Grizzlies vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Grizzlies vs. Thunder NBA game on December 22, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Grizzlies
99
113
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Thunder
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TEAM1234T
Grizzlies
28 26 19 26 99
Thunder
31 36 17 29 113
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Grizzlies
    <1%
  • Thunder
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Grizzlies
28 26 19 26 99
Thunder
31 36 17 29 113
Q4 00:14 GG Jackson misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 00:35 Christian Koloko blocks Cason Wallace's two point putback layup
Q4 00:40 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:57 Cedric Coward makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:09 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:13 Chris Youngblood misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:36 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:44 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:12
    Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:14
    GG Jackson misses two point pullup jump shot
  4. Q4 00:25
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  5. Q4 00:32
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  6. Q4 00:35
    Christian Koloko blocks Cason Wallace's two point putback layup
  7. Q4 00:35
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  8. Q4 00:40
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  9. Q4 00:50
    Jaren Jackson Jr. personal foul
  10. Q4 00:50
    Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jahmai Mashack, Jaylen Wells, Christian Koloko, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
  11. Q4 00:57
    +2
    Cedric Coward makes two point jump shot
    99-113
  12. Q4 00:57
    Cedric Coward offensive rebound
  13. Q4 1:00
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  14. Q4 1:09
    Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
  15. Q4 1:09
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    99-113
  16. Q4 1:13
    Chris Youngblood misses three point jump shot
  17. Q4 1:21
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  18. Q4 1:25
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  19. Q4 1:36
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    99-113
  20. Q4 1:44
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    99-113
  21. Q4 1:51
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  22. Q4 1:51
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
  23. Q4 1:51
    Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe, Brooks Barnhizer)
  24. Q4 1:52
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    99-113
  25. Q4 2:04
    Grizzlies turnover
  26. Q4 2:08
    Thunder turnover
  27. Q4 2:23
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  28. Q4 2:25
    Cam Spencer misses two point driving floating jump shot
  29. Q4 2:46
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    99-113
  30. Q4 2:56
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  31. Q4 2:58
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  32. Q4 3:18
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    99-113
  33. Q4 3:33
    Grizzlies personal foul
  34. Q4 3:33
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  35. Q4 3:33
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  36. Q4 3:33
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Cam Spencer, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
  37. Q4 3:41
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  38. Q4 3:44
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses three point jump shot
  39. Q4 4:03
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    99-109
  40. Q4 4:19
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    99-109
  41. Q4 4:37
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  42. Q4 4:37
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort)
  43. Q4 4:38
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    99-109
  44. Q4 4:55
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  45. Q4 4:57
    Jaylen Wells misses three point jump shot
  46. Q4 5:17
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    97-104
  47. Q4 5:39
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    99-109
  48. Q4 5:46
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
  49. Q4 5:49
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  50. Q4 5:58
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  51. Q4 6:02
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  52. Q4 6:12
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  53. Q4 6:12
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  54. Q4 6:12
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Christian Koloko, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
  55. Q4 6:13
    Jaylen Wells misses three point jump shot
  56. Q4 6:18
    Thunder turnover
  57. Q4 6:29
    Thunder personal foul
  58. Q4 6:29
    +1
    Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    97-107
  59. Q4 6:29
    +1
    Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    99-109
  60. Q4 6:29
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Christian Koloko, Cam Spencer)
  61. Q4 6:29
    +1
    Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    99-109
  62. Q4 6:29
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Branden Carlson, Luguentz Dort)
  63. Q4 6:42
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    97-104
  64. Q4 7:02
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    91-99
  65. Q4 7:17
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    88-99
  66. Q4 7:30
    +3
    GG Jackson makes three point jump shot (Jaren Jackson Jr. assists)
