Cardinals vs. Cubs: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cardinals vs. Cubs MLB game on Friday, August 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Cardinals
Matthew Liberatore 5-9, 5.15 ERA
0
3
Wrigley Field
Cubs
Clay Holmes 4-5, 2.86 ERA
Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cardinals
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0
Cubs
0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 X 3 6 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cardinals
    0%
  • Cubs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Nathan Church lines out to shallow right field to Nico Hoerner.
Quick Box Score
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt 2B4000001.0000.000
2 I. Herrera C4010000.2500.500
3 A. Burleson 1B4000000.0000.000
4 J. Walker RF3000011.0000.250
5 N. Church CF4000000.0000.000
6 M. Winn SS3000002.0000.000
7 B. Torres DH3010001.3330.666
8 J. Fermín LF2010011.5001.167
9 C. Prieto 3B3000000.0000.000
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF4000000.0000.000
2 S. Suzuki DH4123100.5002.000
3 A. Bregman 3B3000010.0000.250
4 M. Busch 1B3010011.3330.833
5 N. Hoerner 2B4010000.2500.500
6 C. Kelly C3010002.3330.666
7 I. Happ LF3000002.0000.000
8 T. Taylor RF2100010.0000.333
9 D. Swanson SS3110001.3330.666

Cardinals vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: St. Louis Cardinals vs. CHI Cubs Cubs
  • Date: Friday, August 14, 2026
  • Time: 2:20PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Cardinals (+1.5, -120), Cubs (-1.5, +115)
  • Moneyline: Cardinals +175, Cubs -174
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-117/+117)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Cardinals: 37.7%
  • Cubs: 62.3%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cardinals a win probability of 37.7%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 62.3%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Cardinals in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cardinals vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.