Nationals vs. Marlins: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nationals vs. Marlins MLB game on Saturday, August 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Nationals
Jake Irvin 2-7, 5.80 ERA
2
4
loanDepot park
Marlins
Eury Pérez 6-9, 3.23 ERA
loanDepot park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Nationals
0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 0
Marlins
2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 X 4 7 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nationals
    0%
  • Marlins
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
José Tena grounds out to shortstop, Otto Lopez to Griffin Conine.
Quick Box Score
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Lile DH4100001.0000.000
2 D. Crews RF4011000.2500.750
3 B. House 3B3000011.0000.250
4 A. Ortiz 1B3100010.0000.250
5 J. Vivas PH1000000.0000.000
6 J. Tena 2B3010011.3330.833
7 J. Young CF3000001.0000.000
8 N. Nuñez SS3000000.0000.000
9 A. Pinckney LF3010002.3330.666
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 X. Edwards 2B4010001.2500.500
2 G. Conine 1B3100011.0000.250
3 A. Ramírez DH1000000.0000.000
4 O. Lopez SS4012000.2500.500
5 J. Marsee CF4121101.5001.750
6 H. Hernández LF3111110.3331.833
7 J. Mack C3010000.3330.666
8 J. Sanoja 3B3000000.0000.000
9 E. Ruiz RF2000002.0000.333

Nationals vs. Marlins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Saturday

  • Teams: Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
  • Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
  • Time: 4:10PM ET
  • Venue: loanDepot park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Nationals (+1.5, -125), Marlins (-1.5, +128)
  • Moneyline: Nationals +178, Marlins -178
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+108/-113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Nationals: 38.5%
  • Marlins: 61.5%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nationals a win probability of 38.5%, while the Marlins have a win probability of 61.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Marlins are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at loanDepot park on Saturday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nationals vs. Marlins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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