    88-96
  67. Q4 7:40
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
  68. Q4 7:45
    Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
  69. Q4 7:57
    +3
    Cedric Coward makes three point jump shot
    84-96
  70. Q4 7:57
    Isaiah Joe personal foul (Away from play) (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
  71. Q4 7:57
    Instant replay (Request)
  72. Q4 7:57
    Isaiah Joe turnover
  73. Q4 7:57
    Instant replay
  74. Q4 7:57
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  75. Q4 7:57
    +1
    Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    85-96
  76. Q4 7:57
    Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jaren Jackson Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
  77. Q4 8:07
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    81-96
  78. Q4 8:13
    Jalen Williams defensive rebound
  79. Q4 8:17
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  80. Q4 8:22
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  81. Q4 8:25
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  82. Q4 8:36
    Thunder personal foul
  83. Q4 8:36
    +1
    Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    80-93
  84. Q4 8:36
    +1
    Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    81-93
  85. Q4 8:36
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Branden Carlson)
  86. Q4 8:39
    Thunder turnover
  87. Q4 8:55
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Cedric Coward draws the foul)
  88. Q4 8:55
    +1
    Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    78-93
  89. Q4 8:55
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Branden Carlson)
  90. Q4 8:55
    Cedric Coward offensive rebound
  91. Q4 8:55
    +1
    Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    79-93
  92. Q4 8:58
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  93. Q4 9:05
    Jock Landale defensive rebound
  94. Q4 9:07
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point stepback jump shot
  95. Q4 9:19
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    77-93
  96. Q4 9:31
    Cam Spencer offensive rebound
  97. Q4 9:34
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  98. Q4 9:36
    Cedric Coward defensive rebound
  99. Q4 9:42
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  100. Q4 9:53
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  101. Q4 9:56
    Thunder personal foul
  102. Q4 9:56
    Cedric Coward misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  103. Q4 9:56
    Cedric Coward misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  104. Q4 9:56
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  105. Q4 10:04
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    75-93
  106. Q4 10:23
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    75-90
  107. Q4 10:40
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  108. Q4 10:42
    +2
    Ajay Mitchell makes two point jump shot
    73-90
  109. Q4 10:48
    Grizzlies turnover
  110. Q4 10:48
    Grizzlies personal foul
  111. Q4 11:02
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    73-88
  112. Q4 11:13
    Cam Spencer personal foul
  113. Q4 11:16
    Grizzlies turnover
  114. Q4 11:34
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
    73-86
  115. Q4 11:42
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  116. Q4 11:46
    Cedric Coward misses two point pullup jump shot
  117. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  118. Q4 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
  119. Q4 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
  120. Q3 00:01
    Christian Koloko defensive rebound
  121. Q3 00:01
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  122. Q3 00:08
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    73-86
  123. Q3 00:32
    +2
    Jalen Williams makes two point driving dunk
    71-84
  124. Q3 00:47
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  125. Q3 00:50
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  126. Q3 1:07
    Ajay Mitchell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  127. Q3 1:21
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper turnover
  128. Q3 1:21
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Christian Koloko, Cam Spencer)
  129. Q3 1:39
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    71-84
  130. Q3 1:56
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  131. Q3 1:59
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  132. Q3 2:13
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    71-84
  133. Q3 2:25
    +3
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Wells assists)
    71-84
  134. Q3 2:33
    Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
  135. Q3 2:33
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    71-84
  136. Q3 2:39
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  137. Q3 2:58
    +3
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes three point jump shot
    71-84
  138. Q3 3:03
    Thunder turnover
  139. Q3 3:04
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  140. Q3 3:10
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  141. Q3 3:26
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    71-82
  142. Q3 3:26
    Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
  143. Q3 3:28
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  144. Q3 3:45
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    65-74
  145. Q3 3:45
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  146. Q3 3:45
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Brooks Barnhizer)
  147. Q3 3:50
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  148. Q3 3:52
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  149. Q3 4:18
