Texas Southern vs. Texas-El Paso prediction: Why Texas-El Paso is favored to win in college football Week 2 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 94.9% win probability for Texas-El Paso at Sun Bowl.

Texas-El Paso will face Texas Southern in Week 2 college football action at Sun Bowl on Saturday, with kickoff at 9:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model gives Texas-El Paso a slight edge with a 94.9% win probability over Texas Southern.
This article offers a complete Texas Southern vs. Texas-El Paso prediction, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.
Texas Southern vs. Texas-El Paso prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model currently gives Texas-El Paso a 94.9% chance of defeating Texas Southern. Our predicted final score has Texas-El Paso winning 39-13. According to our model, Texas Southern (+26.5) has a 53.3% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 52.5 points has a 51.9% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Texas Southern +26.5 (-110) / Texas-El Paso -26.5 (-108)
- Moneyline: Texas Southern +2000, Texas-El Paso -10000
- Total: Over/Under 52.5 (-114/-104)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Texas Southern +26.5 @ -110 via ESPN BET
- Moneyline: Texas Southern @ +2000 via FanDuel
- Total: Over 52.5 @ -114 via BetRivers
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Texas Southern +26.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football matchup between Texas-El Paso and Texas Southern at Sun Bowl is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Texas Southern vs. Texas-El Paso
- Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Sun Bowl
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Conclusion
We predict Texas-El Paso, with a 94.9% win probability, will likely beat Texas Southern in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.




