Warriors vs. Pelicans Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Pelicans NBA game on November 16, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
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NBA
Warriors
124
106
Smoothie King Center
Pelicans
Smoothie King Center
TEAM1234T
Warriors
44 17 24 39 124
Pelicans
28 21 22 35 106
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Warriors
    >99%
  • Pelicans
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Warriors
44 17 24 39 124
Pelicans
28 21 22 35 106
Q4 00:03 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:11 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:28 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:31 Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:48 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:51 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    Will Richard offensive rebound
  2. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  3. Q4 00:03
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  4. Q4 00:11
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    124-106
  5. Q4 00:14
    Yves Missi offensive rebound
  6. Q4 00:16
    Warriors personal foul
  7. Q4 00:16
    +1
    Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    124-106
  8. Q4 00:16
    Jeremiah Fears misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  9. Q4 00:28
    Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
  10. Q4 00:28
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    124-106
  11. Q4 00:31
    Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
  12. Q4 00:48
    Jeremiah Fears offensive rebound
  13. Q4 00:48
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    124-106
  14. Q4 00:51
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  15. Q4 00:58
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    124-106
  16. Q4 1:05
    Will Richard defensive rebound
  17. Q4 1:07
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  18. Q4 1:13
    Warriors turnover
  19. Q4 1:24
    Warriors defensive rebound
  20. Q4 1:24
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  21. Q4 1:25
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  22. Q4 1:34
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    124-106
  23. Q4 1:49
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  24. Q4 1:49
    Warriors personal foul
  25. Q4 1:49
    +1
    Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    124-106
  26. Q4 1:49
    +1
    Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    124-106
  27. Q4 1:51
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  28. Q4 2:09
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    117-99
  29. Q4 2:13
    Warriors turnover
  30. Q4 2:25
    Warriors personal foul
  31. Q4 2:25
    +1
    Bryce McGowens makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    117-99
  32. Q4 2:25
    +1
    Bryce McGowens makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    117-99
  33. Q4 2:31
    Micah Peavy defensive rebound
  34. Q4 2:35
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  35. Q4 2:43
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    117-99
  36. Q4 2:43
    Warriors personal foul
  37. Q4 2:43
    +1
    Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    117-99
  38. Q4 2:48
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    117-99
  39. Q4 2:53
    Buddy Hield defensive rebound
  40. Q4 2:55
    Jeremiah Fears misses two point driving layup
  41. Q4 3:02
    Warriors turnover
  42. Q4 3:02
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears)
  43. Q4 3:02
    Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Buddy Hield, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
  44. Q4 3:07
    +2
    Jose Alvarado makes two point jump shot
    117-99
  45. Q4 3:21
    +3
    Pat Spencer makes three point jump shot
    114-90
  46. Q4 3:42
    +2
    Bryce McGowens makes two point jump shot (Micah Peavy assists)
    117-99
  47. Q4 4:01
    +3
    Buddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)
    117-99
  48. Q4 4:18
    Gui Santos personal foul
  49. Q4 4:18
    +1
    Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    117-99
  50. Q4 4:18
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Micah Peavy, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
  51. Q4 4:18
    +1
    Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    124-106
  52. Q4 4:24
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  53. Q4 4:27
    Buddy Hield misses three point jump shot
  54. Q4 4:43
    Jeremiah Fears misses two point jump shot
  55. Q4 4:43
    Warriors defensive rebound
  56. Q4 4:43
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  57. Q4 4:43
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  58. Q4 4:43
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  59. Q4 4:43
    Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Buddy Hield, Al Horford)
  60. Q4 4:43
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
  61. Q4 4:43
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  62. Q4 4:43
    Jeremiah Fears turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  63. Q4 4:46
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  64. Q4 4:49
    Derik Queen blocks Buddy Hield's two point driving layup
  65. Q4 5:09
    +2
    Derik Queen makes two point driving dunk (Herbert Jones assists)
    102-82
  66. Q4 5:34
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    102-82
  67. Q4 6:01
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    117-99
  68. Q4 6:14
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    117-99
  69. Q4 6:23
    Warriors offensive rebound
  70. Q4 6:23
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  71. Q4 6:26
    Al Horford misses three point jump shot
  72. Q4 6:46
    Pelicans turnover
  73. Q4 7:05
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  74. Q4 7:05
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    102-82
  75. Q4 7:05
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey)
  76. Q4 7:05
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
  77. Q4 7:10
