Spurs vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Mavericks NBA game on February 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Spurs
135
123
American Airlines Center
Mavericks
American Airlines Center
TEAM1234T
Spurs
38 39 40 2 135
Mavericks
39 31 41 2 123
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Spurs
    >99%
  • Mavericks
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Spurs
38 39 40 2 135
Mavericks
39 31 41 2 123
Q4 00:48 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:53 Stephon Castle makes two point tip layup
Q4 00:54 Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:16 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:24 De'Aaron Fox makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:08 Victor Wembanyama blocks Daniel Gafford's two point jump shot
Q4 2:27 Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:41 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:21
    Spurs turnover
  3. Q4 00:44
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:48
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  5. Q4 00:53
    +2
    Stephon Castle makes two point tip layup
    119-113
  6. Q4 00:53
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  7. Q4 00:54
    Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
  8. Q4 00:58
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  9. Q4 1:00
    Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
  10. Q4 1:09
    Mavericks personal foul
  11. Q4 1:09
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    119-113
  12. Q4 1:09
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
  13. Q4 1:09
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    119-113
  14. Q4 1:16
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  15. Q4 1:17
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  16. Q4 1:24
    +3
    De'Aaron Fox makes three point jump shot
    119-113
  17. Q4 1:39
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    119-113
  18. Q4 1:39
    Spurs personal foul
  19. Q4 1:39
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    119-113
  20. Q4 1:43
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  21. Q4 1:45
    Mavericks personal foul
  22. Q4 1:45
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    119-113
  23. Q4 1:45
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  24. Q4 1:51
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  25. Q4 1:52
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  26. Q4 2:06
    Caleb Martin personal foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)
  27. Q4 2:06
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  28. Q4 2:06
    Spurs personal foul
  29. Q4 2:06
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    119-113
  30. Q4 2:06
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    119-113
  31. Q4 2:08
    Victor Wembanyama blocks Daniel Gafford's two point jump shot
  32. Q4 2:24
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  33. Q4 2:27
    Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
  34. Q4 2:41
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    119-113
  35. Q4 3:01
    Mavericks personal foul
  36. Q4 3:01
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    119-113
  37. Q4 3:01
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    119-113
  38. Q4 3:01
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  39. Q4 3:10
    Mavericks personal foul
  40. Q4 3:10
    Spurs defensive rebound
  41. Q4 3:10
    Spurs personal foul
  42. Q4 3:11
    Max Christie misses three point jump shot
  43. Q4 3:25
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  44. Q4 3:27
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  45. Q4 3:31
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  46. Q4 3:33
    Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
  47. Q4 3:39
    Spurs personal foul
  48. Q4 3:52
    +3
    Stephon Castle makes three point jump shot
    119-113
  49. Q4 4:08
    Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg)
  50. Q4 4:08
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes)
  51. Q4 4:08
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  52. Q4 4:09
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    119-113
  53. Q4 4:18
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  54. Q4 4:20
    Dylan Harper misses three point jump shot
  55. Q4 4:36
    +2
    Daniel Gafford makes two point running dunk (Max Christie assists)
    119-113
  56. Q4 4:42
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  57. Q4 4:44
    Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
  58. Q4 4:54
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
    119-113
  59. Q4 5:15
    Naji Marshall personal foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)
  60. Q4 5:15
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    119-113
  61. Q4 5:15
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    119-113
  62. Q4 5:15
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
  63. Q4 5:24
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  64. Q4 5:37
    Dylan Harper shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
  65. Q4 5:37
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  66. Q4 5:37
    Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
  67. Q4 5:37
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
  68. Q4 5:37
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    119-113
  69. Q4 5:37
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    119-113
  70. Q4 5:39
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  71. Q4 5:41
    Cooper Flagg blocks Keldon Johnson's two point driving layup
  72. Q4 5:47
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  73. Q4 5:50
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  74. Q4 6:03
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  75. Q4 6:05
    Dylan Harper misses two point jump shot
  76. Q4 6:20
    +3
    Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)
    119-113
  77. Q4 6:29
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    119-113
  78. Q4 6:45
    Jump ball. (Julian Champagnie gains possession)
  79. Q4 6:48
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  80. Q4 6:48
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  81. Q4 6:56
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  82. Q4 6:59
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  83. Q4 7:04
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  84. Q4 7:08
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  85. Q4 7:23
    Mavericks personal foul
  86. Q4 7:23
    Instant replay (Request: Stands)
