Warriors vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Heat NBA game on November 19, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Warriors
90
100
Kaseya Center
Heat
Kaseya Center
TEAM1234T
Warriors
20 25 45 0 90
Heat
29 20 51 0 100
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Warriors
    14%
  • Heat
    86%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Warriors
20 25 45 0 90
Heat
29 20 51 0 100
Q4 00:14 Moses Moody makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:19 Norman Powell makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
Q4 00:34 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:40 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:47 Pat Spencer makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:54 Buddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:00 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:19 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:29 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:48 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q3 Q4
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:14
    +2
    Moses Moody makes two point jump shot
    90-100
  3. Q4 00:19
    +3
    Norman Powell makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
    90-100
  4. Q4 00:34
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    90-100
  5. Q4 00:40
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    90-100
  6. Q4 00:47
    +2
    Pat Spencer makes two point jump shot
    90-100
  7. Q4 00:52
    Pat Spencer offensive rebound
  8. Q4 00:54
    Buddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot
  9. Q4 1:00
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    90-100
  10. Q4 1:18
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  11. Q4 1:19
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  12. Q4 1:28
    Pat Spencer personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
  13. Q4 1:28
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    90-100
  14. Q4 1:28
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    90-100
  15. Q4 1:28
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  16. Q4 1:29
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  17. Q4 1:44
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  18. Q4 1:48
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  19. Q4 1:54
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Norman Powell assists)
    90-100
  20. Q4 2:18
    +3
    Buddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
    90-100
  21. Q4 2:27
    Davion Mitchell misses two point jump shot
  22. Q4 2:27
    Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
  23. Q4 2:27
    Heat personal foul
  24. Q4 2:27
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski)
  25. Q4 2:32
    Quinten Post turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Wiggins steals)
  26. Q4 2:45
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot
    90-100
  27. Q4 3:02
    Brandin Podziemski turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  28. Q4 3:04
    Heat turnover
  29. Q4 3:08
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  30. Q4 3:12
    Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
  31. Q4 3:14
    Heat personal foul
  32. Q4 3:18
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  33. Q4 3:27
    +3
    Bam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
    90-100
  34. Q4 3:43
    +2
    Quinten Post makes two point jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
    87-93
  35. Q4 3:58
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    85-93
  36. Q4 4:16
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
  37. Q4 4:16
    Heat 60 second timeout
  38. Q4 4:18
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    85-91
  39. Q4 4:25
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  40. Q4 4:27
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  41. Q4 4:37
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    83-91
  42. Q4 5:00
    Brandin Podziemski personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
  43. Q4 5:00
    Heat offensive rebound
  44. Q4 5:00
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  45. Q4 5:00
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    90-100
  46. Q4 5:10
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    83-91
  47. Q4 5:16
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  48. Q4 5:17
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  49. Q4 5:17
    Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
  50. Q4 5:18
    +2
    Norman Powell makes two point driving bank jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
    85-91
  51. Q4 5:31
    Quinten Post turnover
  52. Q4 5:41
    Buddy Hield shooting foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
  53. Q4 5:41
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    90-100
  54. Q4 5:41
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski)
  55. Q4 5:41
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    90-100
  56. Q4 5:48
    Quinten Post turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)
  57. Q4 5:53
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  58. Q4 5:56
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  59. Q4 6:07
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  60. Q4 6:11
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  61. Q4 6:24
    +2
    Norman Powell makes two point jump shot
    90-100
  62. Q4 6:38
    Pelle Larsson shooting foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
  63. Q4 6:38
    Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  64. Q4 6:38
    Warriors offensive rebound
  65. Q4 6:38
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo)
  66. Q4 6:38
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski)
  67. Q4 6:38
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    90-100
  68. Q4 6:41
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  69. Q4 6:43
