Pelicans vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pelicans vs. Mavericks NBA game on November 21, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Pelicans
115
118
American Airlines Center
Mavericks
American Airlines Center
TEAM1234T
Pelicans
34 29 22 30 115
Mavericks
25 24 36 33 118
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pelicans
    2%
  • Mavericks
    98%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Pelicans
34 29 22 30 115
Mavericks
25 24 36 33 118
Q4 00:04 Derik Queen misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:09 Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:21 P.J. Washington blocks Jeremiah Fears's three point jump shot
Q4 00:31 Naji Marshall makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
Q4 00:42 Zion Williamson misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 1:19 Cooper Flagg makes two point turnaround bank jump shot
Q4 1:53 Zion Williamson makes two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 1:56 Zion Williamson misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:12 Cooper Flagg makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
Q4 2:25 Herbert Jones makes two point driving hook shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:03
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:04
    Derik Queen misses three point jump shot
  4. Q4 00:06
    Jeremiah Fears offensive rebound
  5. Q4 00:09
    Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
  6. Q4 00:10
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  7. Q4 00:10
    Jeremiah Fears personal foul (Take) (Max Christie draws the foul)
  8. Q4 00:10
    +1
    Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    115-117
  9. Q4 00:10
    +1
    Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-118
  10. Q4 00:10
    Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Derik Queen)
  11. Q4 00:10
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg)
  12. Q4 00:17
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  13. Q4 00:21
    P.J. Washington blocks Jeremiah Fears's three point jump shot
  14. Q4 00:30
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  15. Q4 00:31
    +3
    Naji Marshall makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
    115-116
  16. Q4 00:41
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  17. Q4 00:42
    Zion Williamson misses two point driving floating jump shot
  18. Q4 1:01
    Cooper Flagg turnover (lost ball) (Herbert Jones steals)
  19. Q4 1:05
    Derik Queen turnover (lost ball) (Dereck Lively II steals)
  20. Q4 1:19
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point turnaround bank jump shot
    115-113
  21. Q4 1:37
    Max Christie shooting foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
  22. Q4 1:37
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    114-111
  23. Q4 1:37
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-111
  24. Q4 1:39
    Naji Marshall turnover (lost ball) (Zion Williamson steals)
  25. Q4 1:53
    Zion Williamson offensive rebound
  26. Q4 1:53
    Dereck Lively II shooting foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
  27. Q4 1:53
    +2
    Zion Williamson makes two point driving floating jump shot
    112-111
  28. Q4 1:53
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    113-111
  29. Q4 1:56
    Zion Williamson misses two point jump shot
  30. Q4 2:12
    Derik Queen shooting foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
  31. Q4 2:12
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
    110-110
  32. Q4 2:12
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    110-111
  33. Q4 2:25
    Cooper Flagg defensive goaltending violation
  34. Q4 2:25
    +2
    Herbert Jones makes two point driving hook shot
    110-108
  35. Q4 2:40
    +2
    Max Christie makes two point running finger roll layup (Cooper Flagg assists)
    108-108
  36. Q4 2:43
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  37. Q4 2:47
    Trey Murphy III misses three point pullup jump shot
  38. Q4 2:52
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  39. Q4 2:52
    Dereck Lively II blocks Derik Queen's two point driving layup
  40. Q4 2:52
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  41. Q4 3:02
    Naji Marshall personal foul (Jeremiah Fears draws the foul)
  42. Q4 3:10
    Herbert Jones defensive rebound
  43. Q4 3:12
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    108-105
  44. Q4 3:12
    Herbert Jones personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
  45. Q4 3:12
    Naji Marshall technical foul
  46. Q4 3:12
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    108-106
  47. Q4 3:12
    Cooper Flagg misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  48. Q4 3:22
    +2
    Derik Queen makes two point driving bank hook shot (Jeremiah Fears assists)
    107-105
  49. Q4 3:33
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  50. Q4 3:33
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  51. Q4 3:34
    P.J. Washington blocks Derik Queen's two point driving layup
  52. Q4 3:47
    Jeremiah Fears shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
  53. Q4 3:47
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-104
  54. Q4 3:47
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  55. Q4 3:47
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-105
  56. Q4 4:02
    +2
    Derik Queen makes two point driving layup
    105-103
  57. Q4 4:14
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  58. Q4 4:14
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  59. Q4 4:14
    Stoppage (Court cleanup)
  60. Q4 4:14
    Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, Max Christie, Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
  61. Q4 4:15
    Trey Murphy III misses two point running finger roll layup
  62. Q4 4:19
    Max Christie turnover (lost ball) (Zion Williamson steals)
  63. Q4 4:31
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  64. Q4 4:34
    Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
