Red Sox vs. Marlins: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Marlins MLB game on Monday, August 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Red Sox
Starter not available 5-3, 3.42 ERA
4
2
loanDepot park
Marlins
Sandy Alcantara 13-8, 3.46 ERA
loanDepot park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Red Sox
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 4 9 1
Marlins
0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 9 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Red Sox
    100%
  • Marlins
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Javier Sanoja grounds out to first base to Willson Contreras.
Quick Box Score
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Sogard SS5011002.2000.400
2 C. Rafaela CF5010001.2000.400
3 W. Abreu RF4110012.2500.900
4 W. Contreras 1B4000000.0000.200
5 A. Rutschman C5000001.0000.000
6 C. Durbin 3B4010000.2500.500
7 J. Duran LF4120001.5001.250
8 E. White DH0100000.0000.000
9 A. Seigler 2B3111010.3331.500
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 O. Lopez SS4121000.5001.150
2 H. Hernández LF4020010.5001.100
3 K. Stowers 1B4010012.2500.900
4 O. Caissie DH10100101.0002.000
5 X. Edwards 2B5011002.2000.400
6 J. Marsee CF3100011.0000.400
7 J. Sanoja 3B4000010.0000.200
8 G. Conine RF2000000.0000.000
9 B. Navarreto C0000000.0000.000

Red Sox vs. Marlins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Monday

  • Teams: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins
  • Date: Monday, August 24, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: loanDepot park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Red Sox (-1.5, +150), Marlins (+1.5, -150)
  • Moneyline: Red Sox -117, Marlins +117
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+117/-117)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Red Sox: 53.8%
  • Marlins: 46.2%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 53.8%, while the Marlins have a win probability of 46.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Marlins in the MLB game at loanDepot park on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Sox vs. Marlins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.