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  70. Q4 6:49
    Buddy Hield turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)
  71. Q4 6:52
    Buddy Hield turnover (Buddy Hield steals)
  72. Q4 6:56
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  73. Q4 7:00
    Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
  74. Q4 7:21
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    77-83
  75. Q4 7:31
    Gui Santos turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  76. Q4 7:31
    Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)
  77. Q4 7:31
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
  78. Q4 7:31
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  79. Q4 7:31
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Dru Smith)
  80. Q4 7:32
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  81. Q4 7:38
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  82. Q4 7:48
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  83. Q4 7:54
    Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
  84. Q4 8:17
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    90-100
  85. Q4 8:17
    Warriors violation
  86. Q4 8:17
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
  87. Q4 8:20
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  88. Q4 8:28
    Warriors turnover
  89. Q4 8:30
    Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
  90. Q4 8:32
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  91. Q4 8:45
    Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
  92. Q4 8:47
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  93. Q4 8:49
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  94. Q4 8:51
    Simone Fontecchio misses two point jump shot
  95. Q4 9:03
    Brandin Podziemski personal foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)
  96. Q4 9:03
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
  97. Q4 9:03
    Heat personal foul
  98. Q4 9:20
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    90-100
  99. Q4 9:39
    +2
    Kel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
    90-100
  100. Q4 9:42
    Kel'el Ware misses two point tip layup
  101. Q4 9:42
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  102. Q4 9:42
    Dru Smith offensive rebound
  103. Q4 9:45
    Dru Smith misses two point jump shot
  104. Q4 9:55
    Warriors turnover
  105. Q4 10:03
    +1
    Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    74-74
  106. Q4 10:03
    +1
    Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    77-83
  107. Q4 10:03
    Warriors personal foul
  108. Q4 10:03
    +1
    Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    90-100
  109. Q4 10:03
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
  110. Q4 10:10
    Warriors turnover
  111. Q4 10:28
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  112. Q4 10:32
    Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
  113. Q4 10:40
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  114. Q4 10:43
    Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
  115. Q4 11:03
    Heat turnover
  116. Q4 11:06
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  117. Q4 11:08
    Pat Spencer misses three point pullup jump shot
  118. Q4 11:15
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  119. Q4 11:17
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  120. Q4 11:23
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  121. Q4 11:25
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  122. Q4 11:34
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    90-100
  123. Q4 11:44
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  124. Q4 11:44
    Heat offensive rebound
  125. Q4 11:44
    Gui Santos personal foul
  126. Q3 00:00
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  127. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  128. Q4 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Gui Santos, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
  129. Q3 00:17
    Buddy Hield defensive rebound
  130. Q3 00:19
    Heat defensive rebound
  131. Q3 00:19
    Warriors personal foul
  132. Q3 00:19
    +1
    Dru Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    90-100
  133. Q3 00:19
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
  134. Q3 00:19
    Dru Smith misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  135. Q3 00:21
    Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
  136. Q3 00:37
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
    87-93
  137. Q3 00:46
    +3
    Trayce Jackson-Davis makes three point jump shot
    87-93
  138. Q3 00:51
    Andrew Wiggins turnover (Moses Moody steals)
  139. Q3 00:57
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  140. Q3 1:00
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  141. Q3 1:09
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  142. Q3 1:16
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  143. Q3 1:21
    Gui Santos turnover
  144. Q3 1:22
    Gui Santos offensive rebound
  145. Q3 1:26
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  146. Q3 1:30
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  147. Q3 1:34
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  148. Q3 1:49
    Quinten Post turnover
  149. Q3 1:49
    Stoppage (Blood rule)
  150. Q3 1:49
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
  151. Q3 1:49
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
  152. Q3 2:08
    +2
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup
    71-69
  153. Q3 2:09
    Kel'el Ware misses two point jump shot
  154. Q3 2:09
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
  155. Q3 2:09
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  156. Q3 2:13
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
  157. Q3 2:24
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Gui Santos draws the foul)
  158. Q3 2:24
    Gui Santos misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  159. Q3 2:24