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  78. Q4 7:11
    Bryce McGowens misses two point jump shot
  79. Q4 7:15
    Bryce McGowens defensive rebound
  80. Q4 7:17
    Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
  81. Q4 7:37
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  82. Q4 7:40
    Warriors personal foul
  83. Q4 7:40
    Bryce McGowens misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  84. Q4 7:40
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  85. Q4 7:40
    Bryce McGowens misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  86. Q4 7:40
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Herbert Jones, Jeremiah Fears, Karlo Matkovic)
  87. Q4 7:50
    +3
    Quinten Post makes three point jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)
    102-82
  88. Q4 8:10
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    97-82
  89. Q4 8:30
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    117-99
  90. Q4 8:44
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    117-99
  91. Q4 8:55
    Derik Queen shooting foul (Jimmy Butler III draws the foul)
  92. Q4 8:55
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    102-82
  93. Q4 8:55
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    117-99
  94. Q4 9:09
    +2
    Bryce McGowens makes two point driving layup (Derik Queen assists)
    102-82
  95. Q4 9:25
    Jimmy Butler III turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  96. Q4 9:25
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Jordan Hawkins, Jeremiah Fears, Karlo Matkovic)
  97. Q4 9:43
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  98. Q4 9:43
    Warriors defensive rebound
  99. Q4 9:45
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  100. Q4 10:04
    +2
    Jimmy Butler III makes two point pullup jump shot
    102-82
  101. Q4 10:17
    Karlo Matkovic turnover (illegal assist)
  102. Q4 10:17
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Jordan Hawkins, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
  103. Q4 10:31
    Pelicans personal foul
  104. Q4 10:31
    +1
    Moses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    102-82
  105. Q4 10:31
    +1
    Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    102-82
  106. Q4 10:46
    +2
    Jose Alvarado makes two point driving layup (Trey Murphy III assists)
    88-75
  107. Q4 10:46
    Warriors personal foul
  108. Q4 10:46
    +1
    Jose Alvarado makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    97-82
  109. Q4 10:51
    Jimmy Butler III turnover (lost ball) (Karlo Matkovic steals)
  110. Q4 11:17
    +2
    Jordan Hawkins makes two point pullup jump shot (Jose Alvarado assists)
    85-71
  111. Q4 11:30
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    92-76
  112. Q4 11:30
    Pelicans personal foul
  113. Q4 11:30
    +1
    Moses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    102-82
  114. Q4 11:39
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  115. Q4 11:45
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  116. Q3 00:00
    Saddiq Bey turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)
  117. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  118. Q4 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Quinten Post, Draymond Green)
  119. Q4 12:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Bryce McGowens, Jordan Hawkins, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
  120. Q3 00:01
    Brandin Podziemski personal foul (Jose Alvarado draws the foul)
  121. Q3 00:01
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Yves Missi, Jordan Hawkins, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
  122. Q3 00:01
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
  123. Q3 00:06
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    85-71
  124. Q3 00:27
    Yves Missi offensive rebound
  125. Q3 00:27
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    85-71
  126. Q3 00:30
    Saddiq Bey misses two point jump shot
  127. Q3 00:53
    Warriors turnover
  128. Q3 1:09
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  129. Q3 1:12
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  130. Q3 1:35
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    85-71
  131. Q3 1:41
    Pelicans turnover
  132. Q3 1:55
    Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
  133. Q3 1:57
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  134. Q3 2:16
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    85-71
  135. Q3 2:25
    Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
  136. Q3 2:31
    Al Horford misses three point jump shot
  137. Q3 2:48
    Gary Payton II personal foul
  138. Q3 2:48
    Saddiq Bey misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  139. Q3 2:48
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  140. Q3 2:48
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Buddy Hield, Al Horford)
  141. Q3 2:48
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    85-71
  142. Q3 2:50
    Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
  143. Q3 2:51
    Yves Missi offensive rebound
  144. Q3 2:51
    Yves Missi misses two point jump shot
  145. Q3 2:56
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  146. Q3 2:58
    Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
  147. Q3 3:02
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  148. Q3 3:05
    Karlo Matkovic offensive rebound
  149. Q3 3:05
    +2
    Karlo Matkovic makes two point tip layup
    80-65
  150. Q3 3:11
    Yves Missi misses two point driving layup
  151. Q3 3:37
    +3
    Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)
    80-65
  152. Q3 3:43
    Pelicans turnover
  153. Q3 3:57
    Pelicans personal foul
  154. Q3 3:57
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  155. Q3 3:57
    Gary Payton II offensive rebound
  156. Q3 3:57
    Stephen Curry offensive rebound
  157. Q3 3:57
    Stephen Curry misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  158. Q3 3:57
    Warriors offensive rebound
  159. Q3 3:57
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    80-65
  160. Q3 4:00