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    63-74
  150. Q3 4:25
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  151. Q3 4:26
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  152. Q3 4:34
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  153. Q3 4:37
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  154. Q3 4:42
    +2
    Luguentz Dort makes two point putback layup
    60-74
  155. Q3 4:43
    Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
  156. Q3 4:45
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point running layup
  157. Q3 4:51
    Grizzlies turnover
  158. Q3 4:59
    Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
  159. Q3 5:02
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  160. Q3 5:16
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  161. Q3 5:17
    Grizzlies turnover
  162. Q3 5:17
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  163. Q3 5:29
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper offensive rebound
  164. Q3 5:33
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  165. Q3 5:44
    Jaylen Wells personal foul
  166. Q3 5:44
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    60-71
  167. Q3 5:44
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Christian Koloko, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
  168. Q3 5:44
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Branden Carlson, Luguentz Dort)
  169. Q3 5:44
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    60-72
  170. Q3 5:51
    Jock Landale turnover (bad pass) (Luguentz Dort steals)
  171. Q3 5:54
    Jock Landale offensive rebound
  172. Q3 5:57
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot
  173. Q3 6:11
    Jock Landale defensive rebound
  174. Q3 6:14
    Jalen Williams misses two point jump shot
  175. Q3 6:24
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  176. Q3 6:24
    Santi Aldama turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  177. Q3 6:29
    Jock Landale offensive rebound
  178. Q3 6:32
    Luguentz Dort blocks Cam Spencer's two point jump shot
  179. Q3 6:39
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  180. Q3 6:42
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot
  181. Q3 7:00
    +3
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
    60-70
  182. Q3 7:00
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  183. Q3 7:14
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  184. Q3 7:14
    Thunder personal foul
  185. Q3 7:18
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  186. Q3 7:25
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Jock Landale draws the foul)
  187. Q3 7:25
    Jock Landale misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  188. Q3 7:25
    +1
    Jock Landale makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    57-70
  189. Q3 7:25
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  190. Q3 7:37
    Thunder turnover
  191. Q3 7:37
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
  192. Q3 7:40
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  193. Q3 7:42
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  194. Q3 8:00
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
    56-70
  195. Q3 8:15
    Grizzlies turnover (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)
  196. Q3 8:22
    Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
  197. Q3 8:25
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  198. Q3 8:33
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  199. Q3 8:36
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  200. Q3 8:54
    Jock Landale defensive rebound
  201. Q3 8:57
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  202. Q3 9:03
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  203. Q3 9:06
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  204. Q3 9:19
    Jock Landale defensive rebound
  205. Q3 9:21
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  206. Q3 9:30
    Grizzlies personal foul
  207. Q3 9:36
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  208. Q3 9:38
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  209. Q3 9:49
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  210. Q3 9:49
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  211. Q3 9:49
    Thunder personal foul
  212. Q3 9:56
    Cam Spencer defensive rebound
  213. Q3 10:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  214. Q3 10:10
    Grizzlies turnover
  215. Q3 10:31
    Jock Landale defensive rebound
  216. Q3 10:33
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  217. Q3 10:53
    Thunder personal foul
  218. Q3 10:53
    +1
    Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    55-67
  219. Q3 10:53
    +1
    Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    56-67
  220. Q3 10:57
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  221. Q3 11:00
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    71-84
  222. Q3 11:00
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  223. Q3 11:09
    Grizzlies turnover
  224. Q3 11:19
    Jalen Williams defensive rebound
  225. Q3 11:19
    Thunder turnover
  226. Q3 11:24
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  227. Q3 11:38
    Thunder turnover
  228. Q2 00:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  229. Q2 00:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  230. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  231. Q3 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Branden Carlson, Luguentz Dort)
  232. Q3 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
  233. Q2 00:04
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    54-67
  234. Q2 00:20
    Cedric Coward defensive rebound
  235. Q2 00:23
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  236. Q2 00:29
    Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
  237. Q2 00:33
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  238. Q2 00:41
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  239. Q2 00:48
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    51-67
  240. Q2 1:02
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    51-65
  241. Q2 1:22
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  242. Q2 1:24
    Grizzlies personal foul
  243. Q2 1:24
    +1
    Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    49-65
  244. Q2 1:24
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Cam Spencer)
  245. Q2 1:24
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Luguentz Dort)
  246. Q2 1:24
    Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  247. Q2 1:34
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    49-64
  248. Q2 1:42
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    47-64
  249. Q2 1:49
    Grizzlies turnover
  250. Q2 2:09
    Grizzlies defensive rebound
  251. Q2 2:09
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  252. Q2 2:11
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  253. Q2 2:20
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  254. Q2 2:22
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  255. Q2 2:33
    Thunder personal foul
  256. Q2 2:45
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    47-62
  257. Q2 2:54
    Grizzlies turnover
  258. Q2 3:12
    +2
    Luguentz Dort makes two point jump shot
    47-59
  259. Q2 3:12
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  260. Q2 3:12
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer)
  261. Q2 3:15
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (bad pass) (Kenrich Williams steals)
  262. Q2 3:17
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  263. Q2 3:29
    +3
    Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot
    47-57
  264. Q2 3:41
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  265. Q2 3:45
    Santi Aldama misses two point floating jump shot
  266. Q2 4:07
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
  267. Q2 4:09
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  268. Q2 4:29
    Grizzlies turnover
  269. Q2 4:37
    Jaylen Wells personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
  270. Q2 4:37
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    47-53
  271. Q2 4:37
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    47-54
  272. Q2 4:37
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Jalen Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Luguentz Dort)
  273. Q2 4:50
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    47-54
  274. Q2 5:09
    +3
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point pullup jump shot
    45-52
  275. Q2 5:15
    Grizzlies personal foul
  276. Q2 5:15
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe, Brooks Barnhizer, Luguentz Dort)
  277. Q2 5:15
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jahmai Mashack, Jaylen Wells, Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
  278. Q2 5:31
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    45-49
  279. Q2 5:31
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive rebound
  280. Q2 5:37
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  281. Q2 5:51
    Isaiah Joe turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  282. Q2 5:51
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
  283. Q2 5:55
    Santi Aldama turnover (Kenrich Williams steals)
  284. Q2 6:07
    +2
    Kenrich Williams makes two point driving layup
    42-49
  285. Q2 6:23
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    42-47
  286. Q2 6:35
    Thunder personal foul
  287. Q2 6:38
    Thunder personal foul
  288. Q2 6:38
    Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
  289. Q2 6:38
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Brooks Barnhizer, Luguentz Dort)
  290. Q2 6:43
    Jalen Williams offensive rebound
  291. Q2 6:43
    Thunder turnover
  292. Q2 6:47
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  293. Q2 6:53
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  294. Q2 6:56
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  295. Q2 7:10
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    39-47
  296. Q2 7:14
    Branden Carlson offensive rebound
  297. Q2 7:17
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  298. Q2 7:22
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  299. Q2 7:24
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  300. Q2 7:24
    Jock Landale offensive rebound
  301. Q2 7:27
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  302. Q2 7:47
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    39-45
  303. Q2 8:05
    Grizzlies turnover
  304. Q2 8:14
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    39-42
  305. Q2 8:14
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  306. Q2 8:20
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  307. Q2 8:25
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  308. Q2 8:37
    Grizzlies defensive rebound
  309. Q2 8:37
    Thunder personal foul
  310. Q2 8:39
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  311. Q2 8:41
    Jalen Williams offensive rebound
  312. Q2 8:43
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  313. Q2 8:52
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  314. Q2 8:52
    Thunder offensive rebound
  315. Q2 8:52
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  316. Q2 8:52
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Branden Carlson)
  317. Q2 9:01
    Cedric Coward offensive rebound
  318. Q2 9:01
    +2
    Cedric Coward makes two point jump shot
    39-40
  319. Q2 9:04
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  320. Q2 9:24
