Rockets vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Mavericks NBA game on December 6, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Rockets
109
122
American Airlines Center
Mavericks
American Airlines Center
TEAM1234T
Rockets
22 35 52 0 109
Mavericks
21 36 65 0 122
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rockets
    51%
  • Mavericks
    49%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Rockets
22 35 52 0 109
Mavericks
21 36 65 0 122
Q4 00:40 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:16 Jaden Hardy misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Q4 1:42 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Mavericks makes two point jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
Q4 2:01 Aaron Holiday makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:05 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:24 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:49 Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:11 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q3 Q4
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:16
    Mavericks turnover
  3. Q4 00:38
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:40
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  5. Q4 00:46
    D'Angelo Russell turnover
  6. Q4 1:03
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    109-122
  7. Q4 1:11
    Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
  8. Q4 1:16
    Jaden Hardy misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
  9. Q4 1:32
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  10. Q4 1:32
    Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Jaden Hardy, Dwight Powell, Moussa Cisse, Caleb Martin)
  11. Q4 1:38
    Anthony Davis defensive rebound
  12. Q4 1:42
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  13. Q4 1:52
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
    109-122
  14. Q4 1:59
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  15. Q4 2:01
    +2
    Aaron Holiday makes two point jump shot
    107-122
  16. Q4 2:05
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  17. Q4 2:05
    Rockets offensive rebound
  18. Q4 2:06
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  19. Q4 2:06
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jae'Sean Tate, JD Davison, Aaron Holiday, Isaiah Crawford)
  20. Q4 2:24
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    109-122
  21. Q4 2:36
    Amen Thompson turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Washington steals)
  22. Q4 2:49
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
    105-120
  23. Q4 3:11
    Ime Udoka technical foul
  24. Q4 3:11
    Anthony Davis misses technical free throw 1 of 1
  25. Q4 3:11
    Anthony Davis personal foul
  26. Q4 3:11
    Rockets defensive rebound
  27. Q4 3:11
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  28. Q4 3:11
    +1
    Aaron Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    109-122
  29. Q4 3:11
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    109-122
  30. Q4 3:11
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  31. Q4 3:20
    Rockets defensive rebound
  32. Q4 3:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  33. Q4 3:23
    Anthony Davis misses two point driving floating jump shot
  34. Q4 3:34
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  35. Q4 3:38
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  36. Q4 3:48
    +2
    Anthony Davis makes two point dunk (Cooper Flagg assists)
    102-116
  37. Q4 3:54
    Amen Thompson turnover (lost ball) (Brandon Williams steals)
  38. Q4 3:57
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  39. Q4 4:02
    Cooper Flagg misses two point jump shot
  40. Q4 4:14
    Jae'Sean Tate personal foul
  41. Q4 4:25
    Rockets delay of game violation
  42. Q4 4:28
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    109-122
  43. Q4 4:37
    P.J. Washington personal foul
  44. Q4 4:37
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  45. Q4 4:50
    +3
    P.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
    100-114
  46. Q4 5:10
    +2
    Aaron Holiday makes two point jump shot
    99-111
  47. Q4 5:10
    Mavericks personal foul
  48. Q4 5:10
    +1
    Aaron Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    109-122
  49. Q4 5:10
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg)
  50. Q4 5:13
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  51. Q4 5:15
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point jump shot
  52. Q4 5:24
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  53. Q4 5:29
    Aaron Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot
  54. Q4 5:36
    Mavericks turnover
  55. Q4 5:37
    Mavericks personal foul
  56. Q4 5:37
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, Anthony Davis, Max Christie)
  57. Q4 5:52
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    109-122
  58. Q4 6:01
    Anthony Davis offensive rebound
  59. Q4 6:01
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    109-122
  60. Q4 6:05
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  61. Q4 6:23
    Anthony Davis defensive rebound
  62. Q4 6:26
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  63. Q4 6:41
    Naji Marshall turnover (offensive foul)
  64. Q4 6:41
    Naji Marshall offensive foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
  65. Q4 6:49
    Dwight Powell shooting foul
  66. Q4 6:49
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  67. Q4 6:49
    Instant replay
  68. Q4 6:49
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jae'Sean Tate, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  69. Q4 6:49
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Max Christie)
  70. Q4 6:49
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    109-122
  71. Q4 6:49
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    109-122
  72. Q4 6:50
