Iowa State vs. Iowa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Iowa State vs. Iowa NCAAF game on September 12, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

FINAL
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
FINAL
CFB sport icon
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Iowa State
13
16
Kinnick Stadium
Iowa
Kinnick Stadium
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Iowa State
    0%
  • Iowa
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Iowa State
0 10 3 0 13
Iowa
0 10 0 6 16
1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0
Iowa
Iowa State
1st and 10 at the ISU 49
Last Play
J.Raynor pass complete. Catch made by C.Pabst for 24 yards. Tackled by X.Styles at ISU 49.

Iowa State vs. Iowa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Iowa State vs. Iowa
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Kinnick Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Iowa favored at -14.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 40.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Iowa State +575, Iowa -600

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Iowa State: 13%
  • Iowa: 87%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Iowa State 14-30 Iowa.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Iowa State a win probability of 13%, while Iowa has a win probability of 87%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Iowa is more likely to beat Iowa State in CFB action at Kinnick Stadium on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Iowa State vs. Iowa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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