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  161. Q3 4:11
    Herbert Jones turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  162. Q3 4:11
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
  163. Q3 4:11
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Jordan Hawkins, Karlo Matkovic, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
  164. Q3 4:13
    Yves Missi defensive rebound
  165. Q3 4:15
    Stephen Curry misses two point jump shot
  166. Q3 4:31
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    80-65
  167. Q3 4:52
    Herbert Jones personal foul (Moses Moody draws the foul)
  168. Q3 4:52
    Moses Moody misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  169. Q3 4:52
    Warriors offensive rebound
  170. Q3 4:52
    +1
    Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    80-65
  171. Q3 4:52
    Pelicans lineup change (Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Jordan Hawkins, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
  172. Q3 4:52
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
  173. Q3 4:55
    Jose Alvarado turnover (lost ball) (Moses Moody steals)
  174. Q3 4:57
    Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
  175. Q3 4:59
    Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
  176. Q3 5:14
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    75-61
  177. Q3 5:14
    Trey Murphy III offensive rebound
  178. Q3 5:20
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  179. Q3 5:22
    Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
  180. Q3 5:26
    Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
  181. Q3 5:36
    Jump ball. (Brandin Podziemski gains possession)
  182. Q3 5:44
    Herbert Jones personal foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
  183. Q3 5:44
    Pelicans defensive rebound
  184. Q3 5:44
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
  185. Q3 5:44
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
  186. Q3 5:44
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
  187. Q3 5:44
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
  188. Q3 5:44
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
  189. Q3 5:44
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
  190. Q3 5:46
    Will Richard misses three point jump shot
  191. Q3 6:06
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    75-59
  192. Q3 6:13
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    75-56
  193. Q3 6:17
    Pelicans turnover
  194. Q3 6:23
    Warriors turnover
  195. Q3 6:41
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    73-56
  196. Q3 6:43
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  197. Q3 6:47
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  198. Q3 7:00
    Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
  199. Q3 7:02
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  200. Q3 7:11
    Herbert Jones defensive rebound
  201. Q3 7:15
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  202. Q3 7:22
    Pelicans personal foul
  203. Q3 7:32
    Pelicans personal foul
  204. Q3 7:32
    Trey Murphy III turnover (offensive foul)
  205. Q3 7:32
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  206. Q3 7:32
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
  207. Q3 7:32
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford)
  208. Q3 7:39
    Warriors turnover
  209. Q3 7:47
    Stephen Curry defensive rebound
  210. Q3 7:49
    Jeremiah Fears misses two point jump shot
  211. Q3 7:54
    Warriors turnover
  212. Q3 7:57
    Stephen Curry defensive rebound
  213. Q3 8:00
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  214. Q3 8:11
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    73-53
  215. Q3 8:12
    Will Richard offensive rebound
  216. Q3 8:14
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  217. Q3 8:17
    Will Richard offensive rebound
  218. Q3 8:21
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  219. Q3 8:27
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  220. Q3 8:29
    Warriors personal foul
  221. Q3 8:29
    Yves Missi misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  222. Q3 8:29
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  223. Q3 8:29
    Yves Missi misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  224. Q3 8:41
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    71-53
  225. Q3 8:44
    Pelicans turnover
  226. Q3 8:53
    Warriors personal foul
  227. Q3 8:53
    Draymond Green turnover (offensive foul)
  228. Q3 8:53
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey)
  229. Q3 8:59
    Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
  230. Q3 9:00
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  231. Q3 9:08
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    69-53
  232. Q3 9:20
    Pelicans turnover
  233. Q3 9:35
    Warriors turnover
  234. Q3 9:40
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  235. Q3 9:44
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  236. Q3 9:52
    Pelicans personal foul
  237. Q3 9:52
    Derik Queen turnover (offensive foul)
  238. Q3 9:52
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  239. Q3 9:52
    Instant replay
  240. Q3 10:03
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    67-53
  241. Q3 10:25
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    64-53
  242. Q3 10:34
    Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
  243. Q3 10:38
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  244. Q3 10:44
    Stephen Curry defensive rebound
  245. Q3 10:48
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  246. Q3 11:00
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    64-51
  247. Q3 11:11
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    61-51
  248. Q3 11:13
    Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
  249. Q3 11:16
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  250. Q3 11:39
    Warriors turnover
  251. Q2 00:00
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    61-49
  252. Q2 00:00
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  253. Q2 00:00
