Orioles vs. Cardinals: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Orioles vs. Cardinals MLB game on Tuesday, August 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Orioles
Chris Bassitt 4-4, 5.08 ERA
13
1
Busch Stadium
Cardinals
Matthew Liberatore 5-11, 5.04 ERA
Busch Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Orioles
0 0 4 0 8 1 0 0 0 13 16 0
Cardinals
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orioles
    100%
  • Cardinals
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ramón Urías grounds out to shallow infield, Gunnar Henderson to Samuel Basallo.
Quick Box Score
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Holliday 2B6231000.5001.000
2 C. Narváez C10100001.0003.000
3 G. Henderson SS4100011.0000.200
4 C. Mayo DH5111002.2000.400
5 C. Encarnacion-Strand 3B5223101.4001.400
6 S. Basallo 1B5000004.0000.000
7 C. Franklin CF4210002.2500.900
8 D. Beavers LF4122011.5001.350
9 L. Taveras RF5222002.4000.800
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Jordan 3B10100001.0002.000
2 I. Herrera 1B4010002.2500.500
3 J. Crooks C1000001.0000.000
4 B. Torres LF1000001.0000.000
5 J. Báez RF4010002.2500.500
6 N. Gorman DH4000003.0000.000
7 R. Urías 2B4000000.0000.000
8 N. Church CF3121100.6672.334
9 J. Fermín SS3000000.0000.000

Orioles vs. Cardinals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals
  • Date: Tuesday, August 25, 2026
  • Time: 7:45PM ET
  • Venue: Busch Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Orioles (+1.5, -182), Cardinals (-1.5, +178)
  • Moneyline: Orioles +115, Cardinals -115
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-111/+113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Orioles: 45.1%
  • Cardinals: 54.9%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Orioles a win probability of 45.1%, while the Cardinals have a win probability of 54.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cardinals are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Busch Stadium on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Orioles vs. Cardinals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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