Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Cubs MLB game on April 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Phillies
Aaron Nola 1-1, 4.03 ERA
1
5
Wrigley Field
Cubs
Colin Rea 2-0, 3.64 ERA
Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 0
Cubs
0 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 X 5 8 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    0%
  • Cubs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Kyle Schwarber pops out to Miguel Amaya.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS4000010.0000.200
2 K. Schwarber DH5000002.0000.000
3 B. Harper 1B3010010.3330.833
4 A. García RF4010001.2500.500
5 B. Marsh LF4010000.2500.500
6 A. Bohm 3B3000011.0000.250
7 B. Stott 2B4110000.2500.500
8 J. Crawford CF2011020.5001.750
9 R. Marchán C4010001.2500.500
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Hoerner 2B4010002.2500.500
2 M. Busch 1B4110001.2500.500
3 A. Bregman 3B4020001.5001.500
4 I. Happ LF3110012.3330.833
5 S. Suzuki DH1000011.0000.500
6 M. Shaw RF2010000.5001.000
7 M. Amaya C4000002.0000.000
8 P. Crow-Armstrong CF3100010.0000.250
9 D. Swanson SS4113101.2501.250

Phillies vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Phillies vs. Cubs
  • Date: Monday, April 20, 2026
  • Time: 7:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Phillies 48¢, Cubs 51¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Phillies: 47%
  • Cubs: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 47%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.