Mets vs. Padres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Padres MLB game on June 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Mets
Nolan McLean 3-4, 4.21 ERA
2
3
Jun 6, 10:10 PM ET Petco Park
Padres
Griffin Canning 0-4, 7.16 ERA
Jun 6, 10:10 PM ET Petco Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 6 0
Padres
0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 X 3 5 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    0%
  • Padres
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Mark Vientos strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Benge RF4010001.2500.500
2 B. Bichette SS4010001.2500.500
3 J. Soto LF4000001.0000.000
4 J. Young 1B4000002.0000.000
5 M. Semien 2B3221110.6672.417
6 A. Ewing CF2010021.5001.250
7 M. Vientos DH4000003.0000.000
8 B. Baty 3B3011000.3330.666
9 L. Torrens C3000001.0000.000
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Tatis RF4021001.5001.000
2 J. Merrill CF4000001.0000.000
3 T. France 1B3000011.0000.250
4 M. Machado 3B4000001.0000.000
5 J. Bowen LF0000000.0000.000
6 X. Bogaerts SS2000011.0000.333
7 M. Andujar DH3000000.0000.000
8 S. Song 2B22200101.0002.000
9 F. Fermin C2112100.5002.500

Mets vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mets vs. Padres
  • Date: Saturday, June 6, 2026
  • Time: 10:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Petco Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mets favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mets -114, Padres +115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mets: 53%
  • Padres: 47%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 53%, while the Padres have a win probability of 47%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Padres in the MLB game at Petco Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.