Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace Premier League match on October 21, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Crystal Palace
0
4
Oct 21, 10:00 AM ET St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
Newcastle
Oct 21, 10:00 AM ET St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
Crystal PalacePAL
J. Murphy (4')
Soccer ball icon
A. Gordon (44')
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S. Longstaff (45')
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C. Wilson (66')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Newcastle
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Crystal Palace
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: D. Ozoh replaces J. Lerma
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: E. Anderson replaces Joelinton
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: Matheus Franca replaces W. Hughes
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: S. Tonali replaces B. Guimaraes
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: V. Livramento replaces K. Trippier
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: M. Almiron replaces A. Gordon
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: A. Isak replaces C. Wilson
66'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by C. Wilson, assisted by J. Murphy
0-4
60'
Yellow Card
T. Mitchell (Crystal Palace) cautioned
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: J. Rak-Sakyi replaces J. Mateta
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by S. Longstaff
0-3
45'
Yellow Card
K. Trippier (Newcastle) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
O. Edouard (Crystal Palace) cautioned
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Gordon, assisted by J. Murphy
0-2
39'
Yellow Card
S. Longstaff (Newcastle) cautioned
29'
Yellow Card
J. Mateta (Crystal Palace) cautioned
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by J. Murphy, assisted by K. Trippier
0-1

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Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace
  • Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: St. James' Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Newcastle -210, Crystal Palace +700, draw +360
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-129/+104)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Newcastle: 66.7%
  • Crystal Palace: 13.2%
  • Draw: 20.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Newcastle 2-0 Crystal Palace (12.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace? Prediction & correct score

Newcastle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 66.7%.

The most likely correct score is Newcastle 2-0 Crystal Palace.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.