Warriors vs. Lakers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Lakers NBA game on October 21, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Warriors
119
109
Crypto.com Arena
Lakers
Crypto.com Arena
TEAM1234T
Warriors
28 27 35 29 119
Lakers
22 32 25 30 109
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Warriors
    >99%
  • Lakers
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Warriors
28 27 35 29 119
Lakers
22 32 25 30 109
Q4 00:35 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:43 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:51 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:22 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:35 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Lakers makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:29 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:39 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:57 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:12
    Warriors turnover
  3. Q4 00:33
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:35
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  5. Q4 00:39
    Lakers personal foul
  6. Q4 00:39
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    118-109
  7. Q4 00:39
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    119-109
  8. Q4 00:39
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  9. Q4 00:39
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Austin Reaves)
  10. Q4 00:43
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    117-109
  11. Q4 00:51
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    117-107
  12. Q4 1:00
    Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
  13. Q4 1:03
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  14. Q4 1:16
    Lakers personal foul
  15. Q4 1:22
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    114-107
  16. Q4 1:35
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    114-105
  17. Q4 1:52
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    112-105
  18. Q4 2:03
    Lakers personal foul
  19. Q4 2:03
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-102
  20. Q4 2:03
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    112-102
  21. Q4 2:03
    Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Gary Payton II)
  22. Q4 2:17
    Warriors personal foul
  23. Q4 2:17
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    110-101
  24. Q4 2:17
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    110-102
  25. Q4 2:29
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    110-100
  26. Q4 2:39
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  27. Q4 2:39
    Warriors defensive rebound
  28. Q4 2:39
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  29. Q4 2:51
    Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
  30. Q4 2:57
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  31. Q4 3:16
    Warriors personal foul
  32. Q4 3:16
    Warriors personal foul
  33. Q4 3:16
    Austin Reaves misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  34. Q4 3:16
    Lakers offensive rebound
  35. Q4 3:16
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    108-100
  36. Q4 3:34
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  37. Q4 3:34
    Warriors personal foul
  38. Q4 3:34
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    108-99
  39. Q4 3:59
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    105-99
  40. Q4 3:59
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  41. Q4 3:59
    Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski)
  42. Q4 4:06
    Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
  43. Q4 4:09
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  44. Q4 4:26
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    105-97
  45. Q4 4:32
    Warriors turnover
  46. Q4 4:50
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    105-95
  47. Q4 5:07
    Warriors personal foul
  48. Q4 5:07
    Al Horford turnover (offensive foul)
  49. Q4 5:22
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    105-93
  50. Q4 5:40
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    105-90
  51. Q4 5:56
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    102-90
  52. Q4 5:56
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  53. Q4 5:56
    Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Al Horford, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski)
  54. Q4 5:59
    Austin Reaves defensive rebound
  55. Q4 6:02
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  56. Q4 6:22
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    102-88
  57. Q4 6:39
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    102-86
  58. Q4 6:51
    Lakers turnover
  59. Q4 6:57
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  60. Q4 7:00
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  61. Q4 7:16
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    100-86
  62. Q4 7:39
    Warriors turnover
  63. Q4 7:39
    Warriors personal foul
  64. Q4 7:50
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  65. Q4 7:50
    Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Al Horford, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga)
  66. Q4 7:50
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Austin Reaves)
  67. Q4 7:51
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  68. Q4 7:54
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  69. Q4 8:08
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    100-84
  70. Q4 8:19
    Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
  71. Q4 8:22
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  72. Q4 8:26
    Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
  73. Q4 8:27
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  74. Q4 8:41
    Warriors personal foul
  75. Q4 8:41
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Rui Hachimura, Jake LaRavia, Gabe Vincent, Austin Reaves)
  76. Q4 9:01
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    98-84
  77. Q4 9:25
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    95-83
  78. Q4 9:25
    Warriors personal foul
  79. Q4 9:25
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    95-84
  80. Q4 9:32
    Warriors personal foul
  81. Q4 9:46
    Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
  82. Q4 9:48
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    95-81
  83. Q4 9:48
    Lakers personal foul
  84. Q4 9:48
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia, Austin Reaves)
  85. Q4 9:48
    Draymond Green misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  86. Q4 9:51
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  87. Q4 9:54