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  254. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  255. Q3 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)
  256. Q3 12:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey)
  257. Q2 00:02
    Pelicans turnover
  258. Q2 00:22
    Herbert Jones defensive rebound
  259. Q2 00:26
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  260. Q2 00:30
    Pelicans turnover
  261. Q2 00:38
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    59-49
  262. Q2 00:52
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  263. Q2 00:52
    Warriors defensive rebound
  264. Q2 00:52
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  265. Q2 1:16
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    57-49
  266. Q2 1:33
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  267. Q2 1:35
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  268. Q2 1:50
    Pelicans personal foul
  269. Q2 1:50
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    54-49
  270. Q2 1:50
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    55-49
  271. Q2 2:02
    Warriors personal foul
  272. Q2 2:02
    +1
    Herbert Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    53-48
  273. Q2 2:02
    +1
    Herbert Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    53-49
  274. Q2 2:14
    Warriors turnover
  275. Q2 2:25
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  276. Q2 2:27
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  277. Q2 2:36
    Yves Missi offensive rebound
  278. Q2 2:38
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  279. Q2 2:40
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  280. Q2 2:43
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  281. Q2 2:44
    Yves Missi offensive rebound
  282. Q2 2:44
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  283. Q2 2:44
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  284. Q2 2:52
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  285. Q2 3:00
    Warriors turnover
  286. Q2 3:09
    Pelicans personal foul
  287. Q2 3:09
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)
  288. Q2 3:18
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    53-47
  289. Q2 3:25
    Yves Missi offensive rebound
  290. Q2 3:29
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  291. Q2 3:32
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  292. Q2 3:36
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  293. Q2 3:52
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  294. Q2 3:52
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler III, Buddy Hield, Al Horford)
  295. Q2 3:53
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    53-45
  296. Q2 4:00
    Warriors turnover
  297. Q2 4:10
    Warriors personal foul
  298. Q2 4:10
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    53-42
  299. Q2 4:10
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    53-43
  300. Q2 4:10
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Jimmy Butler III, Buddy Hield, Al Horford)
  301. Q2 4:10
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey)
  302. Q2 4:27
    Warriors turnover
  303. Q2 4:41
    Pelicans turnover
  304. Q2 4:43
    Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
  305. Q2 4:46
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  306. Q2 5:01
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    53-41
  307. Q2 5:12
    Warriors personal foul
  308. Q2 5:12
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey)
  309. Q2 5:12
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey)
  310. Q2 5:12
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
  311. Q2 5:12
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey)
  312. Q2 5:22
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  313. Q2 5:22
    Pelicans defensive rebound
  314. Q2 5:22
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  315. Q2 5:22
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Bryce McGowens, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears)
  316. Q2 5:22
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
  317. Q2 5:32
    Al Horford offensive rebound
  318. Q2 5:37
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  319. Q2 5:40
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  320. Q2 5:43
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  321. Q2 5:55
    Warriors personal foul
  322. Q2 5:55
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Herbert Jones, Jose Alvarado)
  323. Q2 5:55
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
  324. Q2 6:05
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    53-39
  325. Q2 6:12
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  326. Q2 6:15
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  327. Q2 6:34
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    50-39
  328. Q2 6:41
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  329. Q2 6:41
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
  330. Q2 6:41
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
  331. Q2 6:45
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  332. Q2 6:56
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  333. Q2 6:56
    +3
    Jeremiah Fears makes three point jump shot
    47-37
  334. Q2 6:58
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  335. Q2 7:00
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  336. Q2 7:26
    Pelicans turnover
  337. Q2 7:41
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  338. Q2 7:41
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Herbert Jones, Jeremiah Fears)
  339. Q2 7:47
    Will Richard offensive rebound
  340. Q2 7:47
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    47-37
  341. Q2 7:54
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  342. Q2 8:10
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    45-36
  343. Q2 8:10
    Warriors personal foul
  344. Q2 8:10
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Draymond Green)
  345. Q2 8:10
    +1
    Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    45-37
  346. Q2 8:20
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  347. Q2 8:22