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  73. Q4 7:03
    Max Christie turnover (bad pass) (Amen Thompson steals)
  74. Q4 7:23
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    109-122
  75. Q4 7:31
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    90-108
  76. Q4 7:31
    Reed Sheppard personal foul
  77. Q4 7:31
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    109-122
  78. Q4 7:31
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Dwight Powell, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie)
  79. Q4 7:45
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  80. Q4 7:45
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    109-122
  81. Q4 7:50
    Amen Thompson misses three point pullup jump shot
  82. Q4 8:03
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    90-107
  83. Q4 8:24
    +3
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot (Reed Sheppard assists)
    90-107
  84. Q4 8:33
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  85. Q4 8:37
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  86. Q4 8:55
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    109-122
  87. Q4 9:14
    +3
    Ryan Nembhard makes three point jump shot
    83-105
  88. Q4 9:19
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  89. Q4 9:23
    Aaron Holiday misses two point jump shot
  90. Q4 9:33
    +1
    Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    109-122
  91. Q4 9:33
    Rockets personal foul
  92. Q4 9:33
    +1
    Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    109-122
  93. Q4 9:53
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    109-122
  94. Q4 9:56
    Dwight Powell turnover (Jabari Smith Jr. steals)
  95. Q4 10:03
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  96. Q4 10:03
    Dwight Powell defensive rebound
  97. Q4 10:04
    Clint Capela offensive rebound
  98. Q4 10:07
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  99. Q4 10:29
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    77-98
  100. Q4 10:47
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    109-122
  101. Q4 10:53
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  102. Q4 10:57
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  103. Q4 11:08
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  104. Q4 11:10
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  105. Q4 11:25
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  106. Q4 11:26
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    77-98
  107. Q4 11:28
    Amen Thompson turnover
  108. Q4 11:40
    Rockets personal foul
  109. Q4 11:40
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    77-94
  110. Q4 11:40
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    77-98
  111. Q3 00:00
    +3
    Naji Marshall makes three point jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
    77-94
  112. Q3 00:00
    Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
  113. Q4 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  114. Q4 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Dwight Powell, Cooper Flagg)
  115. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  116. Q3 00:06
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  117. Q3 00:09
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  118. Q3 00:32
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    109-122
  119. Q3 00:48
    +2
    Jeff Green makes two point jump shot
    77-94
  120. Q3 1:00
    Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
  121. Q3 1:02
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  122. Q3 1:17
    Dwight Powell defensive rebound
  123. Q3 1:20
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  124. Q3 1:40
    +2
    P.J. Washington makes two point tip layup
    77-94
  125. Q3 1:40
    P.J. Washington offensive rebound
  126. Q3 1:46
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  127. Q3 1:49
    Kevin Durant turnover (bad pass) (Naji Marshall steals)
  128. Q3 2:01
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    109-122
  129. Q3 2:14
    Max Christie personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  130. Q3 2:14
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point jump shot
    77-94
  131. Q3 2:14
    Rockets lineup change (Jeff Green, Kevin Durant, Jae'Sean Tate, JD Davison, Aaron Holiday)
  132. Q3 2:14
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, Dwight Powell, Max Christie)
  133. Q3 2:14
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    109-122
  134. Q3 2:26
    +2
    Anthony Davis makes two point jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
    72-85
  135. Q3 2:42
    Anthony Davis defensive rebound
  136. Q3 2:46
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  137. Q3 3:01
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    109-122
  138. Q3 3:20
    +2
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
    72-85
  139. Q3 3:45
    +2
    Anthony Davis makes two point jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
    72-85
  140. Q3 4:10
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point driving layup
    72-85
  141. Q3 4:32
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  142. Q3 4:32
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, JD Davison, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  143. Q3 4:33
    +2
    P.J. Washington makes two point jump shot
    77-98
  144. Q3 4:37
    Rockets turnover
  145. Q3 4:47
    Reed Sheppard offensive rebound
  146. Q3 4:51
    Kevin Durant misses two point pullup jump shot
  147. Q3 5:09
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    109-122
  148. Q3 5:13
    Rockets turnover
  149. Q3 5:25
    Rockets personal foul
  150. Q3 5:25
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    109-122
  151. Q3 5:25
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    109-122
  152. Q3 5:28
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  153. Q3 5:30