  65. Q4 4:44
    Herbert Jones defensive rebound
  66. Q4 4:46
    Max Christie misses three point jump shot
  67. Q4 5:03
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    115-113
  68. Q4 5:12
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
    115-113
  69. Q4 5:19
    Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, Derik Queen)
  70. Q4 5:19
    Pelicans personal foul
  71. Q4 5:19
    Pelicans personal foul
  72. Q4 5:19
    +1
    Max Christie makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    115-113
  73. Q4 5:19
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Cooper Flagg)
  74. Q4 5:37
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    115-113
  75. Q4 5:54
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    99-100
  76. Q4 5:54
    Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
  77. Q4 5:57
    Cooper Flagg misses two point driving layup
  78. Q4 6:00
    Jeremiah Fears turnover
  79. Q4 6:02
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  80. Q4 6:07
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  81. Q4 6:19
    Max Christie shooting foul (Jeremiah Fears draws the foul)
  82. Q4 6:19
    Mavericks violation
  83. Q4 6:19
    +2
    Jeremiah Fears makes two point running layup
    99-100
  84. Q4 6:19
    +1
    Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    99-100
  85. Q4 6:21
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  86. Q4 6:25
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  87. Q4 6:28
    Brandon Williams offensive rebound
  88. Q4 6:31
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  89. Q4 6:50
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  90. Q4 6:50
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  91. Q4 6:50
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
  92. Q4 6:53
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  93. Q4 6:55
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  94. Q4 6:59
    Brandon Williams misses three point jump shot
  95. Q4 7:18
    +2
    Trey Murphy III makes two point jump shot
    115-113
  96. Q4 7:28
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  97. Q4 7:30
    P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
  98. Q4 7:46
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  99. Q4 7:48
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  100. Q4 7:55
    Herbert Jones offensive rebound
  101. Q4 7:58
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  102. Q4 8:03
    Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
  103. Q4 8:05
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  104. Q4 8:16
    Pelicans personal foul
  105. Q4 8:16
    Pelicans turnover
  106. Q4 8:16
    +1
    Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    115-113
  107. Q4 8:16
    Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Derik Queen)
  108. Q4 8:16
    +1
    Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-113
  109. Q4 8:30
    Stoppage (Court cleanup)
  110. Q4 8:37
    +2
    Max Christie makes two point running dunk (Cooper Flagg assists)
    94-96
  111. Q4 8:39
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  112. Q4 8:42
    Brandon Williams blocks Jose Alvarado's three point stepback jump shot
  113. Q4 8:51
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  114. Q4 8:51
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
  115. Q4 9:01
    Pelicans personal foul
  116. Q4 9:01
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
  117. Q4 9:01
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    115-113
  118. Q4 9:01
    Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
  119. Q4 9:01
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-113
  120. Q4 9:14
    Dereck Lively II personal foul
  121. Q4 9:14
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-113
  122. Q4 9:14
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson, Jose Alvarado)
  123. Q4 9:14
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    115-113
  124. Q4 9:14
    Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
  125. Q4 9:25
    +3
    P.J. Washington makes three point jump shot
    115-113
  126. Q4 9:38
    +2
    Micah Peavy makes two point jump shot (Jose Alvarado assists)
    92-92
  127. Q4 10:04
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    115-113
  128. Q4 10:07
    Brandon Williams offensive rebound
  129. Q4 10:10
    Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
  130. Q4 10:12
    Micah Peavy blocks Brandon Williams's two point jump shot
  131. Q4 10:12
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  132. Q4 10:12
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  133. Q4 10:22
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  134. Q4 10:24
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    90-87
  135. Q4 10:24
    Mavericks personal foul
  136. Q4 10:24
    Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  137. Q4 10:32
    Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
  138. Q4 10:36
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  139. Q4 10:41
    Pelicans turnover
  140. Q4 10:54
    +1
    Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    89-87
  141. Q4 10:54
    +1
    Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    89-86
  142. Q4 10:54
    Pelicans personal foul
  143. Q4 10:54
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  144. Q4 10:54
    Dereck Lively II offensive rebound
  145. Q4 11:08
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    115-113
  146. Q4 11:08
    Mavericks violation
  147. Q4 11:15
    Mavericks turnover
  148. Q4 11:35
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    115-113
  149. Q3 00:00
    Mavericks personal foul
  150. Q3 00:00
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  151. Q3 00:00
    +1
    Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    85-85
  152. Q3 00:00