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  88. Q4 10:01
    Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
  89. Q4 10:04
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  90. Q4 10:17
    Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
  91. Q4 10:21
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  92. Q4 10:41
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  93. Q4 10:43
    Buddy Hield misses three point jump shot
  94. Q4 10:46
    Lakers turnover
  95. Q4 10:47
    Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
  96. Q4 10:50
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  97. Q4 11:01
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  98. Q4 11:05
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  99. Q4 11:27
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    93-81
  100. Q4 11:35
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    90-81
  101. Q4 11:44
    Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
  102. Q4 11:47
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  103. Q3 00:00
    Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
  104. Q3 00:00
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  105. Q3 00:00
    Lakers offensive rebound
  106. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  107. Q4 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Jimmy Butler III, Buddy Hield, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
  108. Q3 00:01
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  109. Q3 00:27
    Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
  110. Q3 00:27
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    90-79
  111. Q3 00:28
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  112. Q3 00:36
    Will Richard offensive rebound
  113. Q3 00:37
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    88-77
  114. Q3 00:39
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  115. Q3 1:00
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    88-77
  116. Q3 1:16
    Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
  117. Q3 1:18
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  118. Q3 1:40
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    88-75
  119. Q3 1:46
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  120. Q3 1:57
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    88-73
  121. Q3 2:12
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    85-73
  122. Q3 2:23
    Lakers personal foul
  123. Q3 2:23
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    84-70
  124. Q3 2:23
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    85-70
  125. Q3 2:23
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Jarred Vanderbilt, Jake LaRavia, Luka Doncic)
  126. Q3 2:41
    Lakers turnover
  127. Q3 2:41
    Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Al Horford, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski)
  128. Q3 2:41
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Jarred Vanderbilt, Luka Doncic, Austin Reaves)
  129. Q3 3:06
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    83-70
  130. Q3 3:33
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    81-70
  131. Q3 3:48
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    81-68
  132. Q3 3:54
    Buddy Hield defensive rebound
  133. Q3 3:59
    Warriors personal foul
  134. Q3 3:59
    Warriors violation
  135. Q3 3:59
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    78-68
  136. Q3 3:59
    Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Buddy Hield, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski)
  137. Q3 3:59
    Austin Reaves misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  138. Q3 4:03
    Austin Reaves defensive rebound
  139. Q3 4:09
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  140. Q3 4:28
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    78-67
  141. Q3 4:44
    Warriors turnover
  142. Q3 5:00
    Buddy Hield defensive rebound
  143. Q3 5:05
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  144. Q3 5:14
    Warriors turnover
  145. Q3 5:29
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  146. Q3 5:29
    Lakers offensive rebound
  147. Q3 5:29
    Warriors personal foul
  148. Q3 5:29
    +1
    Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    78-64
  149. Q3 5:29
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  150. Q3 5:29
    +1
    Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    78-65
  151. Q3 5:34
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  152. Q3 5:36
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  153. Q3 5:48
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    78-63
  154. Q3 5:56
    Warriors personal foul
  155. Q3 5:56
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Gary Payton II)
  156. Q3 5:56
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic, Austin Reaves)
  157. Q3 6:04
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    78-61
  158. Q3 6:19
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  159. Q3 6:21
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  160. Q3 6:41
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    75-61
  161. Q3 6:57
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    73-60
  162. Q3 6:57
    Warriors personal foul
  163. Q3 6:57
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Gary Payton II)
  164. Q3 6:57
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    73-61
  165. Q3 7:02
    Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
  166. Q3 7:06
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  167. Q3 7:17
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    73-58
  168. Q3 7:23
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  169. Q3 7:26
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  170. Q3 7:34
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  171. Q3 7:36
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  172. Q3 7:48
    Lakers personal foul
  173. Q3 7:48
    Deandre Ayton turnover (offensive foul)
  174. Q3 7:58
    Gabe Vincent defensive rebound
  175. Q3 8:01
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  176. Q3 8:06
    Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
  177. Q3 8:10
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  178. Q3 8:25
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  179. Q3 8:28
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  180. Q3 8:45
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  181. Q3 8:50
    Lakers personal foul
  182. Q3 8:50
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    70-58
  183. Q3 8:50
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    71-58