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  154. Q3 5:35
    JD Davison offensive rebound
  155. Q3 5:38
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  156. Q3 5:55
    +2
    Anthony Davis makes two point jump shot
    68-73
  157. Q3 5:57
    Rockets turnover
  158. Q3 6:11
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    109-122
  159. Q3 6:15
    Brandon Williams defensive rebound
  160. Q3 6:20
    Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
  161. Q3 6:34
    Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  162. Q3 6:34
    +1
    Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    77-98
  163. Q3 6:34
    Rockets personal foul
  164. Q3 6:34
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  165. Q3 6:34
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie)
  166. Q3 6:34
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, JD Davison, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  167. Q3 6:34
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  168. Q3 6:36
    Rockets turnover
  169. Q3 6:59
    +2
    Anthony Davis makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
    77-98
  170. Q3 7:00
    Josh Okogie shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
  171. Q3 7:00
    Stoppage (Court cleanup)
  172. Q3 7:00
    +1
    Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    104-116
  173. Q3 7:00
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg)
  174. Q3 7:24
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    77-98
  175. Q3 7:25
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  176. Q3 7:29
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  177. Q3 7:44
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    77-98
  178. Q3 7:50
    Naji Marshall offensive rebound
  179. Q3 7:52
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  180. Q3 8:04
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    77-98
  181. Q3 8:23
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot
    77-98
  182. Q3 8:34
    +3
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
    66-65
  183. Q3 8:41
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  184. Q3 8:45
    Ryan Nembhard misses two point jump shot
  185. Q3 8:58
    Ryan Nembhard offensive rebound
  186. Q3 9:01
    P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
  187. Q3 9:13
    Anthony Davis defensive rebound
  188. Q3 9:17
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  189. Q3 9:38
    Mavericks turnover
  190. Q3 9:38
    Mavericks personal foul
  191. Q3 9:51
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  192. Q3 9:51
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  193. Q3 9:52
    Josh Okogie misses three point jump shot
  194. Q3 9:58
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  195. Q3 10:01
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  196. Q3 10:15
    Rockets turnover
  197. Q3 10:16
    Clint Capela offensive rebound
  198. Q3 10:19
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  199. Q3 10:34
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    90-107
  200. Q3 10:55
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    90-107
  201. Q3 11:09
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    90-107
  202. Q3 11:37
    +2
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point jump shot (Clint Capela assists)
    90-107
  203. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  204. Q2 00:00
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    57-57
  205. Q3 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  206. Q3 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg)
  207. Q2 00:01
    P.J. Washington shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  208. Q2 00:01
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    54-57
  209. Q2 00:01
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Jae'Sean Tate, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  210. Q2 00:01
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    66-65
  211. Q2 00:06
    Brandon Williams personal foul (Take) (Aaron Holiday draws the foul)
  212. Q2 00:06
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  213. Q2 00:06
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie)
  214. Q2 00:09
    Aaron Holiday defensive rebound
  215. Q2 00:12
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  216. Q2 00:32
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    54-57
  217. Q2 00:41
    Rockets personal foul
  218. Q2 00:41
    +1
    Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    57-57
  219. Q2 00:41
    +1
    Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    57-57
  220. Q2 00:41
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  221. Q2 00:56
    Rockets turnover
  222. Q2 1:13
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    54-57
  223. Q2 1:19
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  224. Q2 1:20
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  225. Q2 1:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  226. Q2 1:36
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    52-53
  227. Q2 1:57
    Aaron Holiday defensive rebound
  228. Q2 2:00
    P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
  229. Q2 2:18
    +3
    Aaron Holiday makes three point jump shot (Reed Sheppard assists)
    54-57
  230. Q2 2:40
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    54-57
  231. Q2 2:45
    Rockets offensive rebound
  232. Q2 2:46
    Kevin Durant misses two point jump shot
  233. Q2 2:47
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  234. Q2 2:47
    Rockets turnover (shot clock violation)
  235. Q2 2:47
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  236. Q2 3:13
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    47-51
  237. Q2 3:20
    Max Christie shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
  238. Q2 3:20
    Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  239. Q2 3:20
