Alaves vs. Valencia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Valencia La Liga match on May 14, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Valencia
0
1
May 14, 1:00 PM ET Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alaves
May 14, 1:00 PM ET Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
AlavesALA
Score Summary
ValenciaVCF
Joan Jordan (pen.) (79')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Alaves
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Valencia
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: T. Conechny replaces C. Alena
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: T. Martinez replaces K. Garcia
90'
Yellow Card
C. Protesoni (Alaves) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
S. Mourino (Alaves) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
Joan Jordan (Alaves) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces A. Blanco
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: S. Canos replaces R. Mir
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: M. Aarons replaces M. Diakhaby
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by Joan Jordan (pen.)
0-1
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: F. Perez replaces L. Rioja
75'
Yellow Card
G. Mamardashvili (Valencia) cautioned
70'
Yellow Card
F. Garces (Alaves) cautioned
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Joan Jordan replaces J. Guridi
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: U. Sadiq replaces H. Duro
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: Ivan Jaime replaces D. Lopez
41'
Yellow Card
H. Duro (Valencia) cautioned

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Alaves vs. Valencia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Valencia
  • Date: Wednesday, May 14, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +130, Valencia +280, draw +190

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Alaves: 39.9%
  • Valencia: 30.9%
  • Draw: 29.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 1-1 Valencia (13.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Alaves vs. Valencia? Prediction & correct score

Alaves is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.9%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 1-1 Valencia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Alaves vs. Valencia, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.