Crystal Palace vs. Manchester City prediction, odds, Premier League picks [8/28/2026]

Crystal Palace will face Manchester City in Premier League action at Selhurst Park on Friday, commencing at 3:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced Premier League model projects Manchester City as the most likely winner in this Crystal Palace vs. Manchester City prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.

For more, check out our view into the Premier League title race, and the best value bets to take in EPL futures right now.

Crystal Palace vs. Manchester City prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's Premier League match between Crystal Palace and Manchester City, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 21.0% chance of Crystal Palace winning, a 57.6% chance for Manchester City, and a 21.4% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 60.6% chance of going over, with a 58.6% likelihood that both teams find the net.

Crystal Palace vs. Manchester City odds

We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Manchester City -150, Crystal Palace +456

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Crystal Palace vs. Manchester City picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Crystal Palace @ +456 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -144 via Polymarket

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Crystal Palace to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Crystal Palace vs. Manchester City: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Crystal Palace 1-1 Manchester City (9.9% probability)
• Crystal Palace 1-2 Manchester City (9.9%)
• Crystal Palace 0-2 Manchester City (8.8%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 58.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 41.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Crystal Palace vs. Manchester City game-day updates and essential details

Friday's Premier League action between Crystal Palace and Manchester City at Selhurst Park is scheduled to start in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Crystal Palace vs. Manchester City
• Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Selhurst Park

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Crystal Palace has a 21.0% win probability on Friday, Manchester City has a 57.6% win probability, and there is a 21.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.