MLB player props today: Friday's best props include Shota Imanaga [9/4/2026]

Erick Fedde over 2.5 strikeouts (-175)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 71.3%
• Game: Twins vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)

Our model has found value on CHI White Sox' Erick Fedde over 2.5 strikeouts. A probability of 71.3% gives this play an edge of 7.6% at -175 odds.

Nathan Church to get a hit (-215)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 70.4%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Nathan Church’s to get a hit prop shows a 70.4% probability and an 2.2% edge at -215 odds, according to our model.

Shota Imanaga under 5.5 strikeouts (-154)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 68.9%
• Game: Cubs vs. Marlins (7:10PM ET)

The data highlights value on Shota Imanaga under 5.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 68.9% probability and an 8.3% edge at -154.

Jameson Taillon over 11.5 outs recorded (-143)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 67.6%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Royals (8:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Jameson Taillon over 11.5 outs recorded, with a 67.6% probability and an edge of 8.8% at -143 odds.

Andre Pallante over 2.5 strikeouts (-135)

• Edge: 9.9%
• Probability: 67.4%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Andre Pallante over 2.5 strikeouts for St. Louis, showing an edge of 9.9% at -135 odds.

Ryan Feltner under 15.5 outs recorded (-141)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 65.5%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Ryan Feltner’s outs recorded prop shows an edge of 7.0% at -141 odds, supported by a 65.5% probability according to our model.

Shane Baz under 5.5 strikeouts (-151)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 64.9%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Shane Baz under 5.5 strikeouts for Baltimore, with a 64.9% probability and a 4.8% edge at -151 odds.

Zac Veen to get a hit (-143)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 64.3%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Zac Veen to get a hit, supported by a 64.3% probability at -143 odds and an edge of 5.5%.

Ranger Suarez under 5.5 strikeouts (-113)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 61.5%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET)

An 8.5% edge on the under 0.5 strikeouts line makes Ranger Suarez a value play in Red Sox vs. Orioles, supported by a 61.5% probability at -113 odds.

Esmerlyn Valdez to get a hit (-129)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 59.4%
• Game: Angels vs. Pirates (6:45PM ET)

Simulations show value on Esmerlyn Valdez to get a hit here, with a 59.4% probability and 3.1% edge at -129 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Friday, September 4, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:30AM ET:

Conclusion

For September 4, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Erick Fedde, Nathan Church and Shota Imanaga. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.