Suns vs. Kings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Suns vs. Kings NBA game on March 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Suns
114
103
Golden 1 Center
Kings
Golden 1 Center
TEAM1234T
Suns
59 0 53 0 114
Kings
55 0 44 0 103
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Suns
    >99%
  • Kings
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Suns
59 0 53 0 114
Kings
55 0 44 0 103
Q4 00:23 Killian Hayes misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:30 Suns makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:48 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:23 Maxime Raynaud makes two point running layup (Killian Hayes assists)
Q4 1:33 Suns misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:57 Maxime Raynaud makes two point bank jump shot (Nique Clifford assists)
Q4 2:04 Suns misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:26 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:32 Mark Williams misses two point tip layup
Q4 2:41 Suns misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:21
    Royce O'Neale defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:23
    Killian Hayes misses three point jump shot
  4. Q4 00:30
    +2
    Suns makes two point jump shot
    112-99
  5. Q4 00:46
    Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
  6. Q4 00:48
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  7. Q4 1:02
    Jalen Green turnover (traveling)
  8. Q4 1:23
    +2
    Maxime Raynaud makes two point running layup (Killian Hayes assists)
    112-99
  9. Q4 1:26
    Nique Clifford defensive rebound
  10. Q4 1:33
    Suns misses two point jump shot
  11. Q4 1:57
    +2
    Maxime Raynaud makes two point bank jump shot (Nique Clifford assists)
    112-99
  12. Q4 2:02
    Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
  13. Q4 2:04
    Suns misses two point jump shot
  14. Q4 2:23
    Jalen Green defensive rebound
  15. Q4 2:26
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  16. Q4 2:31
    Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
  17. Q4 2:32
    Mark Williams misses two point tip layup
  18. Q4 2:32
    Mark Williams offensive rebound
  19. Q4 2:41
    Suns misses two point jump shot
  20. Q4 3:01
    +3
    Killian Hayes makes three point jump shot
    112-99
  21. Q4 3:10
    Kings 60 second timeout
  22. Q4 3:10
    Kings lineup change (Killian Hayes, Precious Achiuwa, Nique Clifford, Maxime Raynaud, Daeqwon Plowden)
  23. Q4 3:12
    +3
    Devin Booker makes three point jump shot
    112-99
  24. Q4 3:18
    Jalen Green defensive rebound
  25. Q4 3:22
    Nique Clifford misses three point jump shot
  26. Q4 3:26
    Nique Clifford defensive rebound
  27. Q4 3:30
    Royce O'Neale misses three point jump shot
  28. Q4 3:50
    Jalen Green defensive rebound
  29. Q4 3:56
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  30. Q4 4:09
    Maxime Raynaud shooting foul (Mark Williams draws the foul)
  31. Q4 4:09
    Mark Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  32. Q4 4:09
    +1
    Mark Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    112-99
  33. Q4 4:09
    Suns offensive rebound
  34. Q4 4:11
    DeMar DeRozan turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Green steals)
  35. Q4 4:17
    Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
  36. Q4 4:20
    Suns misses two point jump shot
  37. Q4 4:30
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    108-96
  38. Q4 4:30
    Suns 60 second timeout
  39. Q4 4:30
    Suns lineup change (Mark Williams, Jalen Green, Royce O'Neale, Devin Booker, Collin Gillespie)
  40. Q4 4:32
    Suns turnover
  41. Q4 4:49
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    108-96
  42. Q4 4:50
    Nique Clifford offensive rebound
  43. Q4 4:54
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  44. Q4 5:01
    Jalen Green turnover
  45. Q4 5:15
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    108-96
  46. Q4 5:15
    Royce O'Neale personal foul
  47. Q4 5:15
    +1
    DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    112-99
  48. Q4 5:28
    +2
    Mark Williams makes two point jump shot
    108-96
  49. Q4 5:40
    Kings turnover
  50. Q4 5:48
    Suns turnover
  51. Q4 6:10
    +2
    DeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot
    106-89
  52. Q4 6:15
    Suns turnover
  53. Q4 6:21
    Russell Westbrook personal foul
  54. Q4 6:21
    Suns lineup change (Mark Williams, Jalen Green, Amir Coffey, Royce O'Neale, Devin Booker)
  55. Q4 6:27
    Jalen Green defensive rebound
  56. Q4 6:28
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  57. Q4 6:47
    +2
