Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Warriors NBA game on November 26, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
Rockets
104
100
Chase Center
Warriors
Chase Center
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 22 | 25 | 27 | 30 | 104 |
Warriors | 25 | 34 | 17 | 24 | 100 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Rockets
- Warriors
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 22 | 25 | 27 | 30 | 104 |
Warriors | 25 | 34 | 17 | 24 | 100 |
Q4 00:00 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:06 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:16 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:13 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:27 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:13 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:28 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:58 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Warriors offensive rebound
- End of 4th Quarter.
- Rockets 60 second timeout
- Warriors personal foul
- Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
- +1Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 2103-100
- +1Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 2 of 2104-100
- +3Warriors makes three point jump shot102-100
- Draymond Green defensive rebound
- Rockets personal foul
- Warriors personal foul
- Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Rockets offensive rebound
- Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot102-97
- +1Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2101-95
- Warriors personal foul
- +1Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2102-95
- Warriors turnover
- Warriors personal foul
- Reed Sheppard misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
- Rockets offensive rebound
- +1Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 2 of 2100-95
- Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)
- Warriors 60 second timeout
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr.)
- Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Draymond Green)
- +1Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 299-94
- Rockets personal foul
- +1Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 299-95
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot99-93
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot97-93
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot97-91
- Warriors turnover
- Stephen Curry defensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Jump ball. (Alperen Sengun gains possession)
- Rockets defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Stephen Curry defensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Warriors personal foul
- Stephen Curry turnover (offensive foul)
- Warriors 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Draymond Green)
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot95-91
- Rockets personal foul
- Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Warriors offensive rebound
- Amen Thompson defensive rebound
- Rockets personal foul
- Amen Thompson turnover (offensive foul)
- Rockets 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- Warriors 60 second timeout
- +1Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 292-91
- +1Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 293-91
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot91-91
- Will Richard defensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Warriors turnover
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot91-89
- Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Rockets turnover
- Aaron Holiday offensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Warriors personal foul
- Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot88-89
- Will Richard offensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Will Richard defensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Amen Thompson defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Draymond Green defensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Rockets offensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot88-87
- Draymond Green offensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Moses Moody offensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Moses Moody offensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Brandin Podziemski misses two point jump shot
- Rockets defensive rebound
- Warriors 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Draymond Green)
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot88-85
- Rockets personal foul
- +1Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 286-84
- +1Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 286-85
- Stephen Curry defensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Amen Thompson defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Draymond Green defensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Warriors personal foul
- Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
- Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
- Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
- Buddy Hield misses three point jump shot
- Buddy Hield defensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- +3Warriors makes three point jump shot86-83
- Rockets personal foul
- Rockets turnover
- Warriors personal foul
- Rockets personal foul
- +1Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 286-79
- +1Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 286-80
- Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot86-78
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot83-78
- Rockets personal foul
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot83-76
- Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot81-76
- Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
- Rockets personal foul
- Rockets 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- Jimmy Butler III turnover
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot79-76
- Amen Thompson defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot77-76
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Rockets offensive rebound
- End of 3rd Quarter.
- Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, JD Davison, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Jae'Sean Tate)
- Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Will Richard, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot74-76
- Rockets personal foul
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, JD Davison, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Jae'Sean Tate)
- Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody)
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot74-74
- Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot72-74
- Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Quinten Post defensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Warriors personal foul
- +1Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 270-74
- +1Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 269-74
- Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Jae'Sean Tate)
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Clint Capela defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Gui Santos defensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Clint Capela offensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Warriors personal foul
- Gui Santos turnover (offensive foul)
- Rockets defensive rebound
- Warriors personal foul
- Rockets 60 second timeout
- Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler III, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski)
- Rockets offensive rebound
- +1Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 268-74
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Stephen Curry defensive rebound
- Clint Capela offensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Stephen Curry defensive rebound
- Amen Thompson misses two point tip layup
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Reed Sheppard offensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Rockets personal foul
- +1Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 267-73
- +1Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 267-74
- Gui Santos defensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Warriors turnover
- Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski)
- Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Clint Capela, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
- Quinten Post offensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot67-72
- Warriors turnover
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot64-72
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot62-72
- Moses Moody defensive rebound
- Warriors personal foul
- +1Aaron Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 262-70
- Aaron Holiday misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Clint Capela defensive rebound
- Warriors misses two point jump shot
- Warriors personal foul
- +1Aaron Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 260-70
- +1Aaron Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 261-70
- Reed Sheppard personal foul (Quinten Post draws the foul)
- Quinten Post misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Warriors offensive rebound
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Clint Capela, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
- Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Stephen Curry, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody)
- +1Quinten Post makes regular free throw 2 of 259-70
- Moses Moody defensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot59-69
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot59-67
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Warriors 60 second timeout
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
- Warriors turnover
- Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Amen Thompson offensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Rockets offensive rebound
- Warriors personal foul
- Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Draymond Green)
- Warriors personal foul
- Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Draymond Green)
- Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Amen Thompson defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot56-67
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot53-67
- Rockets turnover
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot53-65
- +3Rockets makes three point jump shot53-63
- Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Josh Okogie offensive rebound
- Warriors personal foul
- +1Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 250-63
- Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Josh Okogie turnover (bad pass)
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot49-63
- Warriors offensive rebound
- Rockets personal foul
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Draymond Green defensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Amen Thompson defensive rebound
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot49-61
- Josh Okogie offensive rebound
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Rockets offensive rebound
- Warriors personal foul
- Rockets misses three point jump shot
- Will Richard offensive rebound
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot47-61
- Warriors misses three point jump shot
- Rockets offensive rebound
- End of 1st Half.
- Stephen Curry blocks Reed Sheppard's three point jump shot
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
- Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Draymond Green)
- +2Draymond Green makes two point running layup (Stephen Curry assists)47-59
- Quinten Post defensive rebound
- Josh Okogie turnover (bad pass)
- Reed Sheppard misses three point stepback jump shot
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot47-59
- Warriors personal foul
- Clint Capela offensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot46-55
- Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)
- +1Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 147-59
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Jae'Sean Tate)
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Jae'Sean Tate)
- Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)
- Alperen Sengun misses two point jump shot
- +3Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)44-55
- Alperen Sengun personal foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)
- Alperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)
- +3Will Richard makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler III assists)46-55
- Instant replay (Request)
- Amen Thompson personal foul (Will Richard draws the foul)
- +1Will Richard makes regular free throw 1 of 244-55
- Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)
- +1Will Richard makes flagrant free throw 2 of 246-55
- Rockets 60 second timeout
- Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
- Will Richard offensive rebound
- Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
- Quinten Post defensive rebound
- Rockets misses two point jump shot
- Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
- Brandin Podziemski misses two point jump shot
- Stephen Curry defensive rebound
- Clint Capela misses two point jump shot
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot46-55
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot46-55
- Clint Capela offensive rebound
- Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point jump shot
- +2Warriors makes two point jump shot47-59
- Quinten Post offensive rebound
- Moses Moody misses three point jump shot
- +2Rockets makes two point jump shot42-43
- Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
- Stephen Curry misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
- +2Reed Sheppard makes two point running layup40-43
- Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
- Quinten Post misses three point jump shot
- +2Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point fadeaway jump shot38-43
- +2Moses Moody makes two point driving reverse layup (Quinten Post assists)36-43
- Stephen Curry defensive rebound
- Quinten Post blocks Josh Okogie's two point jump shot
- Stephen Curry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
- Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
- Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
- Moses Moody misses two point pullup jump shot
- +2Amen Thompson makes two point driving bank hook shot36-41
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody)
- Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
- Stephen Curry misses two point floating jump shot
- Gary Payton II offensive rebound
- Reed Sheppard blocks Stephen Curry's three point stepback jump shot
- Quinten Post defensive rebound
- Josh Okogie misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Moses Moody shooting foul (Josh Okogie draws the foul)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Rockets vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Rockets vs. Warriors
- Date: Wednesday, November 26, 2025
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 224.5
- Moneyline Odds: Rockets +143, Warriors -143
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Rockets: 37%
- Warriors: 63%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 110-114 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 37%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Rockets in the NBA game at Chase Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Rockets vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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