    Warriors offensive rebound
  160. Q3 2:24
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    90-100
  161. Q3 2:42
    Gui Santos personal foul
  162. Q3 2:42
    Dru Smith misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  163. Q3 2:42
    Heat offensive rebound
  164. Q3 2:42
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Dru Smith)
  165. Q3 2:42
    +1
    Dru Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    87-93
  166. Q3 3:00
    +2
    Quinten Post makes two point jump shot
    87-93
  167. Q3 3:14
    Buddy Hield defensive rebound
  168. Q3 3:17
    Dru Smith misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
  169. Q3 3:30
    +3
    Quinten Post makes three point jump shot
    87-93
  170. Q3 3:35
    Buddy Hield defensive rebound
  171. Q3 3:35
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  172. Q3 3:35
    Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
  173. Q3 3:39
    Pelle Larsson misses two point driving floating jump shot
  174. Q3 3:56
    Pat Spencer offensive rebound
  175. Q3 3:56
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    87-93
  176. Q3 4:01
    Buddy Hield misses three point jump shot
  177. Q3 4:06
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  178. Q3 4:06
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Dru Smith)
  179. Q3 4:26
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    87-93
  180. Q3 4:43
    Heat 60 second timeout
  181. Q3 4:43
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
  182. Q3 4:44
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    87-93
  183. Q3 4:54
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  184. Q3 4:57
    Pat Spencer misses two point jump shot
  185. Q3 5:23
    Warriors personal foul
  186. Q3 5:23
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    87-93
  187. Q3 5:23
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    90-100
  188. Q3 5:28
    Warriors personal foul
  189. Q3 5:32
    Warriors turnover
  190. Q3 5:50
    +3
    Bam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
    70-67
  191. Q3 6:03
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    70-67
  192. Q3 6:19
    Heat turnover
  193. Q3 6:32
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo)
  194. Q3 6:32
    Davion Mitchell personal foul
  195. Q3 6:32
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    87-93
  196. Q3 6:32
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    87-93
  197. Q3 6:52
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  198. Q3 6:54
    Andrew Wiggins misses two point floating jump shot
  199. Q3 7:00
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  200. Q3 7:00
    Heat offensive rebound
  201. Q3 7:00
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  202. Q3 7:12
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    70-67
  203. Q3 7:27
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  204. Q3 7:29
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  205. Q3 7:29
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  206. Q3 7:32
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  207. Q3 7:56
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    54-59
  208. Q3 8:20
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski)
  209. Q3 8:20
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  210. Q3 8:21
    +3
    Norman Powell makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
    51-59
  211. Q3 8:22
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  212. Q3 8:26
    Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot
  213. Q3 8:41
    Warriors turnover
  214. Q3 8:52
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  215. Q3 8:54
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  216. Q3 9:01
    +2
    Buddy Hield makes two point jump shot
    70-67
  217. Q3 9:11
    +2
    Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot
    90-100
  218. Q3 9:16
    Buddy Hield turnover (lost ball) (Norman Powell steals)
  219. Q3 9:35
    Moses Moody shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
  220. Q3 9:35
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    70-67
  221. Q3 9:35
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    90-100
  222. Q3 9:38
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  223. Q3 9:40
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  224. Q3 9:49
    Buddy Hield defensive rebound
  225. Q3 9:53
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  226. Q3 9:58
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  227. Q3 10:00
    Moses Moody misses two point jump shot
  228. Q3 10:16
    Davion Mitchell personal foul (Trayce Jackson-Davis draws the foul)
  229. Q3 10:40
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  230. Q3 10:40
    Warriors defensive rebound
  231. Q3 10:54
    Moses Moody misses two point floating jump shot
  232. Q3 10:54
    Moses Moody offensive rebound
  233. Q3 10:54
    Heat personal foul
  234. Q3 10:54
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    90-100
  235. Q3 10:54
    +1
    Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    90-100
  236. Q3 11:15
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    90-100
  237. Q3 11:30
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  238. Q3 11:33
    Heat personal foul
  239. Q3 11:33
    Trayce Jackson-Davis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  240. Q3 11:33
    +1
    Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    90-100
  241. Q3 11:43
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  242. Q3 11:45
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  243. Q3 11:56
    Brandin Podziemski turnover (Norman Powell steals)
  244. Q3 11:59
    Warriors offensive rebound
  245. Q2 00:00
    Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
  246. Q2 00:00
    Heat offensive rebound
  247. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  248. Q3 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