  87. Q4 7:23
    +1
    Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    119-113
  88. Q4 7:23
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse, Cooper Flagg)
  89. Q4 7:23
    +1
    Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    119-113
  90. Q4 7:23
    +1
    Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    119-113
  91. Q4 7:39
    Spurs personal foul
  92. Q4 7:39
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    117-111
  93. Q4 7:39
    +1
    Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    117-111
  94. Q4 7:39
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
  95. Q4 7:55
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  96. Q4 7:55
    +3
    De'Aaron Fox makes three point running jump shot (Carter Bryant assists)
    117-111
  97. Q4 7:55
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse)
  98. Q4 7:55
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
  99. Q4 7:55
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
  100. Q4 7:55
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse)
  101. Q4 8:00
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  102. Q4 8:04
    Klay Thompson misses three point running jump shot
  103. Q4 8:10
    Spurs turnover
  104. Q4 8:19
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  105. Q4 8:22
    De'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot
  106. Q4 8:31
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  107. Q4 8:32
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  108. Q4 8:32
    Naji Marshall offensive rebound
  109. Q4 8:37
    Klay Thompson misses three point running jump shot
  110. Q4 8:42
    Harrison Barnes turnover (Caleb Martin steals)
  111. Q4 8:46
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  112. Q4 8:48
    Victor Wembanyama blocks Daniel Gafford's two point jump shot
  113. Q4 9:00
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    112-105
  114. Q4 9:00
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    117-111
  115. Q4 9:00
    Daniel Gafford personal foul
  116. Q4 9:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson)
  117. Q4 9:12
    Spurs personal foul
  118. Q4 9:12
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    117-111
  119. Q4 9:12
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    117-111
  120. Q4 9:12
    Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
  121. Q4 9:21
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  122. Q4 9:23
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  123. Q4 9:33
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    117-111
  124. Q4 9:48
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    117-111
  125. Q4 10:01
    Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
  126. Q4 10:01
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    117-111
  127. Q4 10:04
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  128. Q4 10:24
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    117-111
  129. Q4 10:35
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  130. Q4 10:35
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  131. Q4 10:35
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  132. Q4 10:41
    Spurs turnover
  133. Q4 10:47
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  134. Q4 10:50
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  135. Q4 11:11
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    117-111
  136. Q4 11:22
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    101-98
  137. Q4 11:40
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  138. Q4 11:42
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  139. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  140. Q3 00:00
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  141. Q3 00:00
    Spurs offensive rebound
  142. Q4 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Carter Bryant, Harrison Barnes)
  143. Q4 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg)
  144. Q3 00:05
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    112-105
  145. Q3 00:25
    Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
  146. Q3 00:28
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  147. Q3 00:34
    Spurs defensive rebound
  148. Q3 00:34
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  149. Q3 00:36
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  150. Q3 00:41
    De'Aaron Fox personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
  151. Q3 00:53
    Caleb Martin defensive rebound
  152. Q3 00:56
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  153. Q3 00:58
    Spurs offensive rebound
  154. Q3 00:58
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  155. Q3 00:59
    Daniel Gafford blocks Julian Champagnie's two point cutting layup
  156. Q3 1:01
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  157. Q3 1:03
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  158. Q3 1:07
    Ryan Nembhard misses two point pullup jump shot
  159. Q3 1:30
    Ryan Nembhard personal foul
  160. Q3 1:30
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie)
  161. Q3 1:30
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    99-94
  162. Q3 1:30
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    112-105
  163. Q3 1:30
    Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Ryan Nembhard, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg, Miles Kelly)
  164. Q3 1:32
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  165. Q3 1:38
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  166. Q3 1:43
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  167. Q3 1:46
    Stephon Castle misses two point running layup
  168. Q3 1:50
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  169. Q3 1:52
    Dylan Harper blocks Mavericks's two point jump shot
  170. Q3 2:08
    +2
    Stephon Castle makes two point jump shot (Keldon Johnson assists)
    99-94
  171. Q3 2:24
    +3
    Miles Kelly makes three point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
    99-94
  172. Q3 2:49
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    99-94
  173. Q3 3:05
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    93-91
  174. Q3 3:05
    Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse, Cooper Flagg, Miles Kelly)
  175. Q3 3:05
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  176. Q3 3:14
    Keldon Johnson turnover (traveling)
  177. Q3 3:18
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  178. Q3 3:20
    Ryan Nembhard misses two point jump shot
  179. Q3 3:23
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  180. Q3 3:25
