North Texas vs. Texas State Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the North Texas vs. Texas State NCAAF game on September 19, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

FINAL
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
FINAL
CFB sport icon
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
North Texas
35
49
UFCU Stadium
Texas State
UFCU Stadium
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • North Texas
    0%
  • Texas State
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
North Texas
7 21 0 7 35
Texas State
21 7 7 14 49
1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0
Texas State
North Texas
3rd and 12 at the TXST 2
Last Play
B.Jackson kneels at the TXST 2.

North Texas vs. Texas State: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: North Texas vs. Texas State
  • Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
  • Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • Venue: UFCU Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Texas State favored at -2.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 62.5
  • Moneyline Odds: North Texas +136, Texas State -148

Dimers' win probabilities

  • North Texas: 40%
  • Texas State: 60%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is North Texas 29-33 Texas State.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives North Texas a win probability of 40%, while Texas State has a win probability of 60%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Texas State is more likely to beat North Texas in CFB action at UFCU Stadium on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our North Texas vs. Texas State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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