Pirates vs. Yankees Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Yankees MLB game on July 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Pirates
Braxton Ashcraft 9-3, 3.49 ERA
5
8
Jul 20, 7:05 PM ET Yankee Stadium
Yankees
Ryan Weathers 3-7, 4.15 ERA
Jul 20, 7:05 PM ET Yankee Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 9 2
Yankees
4 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 X 8 11 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    0%
  • Yankees
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Brandon Lowe strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Gonzales 3B5011001.2000.400
2 B. Lowe 2B5000003.0000.000
3 B. Reynolds LF3110011.3330.833
4 E. Valdez RF3112112.3331.833
5 R. O'Hearn 1B4120002.5001.000
6 M. Ozuna DH3110010.3331.167
7 J. Gonzalez SS2010000.5001.000
8 R. Flores C0000000.0000.000
9 J. Mangum CF2000000.0000.000
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF4000001.0000.000
2 B. Rice DH3110011.3330.833
3 P. Goldschmidt 1B4110001.2500.500
4 C. Bellinger LF4210001.2500.500
5 J. Chisholm 2B4225202.5002.500
6 J. Domínguez RF4110001.2500.500
7 R. McMahon 3B4110001.2500.500
8 A. Wells C4020000.5001.000
9 J. Caballero SS4022000.5001.250

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Pirates vs. Yankees: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pirates vs. Yankees
  • Date: Monday, July 20, 2026
  • Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Yankees favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pirates +104, Yankees -106

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pirates: 45%
  • Yankees: 55%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 45%, while the Yankees have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at Yankee Stadium on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. Yankees predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.