  184. Q3 9:01
    Stephen Curry defensive rebound
  185. Q3 9:05
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  186. Q3 9:25
    Lakers personal foul
  187. Q3 9:25
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    68-58
  188. Q3 9:25
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    69-58
  189. Q3 9:30
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  190. Q3 9:31
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  191. Q3 9:51
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    67-58
  192. Q3 10:00
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  193. Q3 10:03
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  194. Q3 10:23
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    65-58
  195. Q3 10:44
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  196. Q3 10:47
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    62-58
  197. Q3 10:47
    Warriors personal foul
  198. Q3 10:47
    Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  199. Q3 10:58
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    62-56
  200. Q3 11:04
    Lakers turnover
  201. Q3 11:15
    +2
    Jonathan Kuminga makes two point jump shot
    60-56
  202. Q3 11:28
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  203. Q3 11:31
    Warriors personal foul
  204. Q3 11:31
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    58-56
  205. Q3 11:31
    Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  206. Q3 11:47
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    58-54
  207. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  208. Q3 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski)
  209. Q3 12:00
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Austin Reaves)
  210. Q2 00:01
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  211. Q2 00:01
    Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
  212. Q2 00:01
    Lakers personal foul
  213. Q2 00:01
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    54-54
  214. Q2 00:01
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    55-54
  215. Q2 00:01
    Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski)
  216. Q2 00:19
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    53-54
  217. Q2 00:33
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    53-51
  218. Q2 00:41
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  219. Q2 00:42
    Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
  220. Q2 00:42
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  221. Q2 00:46
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  222. Q2 00:55
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    50-51
  223. Q2 1:06
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  224. Q2 1:08
    Lakers personal foul
  225. Q2 1:08
    +1
    Draymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    50-48
  226. Q2 1:08
    Draymond Green misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  227. Q2 1:08
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Jake LaRavia, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent)
  228. Q2 1:28
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    49-48
  229. Q2 1:34
    Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
  230. Q2 1:37
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  231. Q2 1:52
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    49-44
  232. Q2 1:52
    Warriors personal foul
  233. Q2 1:52
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    49-45
  234. Q2 2:01
    Warriors personal foul
  235. Q2 2:01
    Draymond Green turnover (offensive foul)
  236. Q2 2:07
    Lakers personal foul
  237. Q2 2:07
    Marcus Smart turnover (offensive foul)
  238. Q2 2:09
    Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
  239. Q2 2:13
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  240. Q2 2:21
    Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
  241. Q2 2:23
    Warriors personal foul
  242. Q2 2:23
    Deandre Ayton misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  243. Q2 2:23
    Lakers offensive rebound
  244. Q2 2:23
    Deandre Ayton misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  245. Q2 2:33
    Warriors turnover
  246. Q2 2:44
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  247. Q2 2:46
    Warriors personal foul
  248. Q2 2:46
    +1
    Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    49-42
  249. Q2 2:46
    Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski)
  250. Q2 2:46
    Marcus Smart misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  251. Q2 2:46
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent)
  252. Q2 2:59
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    49-41
  253. Q2 3:18
    Lakers turnover
  254. Q2 3:28
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  255. Q2 3:30
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  256. Q2 3:44
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    47-41
  257. Q2 4:03
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    47-39
  258. Q2 4:18
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    45-39
  259. Q2 4:18
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  260. Q2 4:18
    Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Al Horford, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga)
  261. Q2 4:23
    Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
  262. Q2 4:26
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  263. Q2 4:43
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    45-37
  264. Q2 4:46
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  265. Q2 4:59
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    45-35
  266. Q2 5:03
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  267. Q2 5:05
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  268. Q2 5:21
    Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
  269. Q2 5:23
    Lakers personal foul
  270. Q2 5:23
    +1
    Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    42-35
  271. Q2 5:23
    Jonathan Kuminga misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  272. Q2 5:33
    Lakers personal foul
  273. Q2 5:33
    Marcus Smart turnover (offensive foul)
  274. Q2 5:33
    Instant replay
  275. Q2 5:33
    Instant replay
  276. Q2 5:33
    Instant replay
  277. Q2 5:33
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2
    40-35
  278. Q2 5:33
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
    41-35
  279. Q2 5:44
    Warriors personal foul
  280. Q2 5:44
    Stephen Curry turnover (offensive foul)
  281. Q2 5:44
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic, Austin Reaves)
  282. Q2 5:52
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    39-35
