Arsenal vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Arsenal vs. Chelsea Premier League match on September 6, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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EPL sport icon
PREMIER LEAGUE
Chelsea
1
2
Emirates Stadium
Arsenal
Emirates Stadium
ArsenalARS
Score Summary
ChelseaCFC
K. Havertz (25')
Soccer ball icon
M. Odegaard (50')
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M. Rogers (2')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Arsenal
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Chelsea
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: N. Madueke replaces B. Saka
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    M. Merino (Arsenal) cautioned
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: D. Welbeck replaces M. Rogers
  4. 83'
    Yellow Card
    M. Rogers (Chelsea) cautioned
  5. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: Estevao replaces P. Neto
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: V. Gyokeres replaces K. Havertz
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: M. Merino replaces M. Odegaard
  8. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: M. Zubimendi replaces M. Lewis-Skelly
  9. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: P. Hincapie replaces R. Calafiori
  10. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: P. Chavarria replaces J. Hato
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: M. Gusto replaces R. Lavia
  12. 58'
    Yellow Card
    C. Tzolis (Arsenal) cautioned
  13. 58'
    Yellow Card
    M. Lacroix (Chelsea) cautioned
  14. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Arsenal by M. Odegaard, assisted by C. Tzolis
    1-2
  15. 45'
    Yellow Card
    C. Palmer (Chelsea) cautioned
  16. 25'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Arsenal by K. Havertz, assisted by D. Rice
    1-1
  17. 14'
    Yellow Card
    Joao Pedro (Chelsea) cautioned
  18. 12'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
  19. 2'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chelsea by M. Rogers, assisted by J. Hato
    1-0

Arsenal vs. Chelsea: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Arsenal vs. Chelsea
  • Date: Sunday, September 6, 2026
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Arsenal 57¢, Chelsea 19¢, draw 25¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (55¢/44¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Arsenal: 56.2%
  • Chelsea: 21.6%
  • Draw: 22.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Arsenal 1-1 Chelsea (10.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Arsenal vs. Chelsea? Prediction & correct score

Arsenal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 56.2%.

The most likely correct score is Arsenal 1-1 Chelsea.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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