Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Orioles vs. Red Sox MLB game on July 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Orioles
Dean Kremer 1-2, 4.15 ERA
5
1
Fenway Park
Red Sox
Jake Bennett 5-3, 2.35 ERA
Fenway Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Orioles
4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5 9 0
Red Sox
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orioles
    100%
  • Red Sox
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jarren Duran pops out to second base to Jackson Holliday.
Quick Box Score
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Ward LF4010000.2500.650
2 P. Alonso 1B5110001.2000.600
3 G. Henderson SS3210010.3331.600
4 C. Cowser CF1000021.0000.667
5 C. Encarnacion-Strand 3B4000002.0000.000
6 D. Beavers RF4122000.5001.000
7 J. Rodríguez DH4021002.5001.250
8 J. Holliday 2B3010011.3330.833
9 C. Tromp C4000001.0000.000
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 A. Seigler 2B4010001.2500.500
2 C. Rafaela CF4000000.0000.000
3 W. Abreu RF4000002.0000.000
4 W. Contreras 1B2110000.5001.750
5 M. Yoshida DH4011000.2500.500
6 C. Durbin 3B3000010.0000.250
7 J. Duran LF4000000.0000.000
8 A. Monasterio SS3020000.6671.334
9 C. Wong C0000000.0000.000

Orioles vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Orioles vs. Red Sox
  • Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Fenway Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Sox favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9
  • Moneyline Odds: Orioles 44¢, Red Sox 56¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Orioles: 42%
  • Red Sox: 58%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Orioles a win probability of 42%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Orioles vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.