Cubs vs. Mets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cubs vs. Mets MLB game on June 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Cubs
Matthew Boyd 2-1, 6.00 ERA
4
3
Citi Field
Mets
Freddy Peralta 5-6, 4.83 ERA
Citi Field
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 RHE
Cubs
0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 4 6 1
Mets
0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 3 9 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cubs
    100%
  • Mets
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Carson Benge grounds out to shallow infield, Alex Bregman to Michael Busch.
Quick Box Score
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF5021001.4001.000
2 C. Kelly C1000000.0000.000
3 M. Busch 1B5010001.2000.400
4 A. Bregman 3B4111001.2500.750
5 I. Happ LF4011002.2500.500
6 N. Hoerner 2B3000010.0000.250
7 P. Ramirez DH4000003.0000.000
8 M. Shaw RF0100000.0000.000
9 D. Swanson SS4100002.0000.000
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Benge RF5010011.2000.533
2 B. Bichette 3B4010003.2500.650
3 J. Soto DH3010020.3330.933
4 J. Young LF11111101.0005.000
5 F. Alvarez C4000011.0000.200
6 A. Ewing CF4110010.2500.650
7 R. Mauricio SS5010001.2000.600
8 E. Wagaman 1B3112100.3331.666
9 B. Baty 2B5010002.2000.400

Cubs vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cubs vs. Mets
  • Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mets favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Cubs -102, Mets 50¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cubs: 48%
  • Mets: 52%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cubs a win probability of 48%, while the Mets have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Cubs in the MLB game at Citi Field on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cubs vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.