    Moussa Cisse blocks Spurs's two point jump shot
  181. Q3 3:32
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  182. Q3 3:34
    Ryan Nembhard misses two point stepback jump shot
  183. Q3 3:47
    Dylan Harper kicked ball violation
  184. Q3 3:47
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie)
  185. Q3 3:47
    Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse, Cooper Flagg)
  186. Q3 3:55
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  187. Q3 3:56
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  188. Q3 4:05
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  189. Q3 4:07
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  190. Q3 4:14
    Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
  191. Q3 4:19
    Stephon Castle misses three point jump shot
  192. Q3 4:31
    Harrison Barnes shooting foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
  193. Q3 4:31
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    99-94
  194. Q3 4:31
    +1
    Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    112-105
  195. Q3 4:53
    +3
    Harrison Barnes makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
    93-86
  196. Q3 5:00
    Naji Marshall personal foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
  197. Q3 5:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse)
  198. Q3 5:00
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Harrison Barnes)
  199. Q3 5:09
    Naji Marshall offensive rebound
  200. Q3 5:12
    +3
    Naji Marshall makes three point jump shot (Max Christie assists)
    90-86
  201. Q3 5:13
    Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
  202. Q3 5:30
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  203. Q3 5:34
    Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
  204. Q3 5:50
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    99-94
  205. Q3 5:50
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes)
  206. Q3 5:50
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  207. Q3 5:50
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse)
  208. Q3 5:58
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  209. Q3 6:01
    Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
  210. Q3 6:14
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    112-105
  211. Q3 6:29
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    90-80
  212. Q3 6:46
    +3
    Naji Marshall makes three point jump shot
    87-78
  213. Q3 7:06
    +2
    Devin Vassell makes two point turnaround jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
    87-75
  214. Q3 7:27
    Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
  215. Q3 7:28
    Julian Champagnie shooting foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
  216. Q3 7:28
    +1
    Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    99-94
  217. Q3 7:28
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes)
  218. Q3 7:28
    +1
    Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    112-105
  219. Q3 7:29
    Daniel Gafford misses two point jump shot
  220. Q3 7:47
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    99-94
  221. Q3 7:59
    +3
    Caleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
    90-80
  222. Q3 8:21
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
    90-80
  223. Q3 8:30
    Caleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)
  224. Q3 8:30
    Caleb Martin offensive foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)
  225. Q3 8:46
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    90-80
  226. Q3 8:52
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  227. Q3 8:54
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  228. Q3 9:13
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    93-86
  229. Q3 9:22
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  230. Q3 9:25
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  231. Q3 9:31
    Spurs personal foul
  232. Q3 9:45
    Spurs turnover
  233. Q3 9:50
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  234. Q3 9:52
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  235. Q3 9:59
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  236. Q3 10:02
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  237. Q3 10:15
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    93-86
  238. Q3 10:35
    +3
    Harrison Barnes makes three point jump shot
    93-86
  239. Q3 10:36
    Devin Vassell offensive rebound
  240. Q3 10:38
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  241. Q3 10:53
    +2
    Max Christie makes two point jump shot
    93-86
  242. Q3 11:07
    Victor Wembanyama offensive foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
  243. Q3 11:07
    Victor Wembanyama turnover (offensive foul)
  244. Q3 11:12
    Mavericks turnover
  245. Q3 11:16
    Harrison Barnes turnover (bad pass) (Max Christie steals)
  246. Q3 11:36
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    93-86
  247. Q2 00:00
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  248. Q2 00:00
    De'Aaron Fox turnover (lost ball) (Daniel Gafford steals)
  249. Q2 00:00
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  250. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  251. Q3 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
  252. Q3 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg)
  253. Q2 00:16
    Mavericks turnover
  254. Q2 00:21
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  255. Q2 00:24
    De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
  256. Q2 00:34
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  257. Q2 00:37
    Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
  258. Q2 00:45
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    74-63
  259. Q2 1:05
    +3
    Naji Marshall makes three point running jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
    69-58
  260. Q2 1:10
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  261. Q2 1:12
    De'Aaron Fox misses two point pullup jump shot
  262. Q2 1:21
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point driving finger roll layup (Ryan Nembhard assists)
    74-63
  263. Q2 1:38
    Mavericks personal foul
  264. Q2 1:38
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Harrison Barnes)
  265. Q2 1:38
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    74-63
  266. Q2 1:38
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    74-63
  267. Q2 1:47
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  268. Q2 1:50
    Ryan Nembhard misses two point jump shot
  269. Q2 1:54
    Ryan Nembhard offensive rebound