    Amir Coffey makes two point jump shot (Rasheer Fleming assists)
    106-87
  58. Q4 6:54
    Maxime Raynaud turnover (Jalen Green steals)
  59. Q4 6:57
    Maxime Raynaud offensive rebound
  60. Q4 7:00
    DeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot
  61. Q4 7:07
    Nique Clifford defensive rebound
  62. Q4 7:11
    Amir Coffey misses two point jump shot
  63. Q4 7:23
    Russell Westbrook personal foul (Rasheer Fleming draws the foul)
  64. Q4 7:23
    Rasheer Fleming offensive rebound
  65. Q4 7:25
    Jalen Green misses three point jump shot
  66. Q4 7:38
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    108-96
  67. Q4 7:50
    +2
    Suns makes two point jump shot
    108-96
  68. Q4 8:04
    +2
    DeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot
    108-96
  69. Q4 8:33
    +3
    Jalen Green makes three point jump shot (Collin Gillespie assists)
    102-83
  70. Q4 8:48
    +2
    Nique Clifford makes two point running dunk
    104-87
  71. Q4 8:48
    Suns 60 second timeout
  72. Q4 8:48
    Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Jalen Green, Amir Coffey, Rasheer Fleming, Collin Gillespie)
  73. Q4 8:50
    Collin Gillespie turnover
  74. Q4 8:59
    +2
    Nique Clifford makes two point tip layup
    99-81
  75. Q4 8:59
    Nique Clifford offensive rebound
  76. Q4 9:05
    Russell Westbrook misses two point jump shot
  77. Q4 9:19
    +2
    Suns makes two point jump shot
    99-79
  78. Q4 9:27
    Amir Coffey defensive rebound
  79. Q4 9:30
    Rasheer Fleming shooting foul (Russell Westbrook draws the foul)
  80. Q4 9:30
    Russell Westbrook misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  81. Q4 9:30
    +1
    Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    108-96
  82. Q4 9:41
    +2
    Suns makes two point jump shot
    97-79
  83. Q4 9:42
    Rasheer Fleming offensive rebound
  84. Q4 9:45
    Suns misses three point jump shot
  85. Q4 10:00
    Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
  86. Q4 10:04
    +1
    Maxime Raynaud makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    92-75
  87. Q4 10:04
    Suns personal foul
  88. Q4 10:04
    Maxime Raynaud misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  89. Q4 10:04
    Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Amir Coffey, Rasheer Fleming, Grayson Allen, Collin Gillespie)
  90. Q4 10:18
    +3
    Grayson Allen makes three point jump shot
    108-96
  91. Q4 10:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  92. Q4 10:36
    +1
    DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    92-75
  93. Q4 10:36
    Rasheer Fleming shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)
  94. Q4 10:36
    +1
    DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    108-96
  95. Q4 10:41
    Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
  96. Q4 10:44
    Suns misses three point jump shot
  97. Q4 10:51
    Rasheer Fleming defensive rebound
  98. Q4 10:54
    Nique Clifford misses three point stepback jump shot
  99. Q4 11:06
    Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
  100. Q4 11:11
    Grayson Allen misses three point jump shot
  101. Q4 11:19
    Rasheer Fleming defensive rebound
  102. Q4 11:22
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  103. Q4 11:40
    +2
    Collin Gillespie makes two point fadeaway jump shot
    108-96
  104. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  105. Q4 12:00
    Kings lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Precious Achiuwa, DeMar DeRozan, Nique Clifford, Maxime Raynaud)
  106. Q3 00:02
    Devin Carter offensive rebound
  107. Q3 00:02
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  108. Q3 00:16
    Grayson Allen turnover
  109. Q3 00:35
    +2
    Devin Carter makes two point driving layup (Malik Monk assists)
    108-96
  110. Q3 00:53
    +3
    Grayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Collin Gillespie assists)
    108-96
  111. Q3 00:54
    Rasheer Fleming offensive rebound
  112. Q3 00:59
    Daeqwon Plowden personal foul
  113. Q3 00:59
    Suns offensive rebound
  114. Q3 00:59
    Ryan Dunn misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  115. Q3 00:59
    Ryan Dunn misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  116. Q3 00:59
    Suns offensive rebound
  117. Q3 1:00
    Suns misses three point jump shot
  118. Q3 1:14
    Ryan Dunn defensive rebound
  119. Q3 1:17
    Precious Achiuwa misses two point jump shot
  120. Q3 1:22
    Devin Carter offensive rebound
  121. Q3 1:24
    Nique Clifford misses two point jump shot
  122. Q3 1:41
    Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
