MLB player props today: Tuesday's best props include George Kirby [8/25/2026]

George Kirby under 2.5 earned runs (-138)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 65.7%
• Game: Phillies vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET)

Our model has found value on Seattle's George Kirby under 2.5 earned runs. A probability of 65.7% gives this play an edge of 7.7% at -138 odds.

Adrian Houser over 1.5 earned runs (-154)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 63.9%
• Game: Reds vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)

Adrian Houser’s earned runs prop shows a 63.9% probability and an 3.3% edge at -154 odds, according to our model.

Max Scherzer over 3.5 strikeouts (-150)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 63.7%
• Game: Royals vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

The data highlights value on Max Scherzer over 3.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 63.7% probability and a 3.7% edge at -150.

Seth Lugo over 3.5 strikeouts (-138)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 63.7%
• Game: Royals vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

Our model finds value on Seth Lugo over 3.5 strikeouts, with a 63.7% probability and an edge of 5.7% at -138 odds.

Adrian Houser over 4.5 hits allowed (-127)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 62.9%
• Game: Reds vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Adrian Houser over 4.5 hits allowed for San Francisco, showing an edge of 6.9% at -127 odds.

Adrian Houser over 14.5 outs recorded (-122)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 60.2%
• Game: Reds vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)

Adrian Houser’s outs recorded prop shows an edge of 5.3% at -122 odds, supported by a 60.2% probability according to our model.

Brandon Pfaadt under 17.5 outs recorded (-104)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 59.2%
• Game: Cubs vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Brandon Pfaadt under 17.5 outs recorded for Arizona, with a 59.2% probability and a 8.2% edge at -104 odds.

Byron Buxton over 1.5 bases (-125)

• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 57.6%
• Game: Twins vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Byron Buxton over 1.5 bases, supported by a 57.6% probability at -125 odds and an edge of 2.0%.

Clay Holmes over 3.5 strikeouts (+106)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 56.7%
• Game: Cubs vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET)

An 8.2% edge on the over 1.5 strikeouts line makes Clay Holmes a value play in Cubs vs. D-Backs, supported by a 56.7% probability at +106 odds.

Evan Carter to get a hit (-105)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 55.4%
• Game: Rangers vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)

Simulations show value on Evan Carter to get a hit here, with a 55.4% probability and 4.2% edge at -105 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, August 25, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:27AM ET:

Conclusion

For August 25, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as George Kirby, Adrian Houser and Max Scherzer. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.