  249. Q3 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
  250. Q2 00:01
    Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
  251. Q2 00:01
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    54-59
  252. Q2 00:04
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  253. Q2 00:25
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
  254. Q2 00:25
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo)
  255. Q2 00:25
    +1
    Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    45-49
  256. Q2 00:25
    Warriors personal foul
  257. Q2 00:25
    Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  258. Q2 00:25
    Heat offensive rebound
  259. Q2 00:31
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  260. Q2 00:34
    Pat Spencer misses two point turnaround jump shot
  261. Q2 00:48
    Heat personal foul
  262. Q2 00:48
    Heat personal foul
  263. Q2 00:48
    Pat Spencer technical foul (Double)
  264. Q2 00:52
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    54-59
  265. Q2 00:53
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
  266. Q2 00:54
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup
  267. Q2 1:02
    Quinten Post turnover
  268. Q2 1:13
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
    43-48
  269. Q2 1:13
    Pat Spencer shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
  270. Q2 1:13
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    54-59
  271. Q2 1:18
    Pat Spencer turnover
  272. Q2 1:28
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  273. Q2 1:31
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  274. Q2 1:37
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  275. Q2 1:37
    Heat offensive rebound
  276. Q2 1:38
    Moses Moody blocks Pelle Larsson's three point jump shot
  277. Q2 1:53
    Buddy Hield turnover (back court violation)
  278. Q2 1:57
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  279. Q2 2:04
    Pat Spencer offensive rebound
  280. Q2 2:07
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  281. Q2 2:17
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  282. Q2 2:22
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  283. Q2 2:42
    Heat 60 second timeout
  284. Q2 2:43
    +3
    Quinten Post makes three point jump shot
    45-49
  285. Q2 2:45
    Pat Spencer offensive rebound
  286. Q2 2:49
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  287. Q2 2:54
    Buddy Hield defensive rebound
  288. Q2 2:58
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  289. Q2 3:10
    Warriors personal foul
  290. Q2 3:10
    Moses Moody turnover (offensive foul)
  291. Q2 3:26
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    43-48
  292. Q2 3:43
    +3
    Buddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Moses Moody assists)
    40-41
  293. Q2 3:48
    Norman Powell personal foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
  294. Q2 3:48
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
  295. Q2 3:55
    Pat Spencer defensive rebound
  296. Q2 3:58
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  297. Q2 4:02
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  298. Q2 4:05
    Bam Adebayo blocks Brandin Podziemski's two point jump shot
  299. Q2 4:17
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  300. Q2 4:27
    Simone Fontecchio turnover
  301. Q2 4:27
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski)
  302. Q2 4:36
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    37-41
  303. Q2 4:40
    Heat turnover
  304. Q2 4:53
    Heat personal foul
  305. Q2 4:53
    +1
    Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    43-48
  306. Q2 4:53
    +1
    Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    43-48
  307. Q2 5:03
    Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
  308. Q2 5:07
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  309. Q2 5:18
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    43-48
  310. Q2 5:25
    Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
  311. Q2 5:28
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  312. Q2 5:36
    Heat personal foul
  313. Q2 5:36
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
  314. Q2 5:36
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  315. Q2 5:52
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    43-43
  316. Q2 5:54
    Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
  317. Q2 6:02
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  318. Q2 6:06
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  319. Q2 6:10
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  320. Q2 6:26
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  321. Q2 6:26
    Gary Payton II offensive rebound
  322. Q2 6:26
    Heat personal foul
  323. Q2 6:26
    +1
    Gary Payton II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    40-43
  324. Q2 6:26
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
  325. Q2 6:26
    +1
    Gary Payton II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    40-43
  326. Q2 6:49
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
  327. Q2 6:49
    Heat turnover
  328. Q2 6:49
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
  329. Q2 6:51
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  330. Q2 7:01
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    40-43
  331. Q2 7:15
    Will Richard defensive rebound
  332. Q2 7:16
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  333. Q2 7:16
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  334. Q2 7:17
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
  335. Q2 7:17
    Warriors personal foul
  336. Q2 7:17
    +1
    Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    37-41
  337. Q2 7:17
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell)
  338. Q2 7:17
    Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  339. Q2 7:17