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  348. Q2 8:30
    Jump ball. (Quinten Post gains possession)
  349. Q2 8:30
    Derik Queen turnover (lost ball)
  350. Q2 8:34
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  351. Q2 8:34
    Pelicans defensive rebound
  352. Q2 8:34
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Bryce McGowens, Jeremiah Fears, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
  353. Q2 8:45
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  354. Q2 8:48
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  355. Q2 8:56
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  356. Q2 9:00
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  357. Q2 9:05
    Quinten Post offensive rebound
  358. Q2 9:08
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  359. Q2 9:30
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    45-34
  360. Q2 9:30
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  361. Q2 9:31
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  362. Q2 9:34
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  363. Q2 9:42
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  364. Q2 9:45
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  365. Q2 10:04
    Pelicans personal foul
  366. Q2 10:04
    Quinten Post misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  367. Q2 10:04
    Warriors offensive rebound
  368. Q2 10:04
    +1
    Quinten Post makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    45-32
  369. Q2 10:04
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
  370. Q2 10:23
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    44-32
  371. Q2 10:33
    Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
  372. Q2 10:35
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  373. Q2 10:52
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  374. Q2 10:54
    Warriors personal foul
  375. Q2 10:54
    +1
    Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    44-29
  376. Q2 10:54
    Derik Queen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  377. Q2 10:58
    Warriors turnover
  378. Q2 10:59
    Moses Moody offensive rebound
  379. Q2 11:04
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  380. Q2 11:11
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  381. Q2 11:15
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  382. Q2 11:20
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  383. Q2 11:23
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  384. Q2 11:39
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  385. Q2 11:43
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  386. Q2 11:46
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  387. Q2 11:50
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  388. Q1 00:00
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  389. Q1 00:00
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  390. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  391. Q2 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Quinten Post, Draymond Green)
  392. Q2 12:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Jordan Hawkins, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
  393. Q1 00:02
    Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
  394. Q1 00:05
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  395. Q1 00:26
    Buddy Hield defensive rebound
  396. Q1 00:28
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  397. Q1 00:39
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    44-28
  398. Q1 00:42
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  399. Q1 00:44
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  400. Q1 00:45
    Jordan Hawkins offensive rebound
  401. Q1 00:51
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  402. Q1 00:55
    Warriors turnover
  403. Q1 1:12
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    41-28
  404. Q1 1:28
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    41-25
  405. Q1 1:41
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  406. Q1 1:53
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    39-25
  407. Q1 2:09
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    39-22
  408. Q1 2:09
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  409. Q1 2:09
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Jordan Hawkins, Karlo Matkovic, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
  410. Q1 2:12
    Pelicans turnover
  411. Q1 2:23
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    37-22
  412. Q1 2:29
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    34-22
  413. Q1 2:46
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    34-20
  414. Q1 3:06
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    31-20
  415. Q1 3:07
    Jordan Hawkins offensive rebound
  416. Q1 3:09
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  417. Q1 3:23
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    31-18
  418. Q1 3:37
    Warriors personal foul
  419. Q1 3:37
    +1
    Jose Alvarado makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-17
  420. Q1 3:37
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Buddy Hield, Al Horford)
  421. Q1 3:37
    Pelicans lineup change (Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Jordan Hawkins, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
  422. Q1 3:37
    +1
    Jose Alvarado makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-18
  423. Q1 3:51
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    28-16
  424. Q1 3:52
    Jump ball. (Buddy Hield gains possession)
  425. Q1 3:52
    Trey Murphy III turnover (lost ball)
  426. Q1 4:07
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  427. Q1 4:11
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  428. Q1 4:31
    Warriors personal foul
  429. Q1 4:31
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    26-15
  430. Q1 4:31
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    26-16
  431. Q1 4:44
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    26-14
  432. Q1 4:56
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    23-14