  123. Q3 1:45
    Grayson Allen misses three point jump shot
  124. Q3 2:00
    Nique Clifford turnover (Grayson Allen steals)
  125. Q3 2:10
    +2
    Suns makes two point jump shot
    108-96
  126. Q3 2:19
    Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
  127. Q3 2:22
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  128. Q3 2:45
    Kings 60 second timeout
  129. Q3 2:45
    Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Rasheer Fleming, Grayson Allen, Collin Gillespie, Ryan Dunn)
  130. Q3 2:48
    +3
    Rasheer Fleming makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)
    62-63
  131. Q3 2:50
    Rasheer Fleming offensive rebound
  132. Q3 2:53
    Suns misses three point jump shot
  133. Q3 3:04
    Malik Monk turnover (bad pass) (Grayson Allen steals)
  134. Q3 3:25
    +3
    Rasheer Fleming makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)
    62-63
  135. Q3 3:29
    Oso Ighodaro offensive rebound
  136. Q3 3:33
    Grayson Allen misses three point jump shot
  137. Q3 3:39
    Devin Carter personal foul
  138. Q3 3:49
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    108-96
  139. Q3 4:04
    Devin Booker turnover (lost ball) (Malik Monk steals)
  140. Q3 4:04
    Suns personal foul
  141. Q3 4:16
    Suns personal foul
  142. Q3 4:16
    +1
    Daeqwon Plowden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    108-96
  143. Q3 4:16
    Kings lineup change (Malik Monk, Precious Achiuwa, Devin Carter, Nique Clifford, Daeqwon Plowden)
  144. Q3 4:16
    +1
    Daeqwon Plowden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    108-96
  145. Q3 4:16
    Suns lineup change (Oso Ighodaro, Rasheer Fleming, Grayson Allen, Devin Booker, Ryan Dunn)
  146. Q3 4:17
    Malik Monk defensive rebound
  147. Q3 4:20
    Devin Booker misses three point pullup jump shot
  148. Q3 4:29
    Mark Williams defensive rebound
  149. Q3 4:31
    Russell Westbrook misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  150. Q3 4:41
    Daeqwon Plowden defensive rebound
  151. Q3 4:44
    Suns misses three point jump shot
  152. Q3 5:02
    +2
    Nique Clifford makes two point pullup jump shot (Malik Monk assists)
    112-99
  153. Q3 5:19
    Maxime Raynaud personal foul
  154. Q3 5:19
    +2
    Maxime Raynaud makes two point layup
    62-63
  155. Q3 5:19
    +2
    Jalen Green makes two point jump shot
    62-63
  156. Q3 5:19
    +1
    Jalen Green makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    112-99
  157. Q3 5:39
    Grayson Allen turnover (Daeqwon Plowden steals)
  158. Q3 5:51
    +2
    Maxime Raynaud makes two point jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)
    62-63
  159. Q3 6:04
    +3
    Suns makes three point jump shot
    62-63
  160. Q3 6:05
    Kings 60 second timeout
  161. Q3 6:05
    Kings lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Malik Monk, Nique Clifford, Maxime Raynaud, Daeqwon Plowden)
  162. Q3 6:10
    Kings turnover
  163. Q3 6:23
    +3
    Royce O'Neale makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)
    62-63
  164. Q3 6:29
    Kings turnover
  165. Q3 6:46
    Maxime Raynaud shooting foul (Mark Williams draws the foul)
  166. Q3 6:46
    +1
    Mark Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    62-63
  167. Q3 6:46
    +1
    Mark Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    108-96
  168. Q3 6:46
    Russell Westbrook blocks Devin Booker's two point jump shot
  169. Q3 6:47
    Mark Williams offensive rebound
  170. Q3 6:55
    Grayson Allen offensive rebound
  171. Q3 6:58
    Devin Booker misses two point jump shot
  172. Q3 7:08
    Suns offensive rebound
  173. Q3 7:08
    Suns lineup change (Mark Williams, Jalen Green, Royce O'Neale, Grayson Allen, Devin Booker)
  174. Q3 7:08
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  175. Q3 7:08
    Kings lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Malik Monk, DeMar DeRozan, Maxime Raynaud, Daeqwon Plowden)
  176. Q3 7:09
    Suns misses three point jump shot
  177. Q3 7:24
    Precious Achiuwa misses two point tip layup
  178. Q3 7:25
    Precious Achiuwa offensive rebound
  179. Q3 7:26
    DeMar DeRozan misses two point layup
  180. Q3 7:26
    Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
  181. Q3 7:44
    Precious Achiuwa blocks Mark Williams's two point layup
  182. Q3 7:44
    Suns turnover
  183. Q3 7:44
    Kings turnover
  184. Q3 7:44
    Mark Williams offensive rebound
  185. Q3 7:44
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  186. Q3 7:50
    Royce O'Neale blocks Malik Monk's two point pullup jump shot
  187. Q3 7:50
    Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
