Braves vs. Phillies: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Braves vs. Phillies MLB game on Sunday, September 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Braves
Tyler Mahle 5-10, 4.25 ERA
5
4
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Aaron Nola 6-10, 4.93 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Braves
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 5 10 1
Phillies
2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4 7 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Braves
    100%
  • Phillies
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Edmundo Sosa strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Braves Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Baldwin DH5120002.4001.000
2 R. Acuña RF3124100.6672.500
3 M. Olson 1B4000001.0000.000
4 M. Harris CF4010000.2500.500
5 M. Dubón SS4020000.5001.250
6 O. Albies 2B4110000.2500.750
7 S. Murphy C4000002.0000.000
8 A. Riley 3B4011000.2501.000
9 M. Yastrzemski LF3210012.3330.833
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH3211110.3331.833
2 T. Turner SS4110000.2500.750
3 B. Harper RF4000003.0000.000
4 L. Arraez 2B3011000.3330.583
5 A. Bohm 1B4011001.2500.750
6 B. Stott 3B4010000.2500.500
7 D. Hill CF2111100.5002.500
8 B. De La Cruz LF2000000.0000.000
9 E. Sosa PH1000001.0000.000

Braves vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Sunday, September 6, 2026
  • Time: 1:10PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Braves (-1.5, +170), Phillies (+1.5, -174)
  • Moneyline: Braves +100, Phillies -104
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+117/-120)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Braves: 48.8%
  • Phillies: 51.2%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Braves a win probability of 48.8%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 51.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Braves in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Braves vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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