Rays vs. Orioles: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rays vs. Orioles MLB game on Saturday, August 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Rays
Shane McClanahan 9-6, 3.25 ERA
2
3
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Orioles
Brandon Young 9-3, 3.52 ERA
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 RHE
Rays
1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 8 0
Orioles
0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 3 8 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rays
    0%
  • Orioles
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Dylan Beavers doubles to deep right center field. Leody Taveras scores.
Quick Box Score
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH5120000.4000.800
2 J. Aranda 1B3000011.0000.250
3 C. Simpson LF4010000.2500.500
4 J. Caminero 3B4011000.2500.500
5 K. Piper C1000000.0000.000
6 J. DeLuca RF4020001.5001.250
7 R. Palacios 2B4000001.0000.000
8 C. Mullins CF3010010.3331.167
9 T. Walls SS3000010.0000.250
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Holliday 2B4110000.2500.500
2 P. Alonso DH4020001.5001.000
3 S. Basallo 1B11121001.0005.000
4 T. O'Neill RF4000000.0000.000
5 G. Henderson SS4010001.2500.500
6 C. Encarnacion-Strand 3B4000002.0000.000
7 C. Franklin LF3000011.0000.250
8 L. Taveras CF4100001.0000.000
9 D. Beavers PH10110001.0003.000

Rays vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Saturday

  • Teams: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
  • Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
  • Time: 7:05PM ET
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Rays (-1.5, +138), Orioles (+1.5, -144)
  • Moneyline: Rays -122, Orioles +117
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+111/-108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Rays: 54.9%
  • Orioles: 45.1%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rays a win probability of 54.9%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 45.1%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rays are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rays vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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