Cubs vs. Diamondbacks: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cubs vs. Diamondbacks MLB game on Monday, August 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Cubs
Kevin Gausman 6-11, 4.58 ERA
7
0
Chase Field
D-Backs
Merrill Kelly 8-11, 5.37 ERA
Chase Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cubs
0 1 0 0 1 3 2 0 0 7 10 0
D-Backs
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cubs
    100%
  • D-Backs
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jordan Lawlar lines out to deep left field to Ian Happ.
Quick Box Score
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF5000000.0000.000
2 S. Suzuki RF5011001.2000.600
3 M. Busch 1B3100022.0000.400
4 A. Bregman 3B5110000.2000.400
5 I. Happ LF5121000.4001.000
6 N. Hoerner SS3001001.0000.000
7 P. Ramirez 2B4121000.5001.500
8 M. Conforto DH32321101.0003.333
9 C. Kelly C3111110.3331.833
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Fernandez PH10100001.0002.000
2 C. Carroll RF3000012.0000.250
3 G. Moreno C4000000.0000.000
4 G. Perdomo SS4010001.2500.500
5 J. Lawlar PH1000000.0000.000
6 N. Arenado 3B3000000.0000.000
7 T. Tawa 1B3010000.3330.666
8 I. Vargas 2B3010001.3330.666
9 R. Waldschmidt CF3000002.0000.000

Cubs vs. Diamondbacks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Monday

  • Teams: CHI Cubs Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Date: Monday, August 24, 2026
  • Time: 9:40PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Cubs (-1.5, +120), Diamondbacks (+1.5, -122)
  • Moneyline: Cubs -133, Diamondbacks +130
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-122/+122)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Cubs: 54.1%
  • Diamondbacks: 45.9%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cubs a win probability of 54.1%, while the Diamondbacks have a win probability of 45.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Diamondbacks in the MLB game at Chase Field on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cubs vs. Diamondbacks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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