Stony Brook vs. Ball State prediction favors Ball State to win in college football Week 2 [2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Dimers' simulation model projects an 83.0% win probability for Ball State at Scheumann Stadium.

Stony Brook takes on Ball State in College Football action.
Stony Brook vs. Ball State college football gameday prediction for Saturday, September 12, 2026.

Ball State and Stony Brook will meet in Week 2 college football action at Scheumann Stadium on Saturday, starting at 2:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced college football model projects Ball State as the most likely winner in this Stony Brook vs. Ball State prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.

Stony Brook vs. Ball State prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Stony Brook vs. Ball State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Ball State an 83.0% chance of beating Stony Brook. Our predicted final score has Ball State winning 32-20. According to our model, Stony Brook (+14) has a 53.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 52.5 points has a 51.4% chance of going over.

 

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Stony Brook +14 (-110) / Ball State -14 (-113)
  • Moneyline: Stony Brook +525, Ball State -550
  • Total: Over/Under 52.5 (-110/-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Stony Brook +14 @ -110 via BetRivers
  • Moneyline: Stony Brook @ +525 via BetRivers
  • Total: Over 52.5 @ -110 via Caesars

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Stony Brook to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Ball State and Stony Brook at Scheumann Stadium is scheduled to start at 2:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Stony Brook vs. Ball State
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
  • Venue: Scheumann Stadium

College football Week 2 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Stony Brook vs. Ball State predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offfer below


Conclusion

We predict Ball State, with an 83.0% win probability, will likely beat Stony Brook in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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