  283. Q2 6:05
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    39-33
  284. Q2 6:10
    Lakers turnover
  285. Q2 6:22
    Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
  286. Q2 6:24
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  287. Q2 6:41
    Warriors personal foul
  288. Q2 6:41
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    37-32
  289. Q2 6:41
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    37-33
  290. Q2 6:48
    Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
  291. Q2 6:48
    Warriors turnover
  292. Q2 6:51
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  293. Q2 6:53
    Jump ball. (Al Horford gains possession)
  294. Q2 6:57
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  295. Q2 6:57
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent)
  296. Q2 6:57
    Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Al Horford, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Gary Payton II)
  297. Q2 7:09
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  298. Q2 7:14
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  299. Q2 7:36
    Lakers personal foul
  300. Q2 7:36
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    36-31
  301. Q2 7:36
    Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Al Horford, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga)
  302. Q2 7:36
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    37-31
  303. Q2 7:49
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    35-31
  304. Q2 8:07
    Warriors turnover
  305. Q2 8:07
    Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Jimmy Butler III, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green)
  306. Q2 8:08
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  307. Q2 8:10
    Draymond Green offensive rebound
  308. Q2 8:13
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  309. Q2 8:25
    Lakers personal foul
  310. Q2 8:38
    Warriors personal foul
  311. Q2 8:38
    Lakers personal foul
  312. Q2 8:38
    Jaxson Hayes turnover (offensive foul)
  313. Q2 8:38
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Austin Reaves)
  314. Q2 8:51
    Warriors personal foul
  315. Q2 8:51
    Draymond Green turnover (offensive foul)
  316. Q2 8:51
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Rui Hachimura, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Austin Reaves)
  317. Q2 8:58
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    35-29
  318. Q2 9:09
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    35-27
  319. Q2 9:33
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    33-27
  320. Q2 9:53
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    33-25
  321. Q2 10:04
    Lakers turnover
  322. Q2 10:04
    Lakers personal foul
  323. Q2 10:04
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    31-25
  324. Q2 10:11
    Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
  325. Q2 10:13
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  326. Q2 10:15
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  327. Q2 10:19
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  328. Q2 10:20
    Lakers offensive rebound
  329. Q2 10:32
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  330. Q2 10:51
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    30-25
  331. Q2 11:06
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  332. Q2 11:08
    Warriors personal foul
  333. Q2 11:08
    Jake LaRavia misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  334. Q2 11:08
    Lakers offensive rebound
  335. Q2 11:08
    Jake LaRavia misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  336. Q2 11:15
    Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
  337. Q2 11:18
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  338. Q2 11:22
    Austin Reaves defensive rebound
  339. Q2 11:25
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  340. Q2 11:42
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    28-25
  341. Q2 11:52
    Warriors turnover
  342. Q1 00:00
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  343. Q1 00:00
    Lakers offensive rebound
  344. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  345. Q2 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Jimmy Butler III, Buddy Hield, Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski)
  346. Q2 12:00
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Jarred Vanderbilt, Jake LaRavia, Gabe Vincent, Austin Reaves)
  347. Q1 00:03
    Lakers personal foul
  348. Q1 00:03
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  349. Q1 00:03
    Instant replay
  350. Q1 00:03
    Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Gary Payton II)
  351. Q1 00:03
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    26-22
  352. Q1 00:03
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    27-22
  353. Q1 00:03
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    28-22
  354. Q1 00:27
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    25-22
  355. Q1 00:32
    Warriors turnover
  356. Q1 00:37
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    25-20
  357. Q1 00:56
    Warriors personal foul
  358. Q1 00:56
    Brandin Podziemski turnover (offensive foul)
  359. Q1 00:58
    Lakers turnover
  360. Q1 1:09
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    25-18
  361. Q1 1:30
    Warriors personal foul
  362. Q1 1:30
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    22-17
  363. Q1 1:30
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    22-18
  364. Q1 1:34
    Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
  365. Q1 1:38
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  366. Q1 1:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  367. Q1 1:54
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Jarred Vanderbilt, Jake LaRavia, Austin Reaves)
  368. Q1 2:01
    Lakers turnover
  369. Q1 2:13
    Warriors personal foul
  370. Q1 2:13
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski)
  371. Q1 2:18
    Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
  372. Q1 2:21
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  373. Q1 2:42
    Warriors personal foul
  374. Q1 2:42
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  375. Q1 2:42
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    22-15
  376. Q1 2:42
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski)
  377. Q1 2:42
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    22-16
  378. Q1 2:57
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    22-14
  379. Q1 3:08
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  380. Q1 3:10
