Red Sox vs. Pirates: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Pirates MLB game on Friday, August 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Red Sox
Jake Bennett 7-5, 3.17 ERA
4
8
PNC Park
Pirates
Bubba Chandler 5-8, 4.26 ERA
PNC Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Red Sox
0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 4 9 1
Pirates
0 1 0 3 3 0 1 0 X 8 9 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Red Sox
    0%
  • Pirates
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Adley Rutschman strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Sogard 2B4022000.5000.900
2 M. Yoshida DH5021002.4000.800
3 A. Rutschman C5000003.0000.000
4 W. Contreras 1B3010011.3330.833
5 W. Abreu RF4010000.2500.750
6 C. Durbin 3B3100010.0000.250
7 J. Duran LF3210012.3330.833
8 A. Monasterio SS3011010.3330.833
9 E. White CF4110002.2500.500
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Gonzalez SS11100001.0003.000
2 R. Simon DH3110001.3330.666
3 B. Reynolds RF4320001.5001.250
4 B. Cook CF0000000.0000.000
5 B. Lowe 2B4113102.2501.250
6 R. Flores 1B4132100.7502.250
7 J. Mangum LF4000001.0000.000
8 J. Triolo 3B3000010.0000.250
9 H. Davis C3000001.0000.000

Red Sox vs. Pirates: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Date: Friday, August 14, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: PNC Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Red Sox (-1.5, +150), Pirates (+1.5, -153)
  • Moneyline: Red Sox -111, Pirates +110
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-113/+111)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Red Sox: 50.0%
  • Pirates: 50.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 50.0%, while the Pirates have a win probability of 50.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pirates are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at PNC Park on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Sox vs. Pirates predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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