  433. Q1 5:04
    Warriors personal foul
  434. Q1 5:04
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
  435. Q1 5:04
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Al Horford, Gary Payton II)
  436. Q1 5:08
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  437. Q1 5:11
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  438. Q1 5:28
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    23-12
  439. Q1 5:55
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    23-9
  440. Q1 5:59
    Will Richard defensive rebound
  441. Q1 6:04
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  442. Q1 6:10
    Warriors turnover
  443. Q1 6:21
    Pelicans turnover
  444. Q1 6:21
    Pelicans personal foul
  445. Q1 6:21
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
  446. Q1 6:45
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    20-9
  447. Q1 6:50
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  448. Q1 6:53
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  449. Q1 7:12
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    17-9
  450. Q1 7:28
    Warriors personal foul
  451. Q1 7:28
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  452. Q1 7:28
    Instant replay
  453. Q1 7:28
    Trey Murphy III turnover (offensive foul)
  454. Q1 7:28
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
  455. Q1 7:33
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  456. Q1 7:38
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  457. Q1 7:42
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  458. Q1 7:48
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  459. Q1 7:51
    Warriors turnover
  460. Q1 8:07
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    14-9
  461. Q1 8:30
    Pelicans personal foul
  462. Q1 8:30
    Instant replay
  463. Q1 8:30
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    12-6
  464. Q1 8:30
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    13-6
  465. Q1 8:30
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    14-6
  466. Q1 8:34
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  467. Q1 8:34
    Warriors offensive rebound
  468. Q1 8:34
    Pelicans personal foul
  469. Q1 8:34
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
  470. Q1 8:34
    Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
  471. Q1 8:34
    Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
  472. Q1 8:34
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
  473. Q1 8:34
    Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic, Jose Alvarado)
  474. Q1 8:41
    Stephen Curry defensive rebound
  475. Q1 8:45
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  476. Q1 8:53
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    10-6
  477. Q1 8:53
    Pelicans personal foul
  478. Q1 8:53
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  479. Q1 8:53
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    11-6
  480. Q1 9:00
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  481. Q1 9:03
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  482. Q1 9:18
    Warriors personal foul
  483. Q1 9:25
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    8-6
  484. Q1 9:28
    Will Richard offensive rebound
  485. Q1 9:32
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  486. Q1 9:39
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  487. Q1 9:41
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  488. Q1 9:53
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    5-6
  489. Q1 9:54
    Draymond Green offensive rebound
  490. Q1 9:56
    Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
  491. Q1 9:57
    Draymond Green misses two point tip layup
  492. Q1 9:58
    Draymond Green offensive rebound
  493. Q1 9:58
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  494. Q1 10:00
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  495. Q1 10:00
    Draymond Green offensive rebound
  496. Q1 10:01
    Draymond Green offensive rebound
  497. Q1 10:01
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  498. Q1 10:05
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  499. Q1 10:28
    Warriors personal foul
  500. Q1 10:28
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    2-5
  501. Q1 10:28
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    2-6
  502. Q1 10:35
    Warriors turnover
  503. Q1 10:48
    Pelicans turnover
  504. Q1 11:01
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  505. Q1 11:04
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    2-4
  506. Q1 11:09
    Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
  507. Q1 11:09
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    0-4
  508. Q1 11:17
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  509. Q1 11:20
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  510. Q1 11:24
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  511. Q1 11:45
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  512. Q1 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)
  513. Q1 12:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Herbert Jones, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey)
  514. Q1 12:00
    Draymond Green (Jeremiah Fears gains possession)
  515. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Warriors
PosPlayerPts
Pelicans
PosPlayerPts

Warriors vs. Pelicans: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Warriors vs. Pelicans
  • Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Smoothie King Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Warriors favored at -10.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Warriors -500, Pelicans +410

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Warriors: 80%
  • Pelicans: 20%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 118-108 Pelicans.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 80%, while the Pelicans have a win probability of 20%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Smoothie King Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Warriors vs. Pelicans predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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