Alaves vs. Sevilla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Sevilla La Liga match on August 21, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.

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FINAL

LA LIGA

FINAL

LA LIGA

Sevilla

Aug 21, 1:00 PM ET Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Alaves

Aug 21, 1:00 PM ET Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

AlavesALA

Score Summary

SevillaSEV

L. Rioja (7')

R. Duarte (44')

K. Garcia (54')

K. Garcia (59')

A. Abqar (o.g.) (15')

E. Lamela (41')

R. Mir (90')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

Alaves
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
Sevilla
0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

A. Gorosabel (Alaves) cautioned

90'

Goal scored for Sevilla by R. Mir

3-4

90'

O. Torres (Sevilla) cautioned

87'

Substitution for Alaves: R. Marin replaces R. Duarte

87'

Substitution for Alaves: M. de la Fuente replaces L. Rioja

79'

Substitution for Alaves: M. Sylla replaces K. Garcia

79'

Substitution for Alaves: A. Blanco replaces C. Benavidez

75'

Substitution for Sevilla: J. Corona replaces J. Jordan

75'

Substitution for Sevilla: R. Mir replaces Suso

67'

Substitution for Alaves: J. Lopez replaces X. Alkain

62'

N. Gudelj (Sevilla) cautioned

60'

Substitution for Sevilla: O. Torres replaces L. Ocampos

59'

Goal scored for Alaves by K. Garcia, assisted by L. Rioja

2-4

54'

Goal scored for Alaves by K. Garcia, assisted by J. Guridi

2-3

46'

Substitution for Sevilla: Fernando replaces I. Rakitic

46'

Substitution for Sevilla: A. Pedrosa replaces M. Acuna

44'

Goal scored for Alaves by R. Duarte, assisted by L. Rioja

2-2

41'

Goal scored for Sevilla by E. Lamela, assisted by L. Ocampos

2-1

15'

Goal scored for Sevilla by A. Abqar (o.g.)

1-1

Goal scored for Alaves by L. Rioja, assisted by J. Guridi

0-1

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Alaves vs. Sevilla: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

Teams: Alaves vs. Sevilla
Date: Monday, August 21, 2023
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza

Current betting odds

Moneyline: Alaves +230, Sevilla +140, draw +200
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+152/-188)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

Alaves: 28.5%
Sevilla: 43.2%
Draw: 28.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 0-1 Sevilla (13.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Alaves vs. Sevilla? Prediction & correct score

Sevilla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.2%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 0-1 Sevilla.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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