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell)
  340. Q2 7:25
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  341. Q2 7:25
    Heat defensive rebound
  342. Q2 7:25
    Trayce Jackson-Davis misses two point tip layup
  343. Q2 7:25
    Heat defensive rebound
  344. Q2 7:32
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  345. Q2 7:32
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell)
  346. Q2 7:32
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
  347. Q2 7:43
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    37-41
  348. Q2 7:50
    Moses Moody personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
  349. Q2 7:50
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
  350. Q2 7:50
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Dru Smith)
  351. Q2 7:50
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
  352. Q2 7:50
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Dru Smith)
  353. Q2 7:53
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  354. Q2 7:58
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  355. Q2 8:00
    Pat Spencer offensive rebound
  356. Q2 8:02
    Will Richard misses two point driving layup
  357. Q2 8:03
    Will Richard offensive rebound
  358. Q2 8:06
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  359. Q2 8:11
    Gui Santos offensive rebound
  360. Q2 8:13
    Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
  361. Q2 8:36
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    37-41
  362. Q2 8:44
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  363. Q2 8:47
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  364. Q2 8:50
    Will Richard defensive rebound
  365. Q2 8:53
    Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
  366. Q2 8:59
    Will Richard personal foul
  367. Q2 8:59
    Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
  368. Q2 9:03
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  369. Q2 9:20
    +3
    Simone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
    26-34
  370. Q2 9:33
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    26-38
  371. Q2 9:44
    Pat Spencer defensive rebound
  372. Q2 9:47
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  373. Q2 9:52
    Moses Moody turnover (Dru Smith steals)
  374. Q2 10:02
    Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
  375. Q2 10:02
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  376. Q2 10:02
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  377. Q2 10:02
    Simone Fontecchio turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  378. Q2 10:12
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    24-31
  379. Q2 10:30
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    22-31
  380. Q2 10:42
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  381. Q2 10:44
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  382. Q2 10:56
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  383. Q2 11:00
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  384. Q2 11:07
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  385. Q2 11:09
    Moses Moody misses three point jump shot
  386. Q2 11:18
    Pat Spencer defensive rebound
  387. Q2 11:19
    Kel'el Ware misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
  388. Q2 11:40
    +2
    Quinten Post makes two point jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
    22-29
  389. Q1 00:00
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  390. Q1 00:00
    Simone Fontecchio misses two point jump shot
  391. Q1 00:00
    Warriors offensive rebound
  392. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  393. Q2 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Quinten Post, Gui Santos)
  394. Q1 00:01
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point jump shot
  395. Q1 00:17
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    20-29
  396. Q1 00:34
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  397. Q1 00:37
    Andrew Wiggins misses two point jump shot
  398. Q1 00:45
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  399. Q1 00:47
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  400. Q1 00:58
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  401. Q1 1:01
    Simone Fontecchio misses three point pullup jump shot
  402. Q1 1:05
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  403. Q1 1:07
    Quinten Post misses two point jump shot
  404. Q1 1:22
    +3
    Simone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot
    20-29
  405. Q1 1:40
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    20-29
  406. Q1 1:51
    Dru Smith turnover (Gary Payton II steals)
  407. Q1 2:02
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  408. Q1 2:07
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  409. Q1 2:11
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  410. Q1 2:14
    Dru Smith misses three point jump shot
  411. Q1 2:20
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  412. Q1 2:24
    Moses Moody misses three point jump shot
  413. Q1 2:41
    Buddy Hield defensive rebound
  414. Q1 2:43
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  415. Q1 2:43
    Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
  416. Q1 2:43
    Warriors personal foul
  417. Q1 2:43
    Heat 60 second timeout
  418. Q1 2:43
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody, Quinten Post)
  419. Q1 2:43
    +1
    Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    15-26
  420. Q1 2:43
    Simone Fontecchio misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  421. Q1 2:48
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  422. Q1 2:51
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  423. Q1 2:55
    Heat turnover
  424. Q1 3:00
    Dru Smith defensive rebound
  425. Q1 3:04
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  426. Q1 3:06
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  427. Q1 3:12
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  428. Q1 3:14
