Cubs vs. Diamondbacks: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cubs vs. Diamondbacks MLB game on Tuesday, August 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Cubs
Clay Holmes 5-6, 2.49 ERA
4
5
Chase Field
D-Backs
Brandon Pfaadt 7-1, 3.39 ERA
Chase Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cubs
0 0 0 3 0 1 0 0 0 4 7 0
D-Backs
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 5 5 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cubs
    0%
  • D-Backs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ryan Waldschmidt homers to left field. Jose Fernandez scores.
Quick Box Score
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF3000010.0000.250
2 S. Suzuki RF4220000.5001.250
3 M. Busch 1B3121011.6671.750
4 A. Bregman 3B4000001.0000.000
5 I. Happ LF4113101.2501.250
6 N. Hoerner SS4000000.0000.000
7 P. Ramirez 2B3010000.3330.833
8 M. Conforto DH4010001.2500.500
9 M. Amaya C3000001.0000.000
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 L. Nootbaar DH3100010.0000.250
2 C. Carroll RF4010001.2500.500
3 G. Moreno C3111010.3331.167
4 G. Perdomo SS3022010.6671.417
5 M. Kepler LF4000001.0000.000
6 N. Arenado 3B4000001.0000.000
7 J. Fernandez PR0100000.0000.000
8 I. Vargas 2B4000001.0000.000
9 R. Waldschmidt PH11121001.0005.000

Cubs vs. Diamondbacks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: CHI Cubs Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Date: Tuesday, August 25, 2026
  • Time: 9:40PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Cubs (-1.5, +163), Diamondbacks (+1.5, -167)
  • Moneyline: Cubs +105, Diamondbacks -102
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+108/-108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Cubs: 49.4%
  • Diamondbacks: 50.6%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cubs a win probability of 49.4%, while the Diamondbacks have a win probability of 50.6%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Diamondbacks are more likely to beat the Cubs in the MLB game at Chase Field on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cubs vs. Diamondbacks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.