  270. Q2 1:56
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  271. Q2 2:15
    +2
    Dylan Harper makes two point alley-oop layup (Victor Wembanyama assists)
    74-63
  272. Q2 2:25
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot
    74-63
  273. Q2 2:34
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  274. Q2 2:36
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  275. Q2 2:46
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point turnaround hook shot
    69-58
  276. Q2 3:15
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    67-54
  277. Q2 3:28
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  278. Q2 3:30
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    65-54
  279. Q2 3:30
    Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  280. Q2 3:30
    Spurs personal foul
  281. Q2 3:30
    Instant replay (Request)
  282. Q2 3:30
    Carter Bryant turnover
  283. Q2 3:30
    Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg)
  284. Q2 3:30
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant)
  285. Q2 3:39
    Klay Thompson defensive rebound
  286. Q2 3:41
    Devin Vassell misses two point putback layup
  287. Q2 3:41
    Devin Vassell offensive rebound
  288. Q2 3:43
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  289. Q2 3:48
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  290. Q2 3:52
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  291. Q2 4:05
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    74-63
  292. Q2 4:16
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  293. Q2 4:18
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  294. Q2 4:30
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  295. Q2 4:30
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  296. Q2 4:31
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  297. Q2 4:46
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  298. Q2 4:46
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant)
  299. Q2 4:46
    Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
  300. Q2 4:47
    +3
    Victor Wembanyama makes three point jump shot
    58-52
  301. Q2 4:53
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  302. Q2 4:55
    Max Christie misses three point jump shot
  303. Q2 5:13
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    58-52
  304. Q2 5:20
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  305. Q2 5:22
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  306. Q2 5:45
    +2
    Dylan Harper makes two point running layup
    58-52
  307. Q2 5:50
    Mavericks turnover
  308. Q2 6:01
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    69-58
  309. Q2 6:11
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    58-52
  310. Q2 6:31
    +2
    Stephon Castle makes two point cutting dunk (Dylan Harper assists)
    58-52
  311. Q2 6:45
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
    58-52
  312. Q2 6:57
    +2
    Stephon Castle makes two point running dunk
    58-52
  313. Q2 6:57
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  314. Q2 6:57
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
  315. Q2 7:00
    Cooper Flagg turnover (Stephon Castle steals)
  316. Q2 7:07
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  317. Q2 7:10
    Victor Wembanyama misses two point jump shot
  318. Q2 7:16
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  319. Q2 7:16
    Moussa Cisse personal foul (Loose ball) (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
  320. Q2 7:16
    Spurs offensive rebound
  321. Q2 7:16
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
  322. Q2 7:16
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse, Cooper Flagg)
  323. Q2 7:21
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  324. Q2 7:23
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  325. Q2 7:47
    +2
    Julian Champagnie makes two point running layup (Stephon Castle assists)
    58-52
  326. Q2 7:52
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  327. Q2 7:54
    Cooper Flagg misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
  328. Q2 8:08
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    58-52
  329. Q2 8:08
    +1
    Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    58-52
  330. Q2 8:08
    Cooper Flagg shooting foul (Julian Champagnie draws the foul)
  331. Q2 8:08
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
  332. Q2 8:11
    Mavericks turnover
  333. Q2 8:16
    Julian Champagnie turnover (bad pass) (Cooper Flagg steals)
  334. Q2 8:30
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    58-52
  335. Q2 8:49
    Caleb Martin defensive rebound
  336. Q2 8:52
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  337. Q2 8:57
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  338. Q2 8:59
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  339. Q2 9:02
    Mavericks personal foul
  340. Q2 9:02
    Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Moussa Cisse, Cooper Flagg)
  341. Q2 9:13
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    49-48
  342. Q2 9:31
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    49-48
  343. Q2 9:46
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  344. Q2 9:46
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes)
  345. Q2 9:46
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Caleb Martin, Moussa Cisse, Miles Kelly)
  346. Q2 9:53
    Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
  347. Q2 9:55
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  348. Q2 10:01
    Harrison Barnes turnover (lost ball) (Ryan Nembhard steals)
  349. Q2 10:08
    Mavericks delay of game violation
  350. Q2 10:09
    +2
    Caleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
    38-39
  351. Q2 10:30
    Miles Kelly defensive rebound
  352. Q2 10:34
    Jordan McLaughlin misses three point jump shot
  353. Q2 10:57
    +2
    Ryan Nembhard makes two point jump shot
    38-39
  354. Q2 11:15
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    49-48
  355. Q2 11:19
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  356. Q2 11:23
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    38-39
  357. Q2 11:30
    Victor Wembanyama turnover
  358. Q2 11:46
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot
    38-39
  359. Q1 00:00
    Ryan Nembhard personal foul
  360. Q1 00:00
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  361. Q1 00:00
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  362. Q1 00:00
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    38-39
  363. Q1 00:00
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    38-39