    Dru Smith offensive rebound
  429. Q1 3:17
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  430. Q1 3:30
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    14-25
  431. Q1 3:30
    Heat personal foul
  432. Q1 3:30
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    15-25
  433. Q1 3:30
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Dru Smith)
  434. Q1 3:37
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    12-25
  435. Q1 3:41
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  436. Q1 3:45
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  437. Q1 3:48
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  438. Q1 3:50
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  439. Q1 3:55
    Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
  440. Q1 3:57
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  441. Q1 4:03
    Heat turnover
  442. Q1 4:10
    Dru Smith defensive rebound
  443. Q1 4:15
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  444. Q1 4:18
    Warriors turnover
  445. Q1 4:18
    Heat turnover
  446. Q1 4:22
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    12-23
  447. Q1 4:33
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    9-22
  448. Q1 4:33
    Warriors personal foul
  449. Q1 4:33
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski)
  450. Q1 4:33
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith)
  451. Q1 4:33
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    9-23
  452. Q1 4:41
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    9-20
  453. Q1 4:46
    Heat turnover
  454. Q1 4:49
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  455. Q1 4:51
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  456. Q1 5:11
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  457. Q1 5:13
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  458. Q1 5:19
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    6-20
  459. Q1 5:38
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    4-20
  460. Q1 5:49
    Warriors turnover
  461. Q1 5:49
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
  462. Q1 5:52
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  463. Q1 5:54
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  464. Q1 6:02
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  465. Q1 6:05
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  466. Q1 6:22
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    4-17
  467. Q1 6:26
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  468. Q1 6:30
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  469. Q1 6:30
    Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
  470. Q1 6:30
    Heat personal foul
  471. Q1 6:30
    Trayce Jackson-Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  472. Q1 6:30
    Warriors offensive rebound
  473. Q1 6:30
    Trayce Jackson-Davis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  474. Q1 6:30
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
  475. Q1 6:34
    Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
  476. Q1 6:36
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  477. Q1 6:56
    Heat personal foul
  478. Q1 6:56
    Warriors personal foul
  479. Q1 6:56
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    4-14
  480. Q1 6:56
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
  481. Q1 6:56
    Heat offensive rebound
  482. Q1 6:56
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    4-14
  483. Q1 7:05
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  484. Q1 7:08
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  485. Q1 7:30
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    4-13
  486. Q1 7:37
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  487. Q1 7:38
    Warriors offensive rebound
  488. Q1 7:38
    Warriors turnover
  489. Q1 8:00
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  490. Q1 8:03
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  491. Q1 8:15
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  492. Q1 8:18
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  493. Q1 8:33
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  494. Q1 8:44
    Heat personal foul
  495. Q1 8:45
    Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
  496. Q1 8:47
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  497. Q1 9:00
    Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
  498. Q1 9:01
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  499. Q1 9:02
    Warriors turnover
  500. Q1 9:10
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  501. Q1 9:10
    Warriors offensive rebound
  502. Q1 9:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  503. Q1 9:29
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    4-10
  504. Q1 9:31
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  505. Q1 9:34
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  506. Q1 9:38
    Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
  507. Q1 9:43
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  508. Q1 9:54
    Andrew Wiggins shooting foul (Moses Moody draws the foul)
  509. Q1 9:54
    +1
    Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    4-7
Box Score
Warriors
PosPlayerPts
Heat
PosPlayerPts

Warriors vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Warriors vs. Heat
  • Date: Wednesday, November 19, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Heat favored at -9.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Warriors +340, Heat -410

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Warriors: 22%
  • Heat: 78%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 112-122 Heat.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 22%, while the Heat have a win probability of 78%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Warriors vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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