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  381. Q1 3:26
    Lakers personal foul
  382. Q1 3:26
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    18-14
  383. Q1 3:26
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    19-14
  384. Q1 3:37
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  385. Q1 3:39
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  386. Q1 3:54
    Lakers defensive rebound
  387. Q1 3:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  388. Q1 3:54
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Jarred Vanderbilt, Jake LaRavia, Luka Doncic)
  389. Q1 3:54
    Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II)
  390. Q1 3:57
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    20-14
  391. Q1 3:57
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  392. Q1 4:07
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    17-14
  393. Q1 4:20
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    17-12
  394. Q1 4:24
    Lakers turnover
  395. Q1 4:32
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    15-12
  396. Q1 4:47
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  397. Q1 4:49
    Warriors personal foul
  398. Q1 4:49
    +1
    Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    12-12
  399. Q1 4:49
    Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  400. Q1 5:00
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  401. Q1 5:00
    Warriors personal foul
  402. Q1 5:00
    Gary Payton II turnover (offensive foul)
  403. Q1 5:00
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia, Luka Doncic)
  404. Q1 5:01
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  405. Q1 5:08
    Warriors turnover
  406. Q1 5:09
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  407. Q1 5:14
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  408. Q1 5:22
    Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
  409. Q1 5:22
    Warriors personal foul
  410. Q1 5:22
    Austin Reaves misses technical free throw 1 of 1
  411. Q1 5:22
    Lakers offensive rebound
  412. Q1 5:23
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  413. Q1 5:27
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  414. Q1 5:30
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  415. Q1 5:31
    Gary Payton II offensive rebound
  416. Q1 5:33
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  417. Q1 5:40
    Lakers personal foul
  418. Q1 5:40
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Gary Payton II)
  419. Q1 5:43
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  420. Q1 5:46
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  421. Q1 6:04
    Warriors turnover
  422. Q1 6:09
    Lakers turnover
  423. Q1 6:12
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  424. Q1 6:12
    Lakers offensive rebound
  425. Q1 6:12
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  426. Q1 6:14
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  427. Q1 6:17
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  428. Q1 6:25
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  429. Q1 6:28
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  430. Q1 6:42
    Warriors turnover
  431. Q1 6:42
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  432. Q1 7:02
    Lakers turnover
  433. Q1 7:03
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Gary Payton II)
  434. Q1 7:03
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic, Austin Reaves)
  435. Q1 7:24
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  436. Q1 7:26
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  437. Q1 7:32
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  438. Q1 7:36
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  439. Q1 7:41
    Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
  440. Q1 7:45
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  441. Q1 7:55
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    12-11
  442. Q1 8:13
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    12-9
  443. Q1 8:27
    Lakers personal foul
  444. Q1 8:27
    Rui Hachimura turnover (offensive foul)
  445. Q1 8:31
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    9-9
  446. Q1 8:36
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    7-9
  447. Q1 8:45
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  448. Q1 8:49
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  449. Q1 9:07
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    7-7
  450. Q1 9:24
    Lakers personal foul
  451. Q1 9:24
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    6-4
  452. Q1 9:24
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    7-4
  453. Q1 9:27
    Lakers turnover
  454. Q1 9:42
    Lakers defensive rebound
  455. Q1 9:42
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  456. Q1 9:44
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  457. Q1 9:48
    Lakers turnover
  458. Q1 10:08
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    5-4
  459. Q1 10:14
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  460. Q1 10:16
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  461. Q1 10:22
    Luka Doncic defensive rebound
  462. Q1 10:24
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  463. Q1 10:38
    Lakers violation
  464. Q1 10:39
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    2-4
  465. Q1 11:00
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    2-2
  466. Q1 11:08
    Lakers turnover
  467. Q1 11:24
    Austin Reaves defensive rebound
  468. Q1 11:27
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  469. Q1 11:38
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  470. Q1 12:00
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, Luka Doncic, Gabe Vincent, Austin Reaves)
  471. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  472. Q1 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski)
  473. Q1 12:00
    (Gabe Vincent gains possession)
Box Score
Warriors
PosPlayerPts
Lakers
PosPlayerPts

Warriors vs. Lakers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Warriors vs. Lakers
  • Date: Tuesday, October 21, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Warriors favored at -2.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Warriors -140, Lakers +126

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Warriors: 59%
  • Lakers: 41%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 115-112 Lakers.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 59%, while the Lakers have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Lakers in the NBA game at Crypto.com Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Warriors vs. Lakers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.