  364. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  365. Q2 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes)
  366. Q2 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Caleb Martin, Miles Kelly)
  367. Q1 00:04
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point pullup jump shot
    36-35
  368. Q1 00:26
    Miles Kelly shooting foul (Dylan Harper draws the foul)
  369. Q1 00:26
    Dylan Harper misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  370. Q1 00:26
    Spurs offensive rebound
  371. Q1 00:26
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    36-35
  372. Q1 00:35
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point driving floating jump shot
    38-35
  373. Q1 00:43
    Daniel Gafford blocks Keldon Johnson's two point driving layup
  374. Q1 00:43
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  375. Q1 00:43
    +2
    Keldon Johnson makes two point tip layup
    35-31
  376. Q1 00:48
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  377. Q1 00:51
    Klay Thompson misses three point pullup jump shot
  378. Q1 00:56
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point driving finger roll layup (Harrison Barnes assists)
    33-31
  379. Q1 1:17
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    36-35
  380. Q1 1:24
    Miles Kelly defensive rebound
  381. Q1 1:28
    Carter Bryant misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
  382. Q1 1:42
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    31-29
  383. Q1 1:46
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    31-27
  384. Q1 1:47
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  385. Q1 1:50
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  386. Q1 2:00
    Spurs personal foul
  387. Q1 2:00
    +1
    Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    29-26
  388. Q1 2:00
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Harrison Barnes)
  389. Q1 2:00
    +1
    Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    29-27
  390. Q1 2:12
    Klay Thompson defensive rebound
  391. Q1 2:15
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  392. Q1 2:24
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    29-25
  393. Q1 2:34
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    29-22
  394. Q1 2:50
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  395. Q1 2:50
    Spurs personal foul
  396. Q1 2:50
    +1
    Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    27-21
  397. Q1 2:50
    Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Miles Kelly)
  398. Q1 2:50
    +1
    Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    27-22
  399. Q1 2:51
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  400. Q1 2:53
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  401. Q1 2:53
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  402. Q1 2:53
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  403. Q1 2:53
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  404. Q1 2:53
    Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
  405. Q1 3:03
    Spurs personal foul
  406. Q1 3:03
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant)
  407. Q1 3:15
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  408. Q1 3:18
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  409. Q1 3:23
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  410. Q1 3:26
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  411. Q1 3:39
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    27-20
  412. Q1 3:47
    Mavericks personal foul
  413. Q1 4:01
    Mavericks turnover
  414. Q1 4:01
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse, Cooper Flagg)
  415. Q1 4:01
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant)
  416. Q1 4:05
    Spurs turnover
  417. Q1 4:22
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    25-20
  418. Q1 4:35
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    25-18
  419. Q1 4:45
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    22-18
  420. Q1 4:56
    Mavericks personal foul
  421. Q1 4:56
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    21-16
  422. Q1 4:56
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    22-16
  423. Q1 4:56
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse, Cooper Flagg)
  424. Q1 5:05
    Spurs personal foul
  425. Q1 5:05
    +1
    Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    19-15
  426. Q1 5:05
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
  427. Q1 5:05
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse, Cooper Flagg)
  428. Q1 5:05
    +1
    Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    19-16
  429. Q1 5:19
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    19-14
  430. Q1 5:28
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  431. Q1 5:31
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  432. Q1 5:51
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    17-14
  433. Q1 6:04
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  434. Q1 6:07
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  435. Q1 6:07
    Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
  436. Q1 6:07
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    15-14
  437. Q1 6:07
    Spurs personal foul
  438. Q1 6:07
    Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Max Christie, Caleb Martin, Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg)
  439. Q1 6:07
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
  440. Q1 6:07
    Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  441. Q1 6:22
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    15-12
  442. Q1 6:43
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    12-12
  443. Q1 6:49
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  444. Q1 7:40
    Caleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)
Box Score
Spurs
PosPlayerPts
Mavericks
PosPlayerPts

Spurs vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Spurs vs. Mavericks
  • Date: Thursday, February 5, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Spurs favored at -7.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Spurs -310, Mavericks +260

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Spurs: 74%
  • Mavericks: 26%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 118-110 Mavericks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 74%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 26%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Spurs vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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