    Jeremiah Fears misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  153. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  154. Q4 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Brandon Williams)
  155. Q4 12:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Zion Williamson, Jose Alvarado)
  156. Q3 00:09
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  157. Q3 00:12
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  158. Q3 00:12
    Pelicans personal foul
  159. Q3 00:12
    Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  160. Q3 00:12
    Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Jose Alvarado)
  161. Q3 00:12
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Daniel Gafford)
  162. Q3 00:12
    +1
    Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    115-113
  163. Q3 00:13
    Jordan Hawkins misses two point driving layup
  164. Q3 00:30
    Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
  165. Q3 00:32
    Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
  166. Q3 00:49
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  167. Q3 00:52
    Mavericks personal foul
  168. Q3 00:52
    Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  169. Q3 00:52
    Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  170. Q3 00:52
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  171. Q3 1:01
    Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
  172. Q3 1:02
    Pelicans personal foul
  173. Q3 1:02
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    84-85
  174. Q3 1:02
    Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  175. Q3 1:12
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    84-85
  176. Q3 1:12
    Daniel Gafford personal foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
  177. Q3 1:12
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    108-106
  178. Q3 1:19
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    82-83
  179. Q3 1:33
    +2
    Jose Alvarado makes two point jump shot
    108-106
  180. Q3 1:48
    Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
  181. Q3 1:50
    Pelicans personal foul
  182. Q3 1:50
    +1
    Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    108-106
  183. Q3 1:50
    Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  184. Q3 1:59
    Klay Thompson defensive rebound
  185. Q3 2:03
    Micah Peavy misses three point jump shot
  186. Q3 2:08
    Zion Williamson defensive rebound
  187. Q3 2:10
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  188. Q3 2:31
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    108-106
  189. Q3 2:50
    Mavericks turnover
  190. Q3 2:51
    Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
  191. Q3 2:53
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  192. Q3 3:03
    Pelicans personal foul
  193. Q3 3:03
    Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Zion Williamson, Jose Alvarado)
  194. Q3 3:15
    Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
  195. Q3 3:17
    Daniel Gafford blocks Micah Peavy's two point jump shot
  196. Q3 3:35
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    108-106
  197. Q3 3:49
    Cooper Flagg personal foul
  198. Q3 3:49
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
  199. Q3 3:49
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    84-85
  200. Q3 3:49
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    108-106
  201. Q3 3:49
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Jaden Hardy)
  202. Q3 3:53
    Naji Marshall turnover (bad pass) (Herbert Jones steals)
  203. Q3 4:17
    +2
    Trey Murphy III makes two point jump shot (Derik Queen assists)
    76-78
  204. Q3 4:19
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  205. Q3 4:22
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  206. Q3 4:26
    Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
  207. Q3 4:31
    Max Christie misses three point jump shot
  208. Q3 4:35
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  209. Q3 4:37
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  210. Q3 5:02
    +3
    Brandon Williams makes three point jump shot
    76-78
  211. Q3 5:05
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  212. Q3 5:09
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  213. Q3 5:20
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
    76-78
  214. Q3 5:30
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  215. Q3 5:33
    Jose Alvarado misses three point jump shot
  216. Q3 5:47
    Derik Queen personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
  217. Q3 5:47
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    76-78
  218. Q3 5:47
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    108-106
  219. Q3 6:00
    +2
    Derik Queen makes two point jump shot
    76-78
  220. Q3 6:00
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  221. Q3 6:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
  222. Q3 6:06
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  223. Q3 6:08
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  224. Q3 6:20
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  225. Q3 6:24
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  226. Q3 6:29
    Herbert Jones defensive rebound
  227. Q3 6:31
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  228. Q3 6:53
    Herbert Jones misses two point jump shot
  229. Q3 6:54
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  230. Q3 6:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  231. Q3 6:57
    Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
  232. Q3 6:58
    Brandon Williams misses two point driving layup
  233. Q3 7:14
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  234. Q3 7:17
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  235. Q3 7:38
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    76-78
  236. Q3 7:38
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  237. Q3 7:38
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Jose Alvarado, Derik Queen)
  238. Q3 7:45
    Brandon Williams defensive rebound
  239. Q3 7:47
