Southeast Missouri State vs. Iowa State prediction: Why Iowa State is favored to win in college football Week 1 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 97.8% win probability for Iowa State at Jack Trice Stadium.

Iowa State will face Southeast Missouri State in Week 1 college football action at Jack Trice Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 1:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects Iowa State as the most likely winner in this Southeast Missouri State vs. Iowa State prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.
Southeast Missouri State vs. Iowa State prediction and odds
Our famous predictive model gives Iowa State a 97.8% chance of defeating Southeast Missouri State. Our predicted final score has Iowa State winning 40-10.
According to our model, Southeast Missouri State (+30.5) has a 51.9% chance of covering the spread, while the 53-point over/under has a 56.7% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Southeast Missouri State +30.5 (-110) / Iowa State -30.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Southeast Missouri State +3000, Iowa State -8000
- Total: Over/Under 53 (-111/-111)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Southeast Missouri State +30.5 @ -110 via bet365
- Moneyline: Iowa State @ -8000 via FanDuel
- Total: Under 53 @ -111 via Fanatics
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 53 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football matchup between Iowa State and Southeast Missouri State at Jack Trice Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Southeast Missouri State vs. Iowa State
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Jack Trice Stadium
College football Week 1 promos
Make the most of Dimers' Southeast Missouri State vs. Iowa State predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:
Conclusion
We predict Iowa State, with a 97.8% win probability, will likely beat Southeast Missouri State in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