    Rockets offensive rebound
  240. Q2 3:20
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    47-49
  241. Q2 3:20
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  242. Q2 3:20
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie)
  243. Q2 3:20
    Rockets offensive rebound
  244. Q2 3:36
    +3
    Brandon Williams makes three point jump shot
    46-49
  245. Q2 3:46
    Rockets turnover
  246. Q2 3:52
    P.J. Washington turnover (lost ball) (Josh Okogie steals)
  247. Q2 4:12
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    46-49
  248. Q2 4:32
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point running layup
    46-46
  249. Q2 4:37
    Rockets turnover
  250. Q2 4:39
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  251. Q2 4:42
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
  252. Q2 4:58
    +3
    Max Christie makes three point stepback bank jump shot
    44-43
  253. Q2 4:58
    +1
    Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    47-51
  254. Q2 4:58
    Rockets personal foul
  255. Q2 5:03
    Dwight Powell offensive rebound
  256. Q2 5:06
    Jabari Smith Jr. blocks Max Christie's two point jump shot
  257. Q2 5:28
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    47-51
  258. Q2 5:40
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  259. Q2 5:42
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  260. Q2 6:01
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
    47-51
  261. Q2 6:05
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  262. Q2 6:05
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Dwight Powell, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie)
  263. Q2 6:18
    Josh Okogie defensive rebound
  264. Q2 6:22
    Cooper Flagg misses two point jump shot
  265. Q2 6:37
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  266. Q2 6:40
    Kevin Durant misses two point jump shot
  267. Q2 6:44
    Josh Okogie offensive rebound
  268. Q2 6:47
    +2
    Clint Capela makes two point jump shot
    47-51
  269. Q2 6:47
    Brandon Williams personal foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)
  270. Q2 6:47
    Clint Capela misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  271. Q2 6:47
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  272. Q2 6:53
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  273. Q2 6:53
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, Dwight Powell, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie)
  274. Q2 6:55
    Josh Okogie offensive rebound
  275. Q2 7:01
    Cooper Flagg blocks Jabari Smith Jr.'s two point jump shot
  276. Q2 7:06
    Josh Okogie defensive rebound
  277. Q2 7:08
    Clint Capela blocks Cooper Flagg's two point jump shot
  278. Q2 7:08
    Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
  279. Q2 7:11
    Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
  280. Q2 7:26
    Clint Capela personal foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
  281. Q2 7:26
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  282. Q2 7:30
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  283. Q2 7:48
    Mavericks personal foul
  284. Q2 7:48
    +1
    Josh Okogie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    38-40
  285. Q2 7:48
    +1
    Josh Okogie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    38-40
  286. Q2 7:48
    Rockets lineup change (Jeff Green, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela)
  287. Q2 7:48
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  288. Q2 7:48
    Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg)
  289. Q2 7:48
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  290. Q2 7:57
    Anthony Davis kicked ball violation
  291. Q2 7:57
    Instant replay
  292. Q2 7:57
    Rockets lineup change (Jeff Green, Jae'Sean Tate, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  293. Q2 8:08
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    38-40
  294. Q2 8:08
    Rockets lineup change (Jeff Green, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela)
  295. Q2 8:08
    Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg)
  296. Q2 8:08
    Rockets lineup change (Jeff Green, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela)
  297. Q2 8:08
    Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg)
  298. Q2 8:08
    Rockets lineup change (Jeff Green, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela)
  299. Q2 8:08
    Rockets lineup change (Jeff Green, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela)
  300. Q2 8:08
    Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg)
  301. Q2 8:17
    Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Jaden Hardy, P.J. Washington, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis)
  302. Q2 8:17
    Amen Thompson offensive foul (D'Angelo Russell draws the foul)
  303. Q2 8:17
    Amen Thompson turnover (offensive foul)
  304. Q2 8:17
    Rockets lineup change (Jeff Green, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela)
  305. Q2 8:17
    Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg)
  306. Q2 8:17
    Rockets lineup change (Jeff Green, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela)
  307. Q2 8:17
    Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg)
  308. Q2 8:17
    Rockets lineup change (Jeff Green, Jae'Sean Tate, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  309. Q2 8:17
    Rockets lineup change (Jeff Green, Jae'Sean Tate, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  310. Q2 8:17
    Rockets lineup change (Jeff Green, Jae'Sean Tate, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  311. Q2 8:17
    Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, Jaden Hardy, P.J. Washington, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis)
  312. Q2 8:21
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  313. Q2 8:24
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  314. Q2 8:44