  188. Q3 8:05
    +3
    Suns makes three point jump shot
    62-63
  189. Q3 8:05
    Kings 60 second timeout
  190. Q3 8:05
    Kings lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Malik Monk, Precious Achiuwa, DeMar DeRozan, Maxime Raynaud)
  191. Q3 8:05
    Kings lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Malik Monk, Precious Achiuwa, DeMar DeRozan, Maxime Raynaud)
  192. Q3 8:10
    Nique Clifford turnover
  193. Q3 8:24
    Kings defensive rebound
  194. Q3 8:24
    Devin Booker misses two point pullup jump shot
  195. Q3 8:24
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  196. Q3 8:31
    Devin Booker defensive rebound
  197. Q3 8:34
    Russell Westbrook misses three point jump shot
  198. Q3 8:56
    +3
    Collin Gillespie makes three point pullup jump shot (Royce O'Neale assists)
    62-63
  199. Q3 9:02
    Collin Gillespie offensive rebound
  200. Q3 9:05
    Devin Booker misses three point jump shot
  201. Q3 9:10
    Collin Gillespie offensive rebound
  202. Q3 9:11
    Royce O'Neale misses three point running jump shot
  203. Q3 9:15
    Devin Booker defensive rebound
  204. Q3 9:17
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  205. Q3 9:22
    Nique Clifford defensive rebound
  206. Q3 9:26
    Royce O'Neale misses three point jump shot
  207. Q3 9:36
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    112-99
  208. Q3 9:53
    Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
  209. Q3 9:56
    Jalen Green misses three point jump shot
  210. Q3 10:03
    Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
  211. Q3 10:06
    Precious Achiuwa misses three point jump shot
  212. Q3 10:19
    Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
  213. Q3 10:23
    Royce O'Neale misses three point pullup jump shot
  214. Q3 10:34
    Royce O'Neale personal foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)
  215. Q3 10:34
    Kings offensive rebound
  216. Q3 10:34
    DeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  217. Q3 10:34
    +1
    DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    112-99
  218. Q3 10:44
    +2
    Jalen Green makes two point jump shot
    59-55
  219. Q3 11:01
    +3
    Russell Westbrook makes three point jump shot
    112-99
  220. Q3 11:09
    Collin Gillespie turnover (bad pass) (Russell Westbrook steals)
  221. Q3 11:24
    +2
    DeMar DeRozan makes two point stepback jump shot (Maxime Raynaud assists)
    59-55
  222. Q3 11:35
    Kings defensive rebound
  223. Q3 11:35
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  224. Q3 11:36
    Nique Clifford personal foul (Mark Williams draws the foul)
  225. Q3 11:36
    +1
    Mark Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    112-99
  226. Q3 11:36
    Mark Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  227. Q3 11:44
    Mark Williams defensive rebound
  228. Q3 11:48
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  229. Q2 00:00
    Russell Westbrook misses two point driving layup
  230. Q2 00:00
    Kings offensive rebound
  231. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  232. Q3 12:00
    Suns lineup change (Mark Williams, Jalen Green, Royce O'Neale, Devin Booker, Collin Gillespie)
  233. Q2 00:04
    Nique Clifford shooting foul (Devin Booker draws the foul)
  234. Q2 00:04
    +1
    Devin Booker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    58-55
  235. Q2 00:04
    +1
    Grayson Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    59-55
  236. Q2 7:52
    Oso Ighodaro personal foul
  237. Q2 7:52
    Suns 60 second timeout
  238. Q1 00:00
    Suns misses two point jump shot
  239. Q1 00:01
    Suns offensive rebound
  240. Q1 1:01
    Precious Achiuwa turnover
  241. Q1 7:56
    Suns misses two point jump shot
Box Score
Suns
PosPlayerPts
Kings
PosPlayerPts

Suns vs. Kings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Suns vs. Kings
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Golden 1 Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Suns favored at -8.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Suns -360, Kings +300

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Suns: 76%
  • Kings: 24%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Suns 116-108 Kings.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Suns a win probability of 76%, while the Kings have a win probability of 24%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Suns are more likely to beat the Kings in the NBA game at Golden 1 Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Suns vs. Kings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.