Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +950 pick for Sunday [9/13/2026]

Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, September 13, 2026, feature Aaron Judge as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Sunday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run bets today.

Home run predictions for September 13, 2026

See which hitters join Judge on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +950.

• Aaron Judge (Yankees): 24.5% probability
• Cal Raleigh (Mariners): 20.6%
• Shea Langeliers (Athletics): 19.9%
• Ben Rice (Yankees): 19.0%
• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 18.7%
• Ronald Acuña (Braves): 18.6%
• Riley Greene (Tigers): 18.6%
• Spencer Torkelson (Tigers): 18.5%
• Matt Olson (Braves): 18.5%
• Austin Riley (Braves): 17.8%

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.5% chance to go deep, followed by Cal Raleigh (20.6%) and Shea Langeliers (19.9%).

Ben Rice and Kyle Schwarber are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Sunday's home run picks [9/13/2026]

Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro identifies today’s top home run prop.

Colt Keith (Tigers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 13.5%
• Odds: +950
• Edge: 4.0%
• Pitching matchup: Gabriel Hughes
• More game projections: Rockies vs. Tigers prediction (12:10 PM EDT)

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Detroit slugger Colt Keith rates as a value play at +950 with Fanatics, showing a 4.0% edge.

With Gabriel Hughes on the mound for the Rockies, the data supports Keith as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of nine home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For September 13, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Cal Raleigh and Shea Langeliers projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Colt Keith who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.0% edge at +950 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Sunday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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