    +2
    Reed Sheppard makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jeff Green assists)
    38-40
  315. Q2 8:47
    Clint Capela offensive rebound
  316. Q2 8:51
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  317. Q2 9:03
    +1
    D'Angelo Russell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    38-40
  318. Q2 9:03
    +1
    D'Angelo Russell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    38-40
  319. Q2 9:03
    Rockets personal foul
  320. Q2 9:03
    Rockets lineup change (Jeff Green, Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson)
  321. Q2 9:18
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    28-33
  322. Q2 9:36
    +3
    P.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (D'Angelo Russell assists)
    38-40
  323. Q2 9:38
    Amen Thompson personal foul
  324. Q2 9:50
    +3
    Reed Sheppard makes three point running pullup jump shot
    38-40
  325. Q2 9:54
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  326. Q2 9:59
    D'Angelo Russell misses two point jump shot
  327. Q2 10:17
    Amen Thompson turnover
  328. Q2 10:31
    Mavericks turnover
  329. Q2 10:32
    Anthony Davis misses two point jump shot
  330. Q2 10:32
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  331. Q2 10:32
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  332. Q2 10:59
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    38-40
  333. Q2 11:13
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    38-40
  334. Q2 11:16
    Rockets turnover
  335. Q2 11:33
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    36-39
  336. Q2 11:41
    D'Angelo Russell defensive rebound
  337. Q2 11:45
    Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
  338. Q1 00:00
    Rockets offensive rebound
  339. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  340. Q1 00:00
    Amen Thompson misses heave shot
  341. Q1 00:00
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    28-33
  342. Q2 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Jeff Green, Jae'Sean Tate, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  343. Q1 00:03
    Rockets turnover
  344. Q1 00:16
    Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
  345. Q1 00:18
    Josh Okogie blocks Brandon Williams's two point jump shot
  346. Q1 00:27
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  347. Q1 00:27
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jae'Sean Tate, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  348. Q1 00:32
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  349. Q1 00:34
    Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
  350. Q1 00:48
    Rockets personal foul
  351. Q1 00:48
    +2
    Brandon Williams makes two point pullup jump shot
    26-26
  352. Q1 00:48
    +1
    Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    22-21
  353. Q1 00:57
    +2
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
    26-24
  354. Q1 1:03
    D'Angelo Russell turnover (bad pass) (Amen Thompson steals)
  355. Q1 1:10
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  356. Q1 1:13
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  357. Q1 1:22
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  358. Q1 1:24
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    47-51
  359. Q1 1:24
    Brandon Williams misses two point jump shot
  360. Q1 1:34
    Rockets personal foul
  361. Q1 1:34
    Jae'Sean Tate turnover (offensive foul)
  362. Q1 1:42
    Jae'Sean Tate personal foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
  363. Q1 1:42
    Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  364. Q1 1:42
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  365. Q1 1:42
    +1
    Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    22-21
  366. Q1 1:47
    Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul (D'Angelo Russell draws the foul)
  367. Q1 1:47
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    38-40
  368. Q1 1:47
    Rockets lineup change (Jae'Sean Tate, Reed Sheppard, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  369. Q1 2:07
    +2
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point running finger roll layup (Jae'Sean Tate assists)
    2-3
  370. Q1 2:11
    Mavericks turnover
  371. Q1 2:22
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  372. Q1 2:25
    Aaron Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot
  373. Q1 2:48
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    2-3
  374. Q1 2:54
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  375. Q1 2:57
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  376. Q1 3:02
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  377. Q1 3:04
    P.J. Washington misses two point jump shot
  378. Q1 3:11
    Aaron Holiday personal foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)
  379. Q1 3:11
    Mavericks lineup change (D'Angelo Russell, P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Dwight Powell, Max Christie)
  380. Q1 3:22
    +2
    Reed Sheppard makes two point jump shot
    2-3
  381. Q1 3:44
    Dwight Powell turnover (offensive foul)
  382. Q1 3:44
    Dwight Powell offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jae'Sean Tate draws the foul)
  383. Q1 3:44
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Jae'Sean Tate, Reed Sheppard, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  384. Q1 4:00
    +3
    Kevin Durant makes three point pullup jump shot
    20-21
  385. Q1 4:06
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  386. Q1 4:09
    Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
  387. Q1 4:16
    Reed Sheppard personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
  388. Q1 4:16
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Dwight Powell, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie)
  389. Q1 4:28
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point pullup jump shot
    17-21
  390. Q1 4:50
