Brewers vs. Reds: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brewers vs. Reds MLB game on Friday, September 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Brewers
Shane Drohan 7-5, 3.75 ERA
10
7
Great American Ball Park
Reds
Rhett Lowder 6-8, 5.14 ERA
Great American Ball Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Brewers
0 2 2 0 5 1 0 0 0 10 12 0
Reds
1 2 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 7 8 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brewers
    100%
  • Reds
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Elly De La Cruz strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Brewers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 S. Frelick RF6010000.1670.500
2 J. Bauers 1B3110021.3330.933
3 J. Chourio LF5210002.2000.400
4 C. Yelich DH4110011.2500.650
5 W. Contreras C4211011.2500.900
6 B. Turang 2B4233001.7501.800
7 L. Lara CF3000002.0000.000
8 C. Pratt SS4114011.2501.150
9 J. Ortiz 3B0000000.0000.000
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Myers CF5220002.4001.000
2 E. De La Cruz SS5131001.6001.200
3 S. Stewart 1B4011000.2500.500
4 T. Stephenson C3100011.0000.250
5 E. Suárez DH3213110.3331.833
6 J. Bleday LF2000021.0000.500
7 M. McLain 2B4112101.2501.250
8 H. Rodríguez RF3000013.0000.250
9 J. Brito 3B1000001.0000.000

Brewers vs. Reds: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds
  • Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
  • Time: 6:10PM ET
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Brewers (-1.5, +108), Reds (+1.5, -110)
  • Moneyline: Brewers -144, Reds +140
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5 runs (-102/-102)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Brewers: 56.4%
  • Reds: 43.6%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Brewers a win probability of 56.4%, while the Reds have a win probability of 43.6%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Brewers are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Great American Ball Park on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Brewers vs. Reds predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.