D-Backs vs. Marlins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the D-Backs vs. Marlins MLB game on June 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
D-Backs
Merrill Kelly 5-4, 5.71 ERA
0
2
loanDepot park
Marlins
Tyler Phillips 0-1, 2.08 ERA
loanDepot park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
D-Backs
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0
Marlins
1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 X 2 5 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D-Backs
    0%
  • Marlins
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
LuJames Groover strikes out on a foul tip.
Quick Box Score
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Marte 2B4010000.2500.750
2 C. Carroll RF3000002.0000.250
3 G. Moreno DH3000012.0000.250
4 N. Arenado 3B4000003.0000.000
5 G. Perdomo SS3000011.0000.250
6 L. Groover 1B4010001.2500.500
7 T. Troy LF3000001.0000.000
8 A. Del Castillo C0000010.0001.000
9 J. Barrosa CF3010002.3330.666
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 L. Hicks DH4010000.2500.500
2 O. Lopez SS4120000.5001.000
3 K. Stowers 1B2100022.0000.500
4 X. Edwards 2B3011000.3330.583
5 J. Sanoja 3B3000000.0000.000
6 H. Hernández LF1000000.0000.000
7 J. Marsee CF2011010.5001.167
8 J. Mack C3000001.0000.000
9 E. Ruiz RF3000001.0000.000

D-Backs vs. Marlins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: D-Backs vs. Marlins
  • Date: Thursday, June 11, 2026
  • Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • Venue: loanDepot park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Marlins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: D-Backs 46¢, Marlins 53¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • D-Backs: 47%
  • Marlins: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the D-Backs a win probability of 47%, while the Marlins have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Marlins are more likely to beat the D-Backs in the MLB game at loanDepot park on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our D-Backs vs. Marlins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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