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  240. Q3 8:10
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    76-78
  241. Q3 8:17
    Derik Queen turnover (bad pass) (Max Christie steals)
  242. Q3 8:36
    +1
    P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    70-62
  243. Q3 8:36
    Herbert Jones personal foul
  244. Q3 8:36
    +1
    P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    76-78
  245. Q3 8:40
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  246. Q3 8:43
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  247. Q3 8:59
    Dereck Lively II offensive foul (Off the ball) (Trey Murphy III draws the foul)
  248. Q3 8:59
    Dereck Lively II turnover (offensive foul)
  249. Q3 9:06
    +2
    Jeremiah Fears makes two point jump shot
    76-78
  250. Q3 9:09
    Mavericks turnover
  251. Q3 9:28
    Pelicans turnover
  252. Q3 9:28
    Trey Murphy III personal foul
  253. Q3 9:28
    +1
    Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    76-78
  254. Q3 9:34
    Mavericks technical foul (Defensive three second)
  255. Q3 9:34
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    94-96
  256. Q3 9:48
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    72-70
  257. Q3 9:48
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  258. Q3 10:01
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    76-78
  259. Q3 10:09
    Dereck Lively II offensive rebound
  260. Q3 10:09
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    76-78
  261. Q3 10:12
    P.J. Washington misses two point jump shot
  262. Q3 10:22
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  263. Q3 10:33
    +2
    Derik Queen makes two point jump shot
    76-78
  264. Q3 10:56
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    70-62
  265. Q3 11:08
    Dereck Lively II personal foul
  266. Q3 11:08
    +1
    Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    64-54
  267. Q3 11:08
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  268. Q3 11:08
    +1
    Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    70-62
  269. Q3 11:22
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point driving layup (Brandon Williams assists)
    63-54
  270. Q3 11:27
    Brandon Williams defensive rebound
  271. Q3 11:31
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  272. Q3 11:48
    +3
    Max Christie makes three point jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
    63-52
  273. Q2 00:00
    Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
  274. Q2 00:00
    Herbert Jones defensive rebound
  275. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  276. Q3 12:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, Derik Queen)
  277. Q3 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
  278. Q2 00:03
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Jaden Hardy, Cooper Flagg)
  279. Q2 00:03
    Pelicans lineup change (Micah Peavy, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Jose Alvarado)
  280. Q2 00:03
    Saddiq Bey personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
  281. Q2 00:04
    Mavericks personal foul
  282. Q2 00:04
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    63-49
  283. Q2 00:04
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    63-49
  284. Q2 00:04
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones)
  285. Q2 00:23
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  286. Q2 00:25
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  287. Q2 00:31
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  288. Q2 00:33
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  289. Q2 00:42
    P.J. Washington personal foul (Trey Murphy III draws the foul)
  290. Q2 00:42
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  291. Q2 00:42
    P.J. Washington turnover (Derik Queen steals)
  292. Q2 00:42
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    63-49
  293. Q2 00:42
    Stoppage (Court cleanup)
  294. Q2 00:45
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  295. Q2 00:53
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  296. Q2 00:56
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  297. Q2 1:08
    Pelicans turnover
  298. Q2 1:08
    Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, Derik Queen)
  299. Q2 1:21
    Daniel Gafford turnover (Trey Murphy III steals)
  300. Q2 1:37
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    63-49
  301. Q2 1:51
    Herbert Jones defensive rebound
  302. Q2 1:54
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  303. Q2 2:06
    Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
  304. Q2 2:08
    Herbert Jones misses two point driving floating jump shot
  305. Q2 2:16
    Herbert Jones defensive rebound
  306. Q2 2:19
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  307. Q2 2:39
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    58-49
  308. Q2 2:57
    +3
    Jaden Hardy makes three point running jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
    56-49
  309. Q2 3:02
    Pelicans turnover
  310. Q2 3:05
    Herbert Jones turnover
  311. Q2 3:05
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  312. Q2 3:05
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  313. Q2 3:06
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Jaden Hardy, Cooper Flagg)
  314. Q2 3:06
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Jaden Hardy, Cooper Flagg)
  315. Q2 3:06
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones)
  316. Q2 3:06
    Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones)
  317. Q2 3:11
    Herbert Jones defensive rebound
  318. Q2 3:15
    Max Christie misses three point jump shot
  319. Q2 3:20
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  320. Q2 3:22
    Yves Missi misses two point driving floating jump shot
  321. Q2 3:45
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    56-46
  322. Q2 3:53
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  323. Q2 3:59
    Jeremiah Fears turnover
  324. Q2 4:16
