UC Davis vs. SMU prediction favors Southern Methodist to win in college football Week 2 [2026]

Southern Methodist will take on UC Davis in Week 2 college football action at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday, starting at 4:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven college football model projects Southern Methodist as the most likely winner in this UC Davis vs. SMU prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.

UC Davis vs. SMU prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of UC Davis vs. SMU, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Southern Methodist a 99.3% chance of beating UC Davis. Our predicted final score has Southern Methodist winning 44-14. According to our model, UC Davis (+32.5) has a 52.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 59.5 points has a 53.2% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: UC Davis +32.5 (-110) / SMU -32.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: UC Davis +3000, SMU -4000
• Total: Over/Under 59.5 (-105/-113)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: UC Davis +32.5 @ -110 via bet365
• Moneyline: UC Davis @ +3000 via FanDuel
• Total: Under 59.5 @ -113 via BetRivers

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is UC Davis +32.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between SMU and UC Davis at Gerald J. Ford Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:00 PM ET.

• Who: UC Davis vs. Southern Methodist
• Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
• Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Southern Methodist, with a 99.3% win probability, will likely beat UC Davis in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.