Montana State vs. Nevada prediction favors Montana State to win in college football Week 2 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Montana State vs. Nevada, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Montana State a 62.9% chance of defeating Nevada. Our predicted final score has Montana State winning 27-23. According to our model, Nevada (+4.5) has a 51.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 51.5-point over/under has a 52.0% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Montana State -4.5 (-110) / Nevada +4.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Montana State -170, Nevada +150
• Total: Over/Under 51.5 (-110/-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Nevada +4.5 @ -110 via bet365
• Moneyline: Montana State @ -170 via DraftKings
• Total: Under 51.5 @ -105 via DraftKings

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 51.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Nevada and Montana State at Mackay Stadium is scheduled to begin at 10:30 PM ET.

• Who: Montana State vs. Nevada
• Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
• Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
• Venue: Mackay Stadium

College football Week 2 promos

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Conclusion

We predict Montana State, with a 62.9% win probability, will likely beat Nevada in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.