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    37-40
  321. Q2 9:26
    Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
  322. Q2 9:27
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  323. Q2 9:50
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    37-37
  324. Q2 10:02
    Thunder turnover
  325. Q2 10:13
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  326. Q2 10:15
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  327. Q2 10:30
    Grizzlies personal foul
  328. Q2 10:30
    +1
    Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    34-36
  329. Q2 10:30
    +1
    Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    34-37
  330. Q2 10:40
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    34-35
  331. Q2 10:58
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    31-35
  332. Q2 11:06
    Grizzlies turnover
  333. Q2 11:20
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  334. Q2 11:22
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  335. Q2 11:35
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    31-33
  336. Q2 11:48
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-33
  337. Q1 00:00
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  338. Q1 00:00
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  339. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  340. Q2 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Jalen Williams, Branden Carlson)
  341. Q2 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Jock Landale, Cam Spencer)
  342. Q1 00:02
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  343. Q1 00:20
    Santi Aldama offensive rebound
  344. Q1 00:20
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    28-29
  345. Q1 00:22
    Thunder personal foul
  346. Q1 00:22
    +1
    Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    25-29
  347. Q1 00:22
    +1
    Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    26-29
  348. Q1 00:22
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
  349. Q1 00:22
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chris Youngblood, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Branden Carlson)
  350. Q1 00:22
    Jaren Jackson Jr. misses regular free throw 3 of 3
  351. Q1 00:35
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper personal foul
  352. Q1 00:35
    Ajay Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  353. Q1 00:35
    Thunder offensive rebound
  354. Q1 00:35
    +1
    Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    24-29
  355. Q1 00:35
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Branden Carlson, Brooks Barnhizer)
  356. Q1 00:35
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Branden Carlson, Brooks Barnhizer)
  357. Q1 00:36
    Grizzlies turnover
  358. Q1 00:44
    Thunder defensive rebound
  359. Q1 00:44
    Grizzlies personal foul
  360. Q1 00:44
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    24-27
  361. Q1 00:44
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    24-28
  362. Q1 00:47
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  363. Q1 00:52
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  364. Q1 00:54
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  365. Q1 1:06
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  366. Q1 1:07
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  367. Q1 1:23
    Grizzlies personal foul
  368. Q1 1:23
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    24-25
  369. Q1 1:23
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    24-26
  370. Q1 1:33
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    24-24
  371. Q1 1:35
    Cedric Coward defensive rebound
  372. Q1 1:38
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  373. Q1 1:45
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  374. Q1 1:49
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  375. Q1 1:53
    Cam Spencer defensive rebound
  376. Q1 1:56
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  377. Q1 2:13
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    21-24
  378. Q1 2:25
    Kenrich Williams personal foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
  379. Q1 2:37
    +3
    Kenrich Williams makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
    19-24
  380. Q1 2:50
    Jaylen Wells offensive foul (Charge) (Kenrich Williams draws the foul)
  381. Q1 2:50
    Jaylen Wells turnover (offensive foul)
  382. Q1 2:50
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Cam Spencer, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
  383. Q1 2:51
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  384. Q1 2:54
    Ajay Mitchell misses two point driving layup
  385. Q1 2:54
    Ajay Mitchell turnover (lost ball)
  386. Q1 3:05
    Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
  387. Q1 3:07
    Santi Aldama misses two point driving floating jump shot
  388. Q1 3:27
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Kenrich Williams assists)
    19-21
Box Score
Grizzlies
PosPlayerPts
Thunder
PosPlayerPts

Grizzlies vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Grizzlies vs. Thunder
  • Date: Monday, December 22, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -15
  • Total (Over/Under): 234
  • Moneyline Odds: Grizzlies +800, Thunder -1115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Grizzlies: 13%
  • Thunder: 87%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Grizzlies 110-123 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Grizzlies a win probability of 13%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 87%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Grizzlies vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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