    Micah Peavy defensive rebound
  325. Q2 4:19
    Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
  326. Q2 4:22
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  327. Q2 4:40
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  328. Q2 4:43
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  329. Q2 4:54
    Jaden Hardy turnover
  330. Q2 5:00
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    56-43
  331. Q2 5:10
    Zion Williamson defensive rebound
  332. Q2 5:14
    Pelicans personal foul
  333. Q2 5:14
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford, Jaden Hardy, Cooper Flagg)
  334. Q2 5:14
    Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  335. Q2 5:14
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    56-43
  336. Q2 5:14
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones)
  337. Q2 5:20
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  338. Q2 5:22
    Herbert Jones misses two point jump shot
  339. Q2 5:29
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    54-42
  340. Q2 5:43
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  341. Q2 5:43
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  342. Q2 5:43
    Mavericks personal foul
  343. Q2 5:43
    Derik Queen misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  344. Q2 5:43
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  345. Q2 5:43
    +1
    Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    54-40
  346. Q2 5:51
    Mavericks violation
  347. Q2 5:51
    Pelicans lineup change (Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Derik Queen)
  348. Q2 5:59
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    53-40
  349. Q2 6:10
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    53-38
  350. Q2 6:29
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  351. Q2 6:29
    Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Jaden Hardy, Cooper Flagg)
  352. Q2 6:32
    Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
  353. Q2 6:35
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  354. Q2 6:59
    Mavericks personal foul
  355. Q2 6:59
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    50-38
  356. Q2 6:59
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    51-38
  357. Q2 6:59
    Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Derik Queen)
  358. Q2 6:59
    Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, Naji Marshall, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
  359. Q2 7:04
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  360. Q2 7:07
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  361. Q2 7:27
    +2
    Saddiq Bey makes two point jump shot
    49-38
  362. Q2 7:35
    Mavericks turnover
  363. Q2 7:51
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    47-38
  364. Q2 7:52
    Derik Queen offensive rebound
  365. Q2 7:55
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  366. Q2 8:10
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  367. Q2 8:11
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    45-38
  368. Q2 8:21
    Klay Thompson offensive rebound
  369. Q2 8:24
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  370. Q2 8:34
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  371. Q2 8:34
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  372. Q2 8:34
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  373. Q2 8:45
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    45-35
  374. Q2 8:53
    Dereck Lively II offensive rebound
  375. Q2 8:54
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  376. Q2 9:05
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    44-33
  377. Q2 9:05
    Mavericks personal foul
  378. Q2 9:05
    +1
    Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    45-33
  379. Q2 9:05
    Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado, Derik Queen)
  380. Q2 9:16
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  381. Q2 9:16
    Pelicans defensive rebound
  382. Q2 9:16
    Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado, Derik Queen)
  383. Q2 9:18
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  384. Q2 9:30
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot (Zion Williamson assists)
    42-33
  385. Q2 9:32
    Zion Williamson offensive rebound
  386. Q2 9:36
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  387. Q2 9:53
    Pelicans defensive rebound
  388. Q2 9:53
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  389. Q2 9:53
    Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Brandon Williams)
  390. Q2 9:54
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  391. Q2 9:56
    P.J. Washington offensive rebound
  392. Q2 9:58
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  393. Q2 10:14
    Pelicans turnover
  394. Q2 10:15
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  395. Q2 10:32
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    39-33
  396. Q2 10:37
    Pelicans personal foul
  397. Q2 10:42
    Pelicans personal foul
  398. Q2 10:51
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    39-31
  399. Q2 10:58
    Mavericks turnover
  400. Q2 11:03
    Brandon Williams defensive rebound
  401. Q2 11:05
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  402. Q2 11:14
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    36-31
  403. Q2 11:30
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    36-28
  404. Q2 11:46
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    34-28
  405. Q1 00:00
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  406. Q1 00:00
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  407. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  408. Q2 12:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Jose Alvarado, Derik Queen)
  409. Q2 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams)
  410. Q1 00:11
    Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
  411. Q1 00:17
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  412. Q1 00:30
