Texas-El Paso vs. North Dakota State prediction favors North Dakota State to win in college football Week 9 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Texas-El Paso vs. North Dakota State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives North Dakota State a 96.0% chance of beating Texas-El Paso. Our predicted final score has North Dakota State winning 34-10. According to our model, Texas-El Paso (+26.5) has a 56.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 49.5 points has a 64.6% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Texas-El Paso +26.5 (-130) / North Dakota State -26.5 (+125)
• Moneyline: Texas-El Paso +1718, North Dakota State -1900
• Total: Over/Under 49.5 (+203/-239)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Texas-El Paso +26.5 @ 57¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: North Dakota State @ 95¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 49.5 @ 33¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 49.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between North Dakota State and Texas-El Paso at Gate City Bank Field at the Fargodome is scheduled to start at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Texas-El Paso vs. North Dakota State
• Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30 PM PT
• Venue: Gate City Bank Field at the Fargodome

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Conclusion

We predict North Dakota State, with a 96.0% win probability, will likely beat Texas-El Paso in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.