Marlins vs. Yankees Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Marlins vs. Yankees MLB game on April 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Marlins
Chris Paddack 0-1, 18.00 ERA
7
6
Yankee Stadium
Yankees
Max Fried 2-0, 0.00 ERA
Yankee Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Marlins
1 0 0 1 0 1 0 4 0 7 7 1
Yankees
3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 7 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Marlins
    100%
  • Yankees
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
J.C. Escarra strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 O. Caissie RF2000002.0000.000
2 A. Ramírez DH5000003.0000.000
3 J. Marsee CF3200022.0000.400
4 O. Lopez SS3121010.6671.417
5 G. Conine LF0100000.0001.000
6 G. Pauley 1B11120001.0003.000
7 X. Edwards 2B4023000.5001.250
8 L. Hicks C4000000.0000.000
9 J. Sanoja 3B4000001.0000.000
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF4100012.0000.200
2 A. Judge RF5220001.4001.000
3 C. Bellinger LF2100030.0000.600
4 B. Rice 1B2213130.5002.800
5 G. Stanton DH5020002.4000.800
6 J. Chisholm 2B5012000.2000.600
7 A. Wells C4000002.0000.200
8 J. Escarra PH1000001.0000.000
9 R. McMahon 3B3010011.3330.833

Marlins vs. Yankees: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Marlins vs. Yankees
  • Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
  • Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Yankees favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Marlins 28¢, Yankees 73¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Marlins: 29%
  • Yankees: 71%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Marlins a win probability of 29%, while the Yankees have a win probability of 71%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Marlins in the MLB game at Yankee Stadium on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Marlins vs. Yankees predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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