North Texas vs. Indiana prediction: Why Indiana is favored to win in college football Week 1 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 99.2% win probability for Indiana at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington.

Indiana will face North Texas in Week 1 college football action at Memorial Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 12:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced college football model projects Indiana as the most likely winner in this North Texas vs. Indiana prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.
North Texas vs. Indiana prediction and odds
Our famous predictive model currently gives Indiana a 99.2% chance of defeating North Texas. Our predicted final score has Indiana winning 48-8.
According to our model, North Texas (+40.5) has a 51.0% chance of covering the spread, while the 57.5-point over/under has a 51.7% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: North Texas +40.5 (-105) / Indiana -40.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: North Texas , Indiana
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Under @ -110 via Bet365
According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is North Texas +40.5.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football action between Indiana and North Texas at Memorial Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:00 PM ET.
- Who: North Texas vs. Indiana
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
- Venue: Memorial Stadium
College football Week 1 promos
Make the most of Dimers' North Texas vs. Indiana predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offfer below
Conclusion
We predict Indiana, with a 99.2% win probability, will likely beat North Texas in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.