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  413. Q1 00:30
    Jose Alvarado offensive rebound
  414. Q1 00:37
    Pelicans personal foul
  415. Q1 00:37
    Mavericks personal foul
  416. Q1 00:37
    Mavericks turnover
  417. Q1 00:55
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  418. Q1 00:58
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  419. Q1 00:58
    Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Zion Williamson, Jose Alvarado)
  420. Q1 1:09
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  421. Q1 1:09
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  422. Q1 1:09
    Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Zion Williamson, Jose Alvarado)
  423. Q1 1:09
    Instant replay
  424. Q1 1:09
    Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
  425. Q1 1:09
    P.J. Washington turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  426. Q1 1:09
    Pelicans challenge timeout
  427. Q1 1:10
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  428. Q1 1:13
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  429. Q1 1:18
    Mavericks turnover
  430. Q1 1:25
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  431. Q1 1:27
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  432. Q1 1:31
    Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
  433. Q1 1:33
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  434. Q1 1:56
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    32-25
  435. Q1 2:00
    Yves Missi offensive rebound
  436. Q1 2:04
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  437. Q1 2:10
    Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
  438. Q1 2:13
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  439. Q1 2:20
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  440. Q1 2:20
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  441. Q1 2:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  442. Q1 2:20
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Jaden Hardy)
  443. Q1 2:35
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    30-25
  444. Q1 2:55
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    28-25
  445. Q1 2:59
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  446. Q1 2:59
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  447. Q1 3:01
    Yves Missi misses two point tip layup
  448. Q1 3:04
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  449. Q1 3:18
    Pelicans personal foul
  450. Q1 3:18
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  451. Q1 3:18
    P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  452. Q1 3:18
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  453. Q1 3:18
    Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
  454. Q1 3:18
    +1
    P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-23
  455. Q1 3:34
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  456. Q1 3:37
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  457. Q1 3:50
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    28-22
  458. Q1 4:03
    Mavericks personal foul
  459. Q1 4:03
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    27-19
  460. Q1 4:03
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones)
  461. Q1 4:03
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse, Jaden Hardy)
  462. Q1 4:03
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    28-19
  463. Q1 4:14
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    25-19
  464. Q1 4:31
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    25-17
  465. Q1 4:47
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    23-17
  466. Q1 4:52
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  467. Q1 4:54
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  468. Q1 5:02
    Mavericks turnover
  469. Q1 5:20
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    23-14
  470. Q1 5:28
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  471. Q1 5:31
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  472. Q1 5:46
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    21-14
  473. Q1 5:47
    Herbert Jones offensive rebound
  474. Q1 5:50
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  475. Q1 6:10
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    18-14
  476. Q1 6:16
    Pelicans turnover
  477. Q1 6:17
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  478. Q1 6:21
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  479. Q1 6:28
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  480. Q1 6:39
    Mavericks turnover
  481. Q1 6:39
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  482. Q1 6:44
    Brandon Williams turnover (lost ball)
  483. Q1 6:59
    +3
    Jeremiah Fears makes three point pullup jump shot
    18-12
  484. Q1 7:00
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  485. Q1 7:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Derik Queen)
  486. Q1 7:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Moussa Cisse, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
  487. Q1 7:08
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
    15-12
  488. Q1 7:33
    +3
    Herbert Jones makes three point jump shot (Derik Queen assists)
    15-10
Box Score
Pelicans
PosPlayerPts
Mavericks
PosPlayerPts

Pelicans vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pelicans vs. Mavericks
  • Date: Friday, November 21, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mavericks favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 234
  • Moneyline Odds: Pelicans +140, Mavericks -154

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pelicans: 37%
  • Mavericks: 63%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pelicans 115-119 Mavericks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pelicans a win probability of 37%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mavericks are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pelicans vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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