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
    15-21
  391. Q1 4:56
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  392. Q1 4:59
    Reed Sheppard misses two point jump shot
  393. Q1 5:05
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  394. Q1 5:08
    Brandon Williams misses two point driving layup
  395. Q1 5:14
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  396. Q1 5:15
    Clint Capela personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
  397. Q1 5:15
    Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
  398. Q1 5:15
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Jae'Sean Tate, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Aaron Holiday)
  399. Q1 5:15
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  400. Q1 5:15
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, Dwight Powell, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie)
  401. Q1 5:15
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  402. Q1 5:21
    +3
    Aaron Holiday makes three point stepback jump shot (Reed Sheppard assists)
    15-19
  403. Q1 5:26
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  404. Q1 5:30
    Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
  405. Q1 5:48
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point fadeaway jump shot
    12-19
  406. Q1 6:04
    Rockets defensive rebound
  407. Q1 6:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  408. Q1 6:04
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  409. Q1 6:07
    Anthony Davis misses three point jump shot
  410. Q1 6:29
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point stepback jump shot
    10-19
  411. Q1 6:43
    +2
    Anthony Davis makes two point cutting layup (Ryan Nembhard assists)
    8-19
  412. Q1 6:54
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie)
  413. Q1 6:54
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  414. Q1 6:54
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  415. Q1 6:54
    Rockets turnover (shot clock violation)
  416. Q1 6:59
    Kevin Durant turnover (P.J. Washington steals)
  417. Q1 7:06
    Josh Okogie offensive rebound
  418. Q1 7:10
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
  419. Q1 7:20
    +2
    Anthony Davis makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
    8-17
  420. Q1 7:27
    Josh Okogie offensive rebound
  421. Q1 7:27
    +2
    Josh Okogie makes two point tip layup
    8-15
  422. Q1 7:33
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
  423. Q1 7:50
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)
    6-15
  424. Q1 7:56
    Anthony Davis defensive rebound
  425. Q1 7:59
    Clint Capela misses two point turnaround hook shot
  426. Q1 8:06
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  427. Q1 8:06
    Rockets offensive rebound
  428. Q1 8:08
    Amen Thompson misses three point jump shot
  429. Q1 8:28
    +2
    Anthony Davis makes two point turnaround jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
    6-13
  430. Q1 8:36
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point driving finger roll layup
    6-11
  431. Q1 8:59
    +2
    Ryan Nembhard makes two point pullup jump shot
    4-11
  432. Q1 9:14
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point pullup jump shot
    4-9
  433. Q1 9:31
    +2
    Ryan Nembhard makes two point running finger roll layup
    2-9
  434. Q1 9:37
    Anthony Davis defensive rebound
  435. Q1 9:40
    Amen Thompson misses two point driving floating jump shot
  436. Q1 10:01
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point running dunk (Ryan Nembhard assists)
    2-7
  437. Q1 10:06
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  438. Q1 10:08
    Kevin Durant misses two point driving hook shot
  439. Q1 10:20
    Anthony Davis offensive rebound
  440. Q1 10:20
    +2
    Anthony Davis makes two point putback layup
    2-5
  441. Q1 10:26
    Cooper Flagg misses two point driving layup
  442. Q1 10:44
    Josh Okogie turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Washington steals)
  443. Q1 10:45
    P.J. Washington turnover (lost ball) (Josh Okogie steals)
  444. Q1 10:45
    Rockets turnover
  445. Q1 10:48
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  446. Q1 10:50
    Kevin Durant misses three point pullup jump shot
  447. Q1 11:09
    +3
    Cooper Flagg makes three point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
    2-3
  448. Q1 11:17
    +2
    Clint Capela makes two point tip layup
    2-0
  449. Q1 11:20
    Clint Capela offensive rebound
  450. Q1 11:21
    Clint Capela offensive rebound
  451. Q1 11:21
    Clint Capela misses two point putback layup
  452. Q1 11:23
    Cooper Flagg blocks Clint Capela's two point cutting layup
  453. Q1 11:39
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  454. Q1 11:41
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  455. Q1 11:44
    Anthony Davis misses two point turnaround jump shot
  456. Q1 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  457. Q1 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg)
  458. Q1 12:00
    Clint Capela vs. Anthony Davis (Cooper Flagg gains possession)
  459. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Rockets
PosPlayerPts
Mavericks
PosPlayerPts

Rockets vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rockets vs. Mavericks
  • Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rockets favored at -6.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 221
  • Moneyline Odds: Rockets -250, Mavericks +220

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rockets: 69%
  • Mavericks: 31%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 114-108 Mavericks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 69%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 31%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rockets vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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