Padres vs. Red Sox Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Padres vs. Red Sox MLB game on April 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Padres
Walker Buehler 0-1, 6.75 ERA
8
6
Fenway Park
Red Sox
Starter not available 0-1, 8.31 ERA
Fenway Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Padres
0 0 0 3 3 0 0 1 1 8 12 0
Red Sox
0 0 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 6 9 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Padres
    100%
  • Red Sox
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Willson Contreras strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Laureano LF5000001.0000.000
2 F. Tatis RF3111011.3331.067
3 J. Merrill CF5332100.6001.800
4 M. Machado 3B4223101.5001.750
5 M. Andujar DH3000012.0000.250
6 X. Bogaerts SS30300101.0002.333
7 T. France 1B1000000.0000.000
8 J. Cronenworth 2B4000000.0000.000
9 F. Fermin C0000000.0000.000
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Anthony DH4100011.0000.200
2 T. Story SS5010002.2000.400
3 J. Duran LF5112003.2000.600
4 W. Contreras 1B4100012.0000.200
5 W. Abreu RF4231000.7502.250
6 C. Rafaela CF0000000.0000.000
7 C. Durbin 3B3000010.0000.250
8 M. Mayer 2B4000002.0000.000
9 C. Narváez C3110010.3330.833

Padres vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Padres vs. Red Sox
  • Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
  • Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Venue: Fenway Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Sox favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Padres 40¢, Red Sox 59¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Padres: 41%
  • Red Sox: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Padres a win probability of 41%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Padres in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Padres vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.