UC Davis vs. SMU prediction favors Southern Methodist to win in college football Week 2 [2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Dimers' simulation model projects a 97.1% win probability for Southern Methodist at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.

UC Davis takes on SMU in College Football action.
UC Davis vs. SMU college football gameday prediction for Saturday, September 12, 2026.

Southern Methodist and UC Davis will clash in Week 2 college football action at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 4:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven college football model projects Southern Methodist as the most likely winner in this UC Davis vs. SMU prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.

UC Davis vs. SMU prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of UC Davis vs. SMU, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Southern Methodist a 97.1% chance of beating UC Davis. Our predicted final score has Southern Methodist winning 44-13. According to our model, UC Davis (+32.5) has a 52.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 59.5 points has a 53.2% chance of staying under.

 

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: UC Davis +32.5 (-110) / SMU -32.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: UC Davis +2800, SMU -3600
  • Total: Over/Under 59.5 (-105/-114)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: UC Davis +32.5 @ -110 via bet365
  • Moneyline: Southern Methodist @ -3600 via DraftKings
  • Total: Under 59.5 @ -114 via BetRivers

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is UC Davis +32.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between SMU and UC Davis at Gerald J. Ford Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:00 PM ET.

  • Who: UC Davis vs. Southern Methodist
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
  • Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium

College football Week 2 promos

Make the most of Dimers' UC Davis vs. Southern Methodist predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:


Conclusion

We predict Southern Methodist, with a 97.1% win probability, will likely beat UC Davis in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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