelli to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Ugo Carabelli vs. Monfils updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Gael Monfils is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 4:00 AM ET.
- Who: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Gael Monfils
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Approx. Time: 4:00 AM ET/1:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Camilo Ugo Carabelli, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat Gael Monfils at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
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